Blast Off 2011

Welcome to my blog, Your Sports Assassin. My goal is to keep you informed on all the current sports news and the fantasy insight that goes along with it. It's 2011 and it is time to dominate your friends, bookies and leagues. I will cover fantasy football, baseball and basketball to give you the upper hand.

We will discuss the latest sports gambling lines with a brief analysis providing you with the inside edge.

Knowledge is Power!

Monday, February 7, 2011

Super Bowl Recap

Super Bowl Recap

First off, we need to appreciate what a great game that both teams played yesterday in Super Bowl 45. It had almost everything that a championship game should have: big hits, big plays and major drama at the end. One also had to appreciate the fact that the referees were not a factor in this physical and closely fought game. I thought that the referees did an amazing job, just remember that Steelers vs Seahawks Super Bowl in 2006 and the officiating fiasco that ensued at Ford Field giving Pittsburgh the easy victory. Yesterday, the two teams combined for 13 penalties, the Packers with 7 for 67 yards and the Steelers had 6 for 55 yards, none resulting in first downs. One more amazing stat from the game was the third down efficiency by both teams. The Packers converted 6 of 13 third downs and the Steelers hit on 7 of 13 attempts. That's outstanding work against two fine defenses.

We loved how Green Bay came out firing with Aaron Rodgers taking control through the air finding WRs Greg Jennings and Jordy Nelson. When the Packers went up 7-0 on a 29-yard pass from Rodgers to Nelson on third down at the end of the first quarter, it capped a 9 play 80 yard drive. The ensuing kickoff pinned Pittsburgh deep at their own 7 yard line after a block in the back penalty. Instead of pounding the running game at the Packers, the Steelers came out with a deep pass to Mike Wallace. Ben Roethlisberger was pressured and hit and the ball came out fluttering into the hands of GB safety Nick Collins, who returned it to the house 37 yards for the score. Pittsburgh went against everything that they preached all season by throwing deep in their own territory into double coverage and the result was a tragic one for the Steeler Nation. On the following possession, Pittsburgh drove 13 plays and Shaun Suisham hit a 33 yard field goal making it 14-3. After a quick stop, the Steelers got the ball back again and started driving into Green Bay territory when Roethlisberger made his next mistake, his second interception on a fine play by CB Jarrett Bush. Four plays later it was 21-3 when Rodgers connected with Jennings for a 21-yard score over the middle into double coverage. There was simply no stopping Rodgers and the Green Bay passing attack in the first half, and Pittsburgh two interceptions now cost them 14 points in the first 28 minutes of the game. Pittsburgh would rally in true Steeler fashion with a late touchdown pass to Hines Ward at the end of the half, after Green Bay defensive captain and star DB Charles Woodson broke his collarbone  The Woodson injury would have a devastating effect on the Green Bay secondary for the rest of the game.
The Packers came out of halftime shaky, committing 3 penalties on their first five plays giving Pittsburgh a quick stop and great field position. The Steeler quickly drove 50 yards and scored on a Rashard Mendehall TD run run up the middle just 5 minutes into the second half (21-17). The game stayed at 21-17 until the fourth quarter, when Mendehall fumbled the ball away at the Green Bay 36 yard line. Pittsburgh's third turnover of the game resulted in another Packer touchdown. Green Bay drove 55 yards and scored on the second TD pass of the game from Rodgers to Jennings (28-17). The third Pittsburgh turnover was essentially the death blow to the Steelers, no team had ever won a Super Bowl down 3 turnovers or from 18 points behind (it was 21-3 in the first half). Ben would rally the Steelers one more time with another TD drive capped by a Wallace 25-yard TD catch on third down. Pitt added the two point conversion drawing to within 28-25 with just over 7 minutes to go in the fourth quarter. But the Pitt defense could not hold, and Rodgers led the Pack 70 yards on 10 plays keyed by a huge 31 yard pass to Jennings on third and long in Green Bay territory. Mason Crosby hit he 23 yard field goal and the Packers went up 31-25 with under two minutes to go in the game.Big Ben couldn't rally one last time and the Packers won Super Bowl 45 by the score of 31-25!!

What we liked: The Packers winning by over 3 points and covering the spread was nice to see. We really enjoyed the proverbial shootout with a lot of passing plays down the field.  A special thank you should go out to GB Coach Mike McCarthy, who let Rodgers continually throw the ball-- resulting in 39 attempts. We asked for 35 passes and we got 39 leading Green Bay to victory. The Super Bowl MVP was Rodgers, who left little doubt to who was the best player on the field  Sunday. Rodgers completed 24 of 39 passes for 304 yards and NO interceptions or fumbles. WR Jordy Nelson dropped at least 3 passes but still finished with 9 grabs for 140 yards, and stepped up big after Donald Driver left the game in the second quarter. Jennings also had a huge game with 4 catches for 64 yards and two TDs. I did love the Pittsburgh effort in their attempted comeback and the heart that they showed even in losing the big game.

