Blast Off 2011

Welcome to my blog, Your Sports Assassin. My goal is to keep you informed on all the current sports news and the fantasy insight that goes along with it. It's 2011 and it is time to dominate your friends, bookies and leagues. I will cover fantasy football, baseball and basketball to give you the upper hand.

We will discuss the latest sports gambling lines with a brief analysis providing you with the inside edge.

Knowledge is Power!

Sunday, January 22, 2012

NFL Conference Title Games

AFC Title Game 12pm - Baltimore Ravens at NE Patriots (-7) Over/Under 50

This game has been inevitable since Big Ben went down with that ugly foot injury while playing the Browns in week 13. Baltimore clearly was the beneficiary of the Steelers' misery and rode that to the #2 seed in the AFC. The Ravens took care of the Texans last weekend 20-13, but really looked terrible in the process (only 227 total yards). QB Joe Flacco simply isn't good enough and I honestly hate their play calling, yes I'm looking at you OC Cam Cameron! Another problem that I have with them is that---the Ravens suck on the road. Baltimore lost at Seattle, San Diego, Tennessee and Jacksonville this season. You simply cannot trust them.
The Patriots pounded the Denver Broncos 45-10 last Saturday, shredding the Broncos threw the air for 363 yards and 6 TD passes from Brady. The Ravens play much tougher defense and have held Brady to a 71.4 passer rating in his five games against them throughout his career. That's definite cause for concern, but these Patriots feature more weapons than those other teams. TEs Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez have been unstoppable this season and the Ravens don't match up well against tight ends. The Raven's linebackers are great against the run, but won't be quick enough to stop the versatile Patriot TEs. Bill Belicheck is too smart and Tom Brady is too good to lose this game.
Go with the Patriots minus the points!!

NFC Title Game 3:30 pm - NY Giants at SF 49ers (-2.5) Over/Under 42

Get ready for a defensive smackdown. This game looks like it will shape up to be an old school 80's style showdown. The 49ers allowed an average of 10.8 points a game this year at home, and will be playing with a lot of emotion trying to reach their first Super Bowl since 1994. I really think that they will dial down the game plan and keep things simple for QB Alex Smith. We all saw what a weapon TE Vernon Davis has become and he will be the key to the SF offense again this week. SF Coach Jim Harbaugh was the best in the NFL this year but will be facing his toughest test all year this weekend. He will find ways to get Davis the ball in space. I'd like to see him use RB Kendall Hunter more, and I think we will see him more involved (my personal sleeper). He is a underrated playmaker with speed, watch him.
Nobody has played better football in the last month than the NY Football Giants. Their defense has been ridiculously good, allowing just 12 points a game over the past four contests. They have also managed to accumulate 17 sacks over that span, including four last week in their 37-20 beatdown of the Packers.  Aaron Rodgers was consistently scrambling and never got comfortable in the pocket. The Giants should have no problem getting to Smith on Sunday. The only way that the Giants lose this game is if the 49ers turn the game on special teams with big plays.
Let's double-down on the Giants and the Under!!

Sunday, January 15, 2012

NY Giants at GB Packers

NY Giants at GB Packers (-7.5) Over/Under 53

Sorry but this has to be quick, so let's get down to it.

The G-Men look to avenge Week 12 Loss to the Packers (38-35) after dominating the Atlanta Falcons at home last week 24-2. Fact: The Giants have been balling on defense during the last three weeks against good teams (Jets, Cowboys, Falcons) and seem to be playing their best football of the season. They will need to "bring it" against the Champion Packers in Green Bay today. Fact: The Packers are the Best Team in the NFL, and will have stud WR Greg Jennings back in the starting lineup. Fact: The Packers are playing at home, where they won every game this season---by an average of 19 points. Fact: The Giants weakness resides in their secondary. Fact: Nobody can stop the Packer passing attack (Ok, maybe KC did it for 3 quarters during the Packers only loss this season). Fact: The Packers Defense is relatively soft and allowed the most passing yards in the NFL this season (299.8 yards/game). Watch for the Packers to take advantage of Eli Manning mistakes and lapses in NYG deep zone pass coverages to dictate the tempo and force the G-Men to play catch up in the second half.

Decision: The Packers will top the Giants in a high scoring game.
Lock of the Day: Take the OVER 53!!