Super Bowl or Bust!!!
NY Giants vs NE Patriots (-3) - Over/Under 53
So I wrote this long detailed two page breakdown yesterday and thought that I posted it.......but it never posted and so now I have jack shit for you (except this short breakdown, it's alll that you will need).
Summary points:
NY Giants are a better team
NY Giants are playing better football
NE Patriots' most valuable weapon, TE Rob Gronkowski is seriously injured and wouldn't be playing in any other game except for the Super Bowl. He is the key, and I don't think he is truely ready and the Giants will know this and try to jam him at the line.
Tom Brady has become a check down QB because he has NO deep weapons.
The NY Giants' pass rush is the best four-man group in football, and they will bring it today.
JPP is a beast, be careful TBrady, be real careful.
NY Giants should be able to run outside with RB Bradshaw and then abuse the Patriots with play-action passes.
I hate Eli Manning, but the jackass has been playing his best football and should have no problem with the vulnerable NE secondary.
Conclusion: There is no way that this line should be 3 points and the bookies know it, but cannot change the line because of the amount of hedging that would occur if people could take the Giants plus 3 then the Patriots -2. It would be absolutely disastrous for VEGAS. They made this line as if both teams were playing at full strength. The Pats have the revenge factor and I can see them winning late, but nothing justifies the FG spread. Nothing. TAKE THE GIANTS plus the points and take them asap, better yet bet your friends and play without the juice (10-15%). Why should the bookies get the free cash when people will take both sides in a large degree. So that's it---GIANTS!!
The Over/Under is really a toss up and nobody wants to see a low-scoring game, so I advise to avoid it. Good Luck and go G-Men!!