What we Loathed: The Steelers calling that deep pass play to Wallace from their own 7 yard line only down 7-0. The Steelers three turnovers, that really changed this game, forcing them to air it out after falling behind 21-3 in the first half. They only got Mendenhall 15 touches in the game--he was their best player all season and he needed to be more involved if they were going to win this game. The Shaun Suisham missed 53 yard field goal was just flat out Ugly. Why not punt the ball deep and pin Green Bay back inside their own 10. On the Green Bay side, you have to feel terrible for Driver and Woodson watching most of the game from the sidelines. Both guys have played so long only to watch their teammates carry them to victory. The Woodson injury forced Green Bay to get conservative on defense and altered their entire defensive game plan. It's hard to imagine Pittsburgh scoring 25 points in this game, especially when it was 21-3 when Woodson was injured late in the second quarter.

Celebration Time for Green Bay! Now the rest of us can wait for free agency in March and the draft in April, assuming that there isn't a holdout/lockout over the Collective Bargaining Agreement. Commissioner Roger Goodell  has done a great job so far, now he needs to help the two sides come together one more time.

Sunday, February 6, 2011

Go Pack Go!

Great Win by the Packers!

Final Analysis Tomorrow! Great Game!

Cheeeeese!

Saturday, February 5, 2011

NBA Saturday

NBA Saturday
1. Wake up and get on the Bulls (3.5) at G-State. The Bulls are a great team and the Warriors usually beat bad teams. I thought the Warriors were better than they actually are. The Bulls are the real deal. Get on the Bulls and pay it down to 3 points. Go Bulls!!
2. Let's roll Dallas (-3) at Charlotte. The Mavs just won at Boston and the Bobcats just got mopped by the Heat by 12. The Mavs are 15-7 on the road and the Bobcats are 12-12 at home. Go Dallas!!

Friday, February 4, 2011

Super Bowl Preview

Super Bowl Preview - Green Bay (-2.5) vs Pittsburgh, Over/Under 44.5

The Super Bowl is just two days away and it should be a great game between two of the NFL's most storied franchises. The main thing that you notice when you watch these two teams play is their dominating defense. The Packers and Steelers are coached by the league's best defensive coordinators, Dom Capers and Dick Labaugh. Pittsburgh led the NFL in defensive points allowed (14.5 ppg) and rushing yards allowed at just under 63 yds/game. The new Steel Curtain defense is led by Defensive Player of the Year, safety Troy Polamalu, who had 7 interceptions and numerous big plays. LB James Harrison led the team with 10.5 sacks and made the infamous 100-yard pick for a TD against the Cardinals in their last Super Bowl to turn the game around. I think that we all have to get used to the fact that the Steelers make big plays on defense. Remember the score in the AFC Title Game against the Jets right before halftime with the Sanchez sack and William Gay fumble return for the touchdown. That is exactly what the Dick Labaugh's defense does, generates pressure and forces the other team to make costly mistakes.
The less heralded Packer defense finished second in the league in points allowed (15 ppg) and fifth in total yards allowed per game. Dom Caper's defense is led by LB Clay Mathews, who had 13.5 sacks in just his second NFL season. The Packer defense completely shut down the Chicago Bear's offense in the NFC Title game until late in the fourth quarter. Their defensive line dominated the Bears up the middle with DTs B.J. Raji and Cullen Jenkins. This will cause a major problem for Pittsburgh, who will probably be without all-pro center Maurkice Pouncey. If Raji and Jenkins shut down the running lanes for Mendenhall then Pittsburgh will be forced to pass the ball to move the chains. Green Bay also has a better secondary than Pittsburgh, with CBs Charles Woodson and Tramon Williams playing phenomenal.
On offense, Pittsburgh is the same team that it was in the 1970's. They are gonna try to run the ball down your throat then look deep to make big plays. Rashard Mendenhall had a lot of success against the Jets in the first half by being patient with his blocking then bursting up field when the holes opened up. The Steelers will need a repeat performance out of him on Sunday to win this game. Roethlisberger depends on the running game to open up space for the passing attack. The Steelers are a run first team that will try to dominate the clock with long methodical drives. Like Lynn Swann in the 70's, the Steelers have excellent speed on the outside with WR Mike Wallace. He could be the difference maker, they need to give him the opportunity to burn Green Bay deep. If Pittsburgh can control the ball and find Wallace deep then they will win.
After lingering in the shadows of Lambeau Field, Aaron Rodgers has now carried the Packer offense into Super Bowl Forty-Five. Rodgers has played ridiculously good when given the chance. Coach Mike McCarthy has tried to slow him down once they have taken the lead in all the playoff games this year, and if he does that again it will send the Packers home from Dallas in defeat. Yes, James Starks has played decently for a rookie who has hurt for most of the season, but don't let him fool you into wasting crucial plays by running the ball. Green Bay will need to spread the field with receivers and air the ball out just like New England did in Week 10, when they won 39-26 in Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh can stop the run but has struggled in pass defense. If Rodgers throws the ball over 35 times then the Packers will win. Nobody in the Steeler secondary can stop WR Greg Jennings, who torched the Bears for 8 grabs for 130 yards. I just hope that McCarthy realizes this and stays aggressive. I actually think he will.
All the intangibles all point to Pittsburgh. They have the experience and the edge in coaching. Mike Tomlin isn't the best head coach in the NFL, but you gotta love his style and passion. If it comes down to coaching then the Packers will be in trouble. The Packers have the better players and the better special teams game, especially at kicker with Mason Crosby. I actually like the Packers in a great game.

Prediction: Green Bay 24, Pittsburgh 20
**So taking the Under 44.5 and the Packers to cover and win the game!! I am going with talent over grit and experience. Tough call but you gotta believe. Goodluck and have a great weekend, it should be fun.

Thursday, February 3, 2011

Fantasy Basketball Players #76-100

***SUPER BOWL PREVIEW WILL BE UP TOMORROW***

Fantasy Basketball Players #76-100


76. DeMarcus Cousins, Sac PF, C – This big boy can flat out play, attitude Qs
77. Roy Hibbert, Ind C – Wish he just play consistently for a week in a row
78. Elton Brand, Phi PF – Quietly having a nice all around season
79. Amir Johnson, Tor PF – Flying up the board with more playing time
80. Channing Frye, Pho PF, C – Great combo of 3s and blocks
81. Jose Calderon, Tor PG – Always been a nice playmaker, just fragile
82. Mike Dunleavy, Ind SG, SF – Almost two 3s a game, needs more minutes
83. Nicolas Batum, Por SF – Portland is so thin and he is the only real shooter
84. Rodney Stuckey, Det PG, SG – Needs to get healthy and improve
85. Darko Milicic, Min C – Great surprise season, too bad the Wolves won’t give him more minutes consistently, Rambis is lost at the helm
86. Ben Gordon, Det SG – Really just a scorer but should get his chances
87. Jamal Crawford, Atl SG, PG – Wish that he was back on the Warriors
88. Serge Ibaka, OKC C, PF – Flashes of defensive greatness…sometimes
89. Shane Battier, Hou SF – Solid player and contributor in all categories
90. Landry Fields, NY SG – Gotta like his 7+ boards a game and upside
91. Beno Udrih, Sac PG, SG – Can play the point, better than you think
92. Marcin Gortat, Pho C – Starting to become a fantasy star
93. Antawn Jamison, Cle PF – He still has something, but for how long with AAA Team
94. DeJuan Blair, SA PF, C – Over-achiever on court and in fantasy
95. Vince Carter, Pho SG, SF – The potential for greatness is still there
96. Arron Afflalo, Den SG – Won’t hurt you, will benefit most w/Anthony trade
97. Boris Diaw, Cha PF, SF – Confuses me over and over again with flashes
98. Baron Davis, LAC PG – B-Diddy is showing signs of life
99. Tracy McGrady, Det SG, PG – Old Man River is playing some ball
100. Corey Maggette, Mil SF – Can still score in bunches, especially at the FT line
 
Publish Post

NBA Today - (Updated 1:14 PST)

1. Check out the Bucks at the Warriors (-6). If C Andrew Bogut sits again, then Milwaukee will struggle. The Bucks lost last night in Phoenix by 15 and shot 31% from the field. Bad teams struggle on long road trips, and that is exactly what Milwaukee is doing. On the other hand, G-State is coming off a 15 point home win vs Utah. All signs point to the Warriors. Go G-State!!
2. Same game but different theme--Over/Under 202. Let's go Under because the Bucks' slow pace and inability to score on offense dictate a low scoring game. Go Under!!
3. Are the Lakers (-3.5) at home really gonna beat the league leading Spurs? I find it real hard to believe that they will cover almost 4 points against the Spurs following their 13 point loss at Portland. I hope so, but the numbers don't agree. It took the Lakers OT to beat the Rockets following ugly home losses to Sacramento and Boston. Thinking Spurs plus the points.

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Fantasy Basketball Players #51-75

Fantasy Basketball Players #51-75


51. Joe Johnson, Atl SG, SF – Needs to play more consistently, serious game
52. Marc Gasol, Mem C – Overshadowed big man plays like his big bro
53. Brook Lopez, NJ C – Still having a good run just not like last year
54. D.J. Augustin, Cha PG – Will continue to rise on this list, definite skills
55. Mike Conley, Mem PG – Finally playing up to his potential
56. Andre Miller, Por PG – More shots sans Roy, should improve as cast gets healthy
57. Luis Scola, Hou PF, C – Much better shooter than expected, nearly 20 ppg
58. Tyson Chandler, Dal C – Coming on real strong lately, FTs are amazing
59. Devin Harris, NJ PG – Still the man in NJ for now
60. Luol Deng, Chi SF – Finding his way in the CHI offense next to Boozer
61. Jason Richardson, Orl SG – Hurt by trade to Orlando but should improve with familiarity in offense
62. Michael Beasley, Min SF, PF – Hitting his stride in Minnesota
63. Danilo Gallinari, NY SF, PF – Love his range and potential going forward
64. Hedo Turkoglu, Orl SF, PF – Looking more and more like his old Orlando self
65. Jason Terry, Dal SG – Becoming more and more involved in offense w/Butler out
66. Tony Parker, SA PG – Having another solid season, getting 7 assists/game
67. Tyreke Evans, Sac PG, SG – Worry about his attitude down the stretch
68. Andray Blatche, Was PF, C – Has monster games, then disappears
69. Nick Young, Was SG – Becoming a great scorer in open offense
70. Marcus Camby, Por C, PF – Returns from injury soon, nice upside
71. Darren Collison, Ind PG – Pacer offense should improve under new coach
72. Rashard Lewis, Was PF, SF – Disappointing so far, trade really affected him badly
73. David Lee, GS PF, C – Disappointing season continues, but can shoot
74. Kyle Lowry, Hou PG – Runs the high scoring Houston offense for now
75. Emeka Okafor, Nor C – Unfortunate injury, out 2-3 weeks for now

NBA Tonight (Updated 11:43 PST) - I wrote long detailed reasons why, but my computer just crashed so this is all you get today. All four teams play at home.
1. Get on the Nuggets (-8) in Denver vs Portland.
2. Go with the Suns (-4.5) in Phoenix vs Milwaukee.
3. Take the Pistons (-2) in that hole called Detroit vs Charlotte.
4. Looking at Atlanta (-10) in HotLanta vs Toronto.

Tuesday, February 1, 2011

Fantasy Basketball Players #26-50

Fantasy Basketball Players #26-50
26. Dwight Howard , ORL, C- If Superman could just hit FTs
27. Monta Ellis , GSW, SG- Slowing down a little and having some injury concerns
28. Al Jefferson , UTH, PF/C- Less Williams means more Jefferson 
29. Raymond Felton, NYK, PG- He can play, great fit for Knicks up-tempo offense
30. Ray Allen, BOS, SG - Celtic sharp shooter having a real solid season
31. Zach Randolph, MEM, PF/C - Underrated paint player, playing for a new contract
32.  Paul Millsap , UTH, SF/PF- Underrated PF, shooting .535 from field
33. David West, NOR, PF- Paul's right hand man can play, still under the radar
34. LaMarcus Aldridge , POR, PF/C- Having a tough time with his hip and his shot 
35. Chauncey Billups, DEN, PG- Great Shooting PG always battles
36. Dorell Wright, GSW, SG/SF - Leads the league in 3s, could be higher on this list
37. Chris Bosh, MIA, PF/C - Missed 4 games with a bum ankle, but back now 
38.  Kevin Garnett , BOS, PF- He's back from injury and ballin again
39.  Stephen Jackson, CHA, SG/SF - Can score at anytime, great range
40.  Andre Iguodala, PHI, SG/SF - Major talent should improve his numbers 
41.  Wesley Matthews, POR, SG/SF- Can his unbelievable season continue? No Roy means Yes
42.  Jason Kidd, DAL, PG- Can't shoot worth a lick, but still puts up numbers
43.  Andrew Bogut, MIL, C- Great when he plays, but always has a back issue lingering
44.  Nene Hilario, DEN, PF/C- Calf injury is slowing him down recently
45.  Wilson Chandler, NYK, SF/PF- Nice numbers so far but can he keep it up
46.  Lamar Odom, LAL, PF - Needs more minutes or another Bynum injury 
47.  Gerald Wallace, CHA, SG/SF/PF- Thought he was better than this
48.  John Wall, WAS, PG - Needs more shots, and that should happen on this young team
49.  Eric Gordon , LAC, SG- Tough time for a hand injury
50.  Tim Duncan, SAS, PF/C - Old Fundamentals will get more rest down the stretch 

**Only 4 NBA Games tonight, all tough games, no good picks (Updated 12:20 PCT)

1. San Antonio (-5) at Portland. The Blazers stink. Me gusta los Spuros! 
2. Wash at NO (-9). I wish NO had Okafor in the lineup, makes things difficult.
3. Boston (-6) at Sacramento. Kings are somehow playing well.
4. Houston at Lakers (-9). LA is playing terrible right now, spread seems high.