Blast Off 2011

Welcome to my blog, Your Sports Assassin. My goal is to keep you informed on all the current sports news and the fantasy insight that goes along with it. It's 2011 and it is time to dominate your friends, bookies and leagues. I will cover fantasy football, baseball and basketball to give you the upper hand.

We will discuss the latest sports gambling lines with a brief analysis providing you with the inside edge.

Knowledge is Power!

Wednesday, May 11, 2011

MLB Run Line Pick for Wednesday

St. Louis Cards at Chicago Cubs - -Cards Run Line is 3.5 Runs

The Cards are in Chicago again after winning last night 6-4, and have four of their last five games. The Cards will be facing righty Matt Garza (1-4, 4.43 ERA), who has yet to win at Wrigley this year. The Cardinals are first in the National League in hitting and runs scored. They have averaged over 5 runs a game this year and Albert Pujols has finally started hitting. Look for the Cards to score OVER 3.5 Runs!!

Tuesday, May 10, 2011

MLB Quick Pick

SD Padres at Milwaukee Brewers (-160)

The Brew Crew host the Pads tonight in Milwaukee. The Brewers won a close one last night 4-3 against SD ace Matt Latos. The Brewers throw Shaun Marcum (3-1, 2.06 ERA) against Padre lefty Clayton Richard (1-3, 3.55 ERA). The Brewers have struggled a little this year but are still far superior to the Padres in just about every faucet of the game, except relief pitching. Experts were picking this Brewers team to make a postseason run before the season started. They have a ton of talent. Look for the Brewers to get ahead early and take down the Pad squad rather easily. Go with the Brewers!!

Monday, May 9, 2011

NBA Monday

Miami Heat at Boston Celtics (+1.5) - Over/Under 181

The Heat lead the series 2-1 against the Celtics, but haven't won a game in Boston this season (0-3). The Celtics are a veteran team that know how to win big games, especially at home. The Celtics went 9-3 last year at home in the playoffs and are now 3-0 at home this postseason. The Celtics had the third best record at home this season going 33-8. The Heat obviously have a lot of talent, but really aren't as tough and experienced as the C's. Look for the Celtics to take it to the Heat in Game 4. Go with the Celtics!!

OKC Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies (-1.5) - Over/Under 198

This reminds me of the Spurs series all over again, when I warned you about the Grizzlies shocking the Spurs. The Grizzlies were 3-1 against the Spurs this season and were also 3-1 against the Thunder. So we are gonna go with the team playing better ball again--the Memphis Grizz. Zach Randolph has dominated this series like he did against the Spurs in round one. The jump shooting Thunder have struggled against the strength of the Grizzlies. The Grizz will pound the paint again and should come out on top. Go with the Grizzlies!!



**Odd trends in the NBA Playoffs
1. When the team Favored wins the game it has a tendency for the Over/Under to go UNDER.
2. When the Underdog wins the game, the games are higher scoring usually resulting in the OVER.
3. Beware of teams not playing great basketball at home. I am almost worried about the Bulls and Thunder, if not this round than the next round.
4. The Memphis Grizzlies are HOT!

Thursday, May 5, 2011

Cinco de Drinko

Texas Rangers (-115) at Seattle Mariners - Ranger Run Line 3.5 Runs

The Rangers pound lefties and will be facing Jason Vargas (1-2, 5.45 ERA). Vargas started out the season decently but has been lit up recently, but has allowed 10 earned runs in his last two starts while going 12 innings. The Rangers have a heavy right handed lineup and should have no problem with Vargas and the shady Mariner defense. Colby Lewis (2-3, 5.70 ERA) was the Ranger ace last year and threw 8 innings of two run ball last outing vs the A's. Look for the Rangers to go Over 3.5 Runs!!

Wednesday, May 4, 2011

MLB Quick Pick

MLB


Pitt Pirates at SD Padres

The quick pick is the Padres scoring less than 3.5 runs today vs Pitt ace Kevin Correia. (4-2, 2.90 ERA). The Pads offense is so bad that their pitchers have been their best hitters this week. Correia is having another fine season and recently shut out the Rockies in Colorado. Correia does a great job of keeping the ball down and making the other team earn their runs--something that the Padres simply cannot do this year. Go with the Pads Under 3.5 Runs!!

Tuesday, May 3, 2011

MLB Pick of the Day

MLB

Colorado Rockies (-135) at Arizona D-Backs

The first place Rockies (17-9) go visit the fourth place D-Backs (12-15). The Rockies are a major league best 10-3 on the road this season, and will be sending their top pitcher Jorge De La Rosa (4-0, 2.61 ERA) to the mound. The Snakes will counter with soft tossing lefty Joe Saunders (0-3, 5.93 ERA), Saunders has lost all three home starts this season while getting pounded for 28 hits and 15 runs in brief three starts. The Rockies should mash Saunders early and allow De La Rosa to cruise.The Rockies have the superior lineup and bullpen as well.  Go with the Rockies!!!

Monday, May 2, 2011

MLB Pick - Monday

MLB

Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers (-210) or Dodgers -1.5 at +105 Odds

The Cubs fly in to LA to take on the Dodgers and their ace Clayton Kershaw (2-3, 3.52 ERA). The Cubs will send scrub fifth-starter James Russell (1-3, 8.31 ERA) against the Dodgers. Russell has been obliterated in all three starts this season (19 hits, 3 walks and 12 earned runs). The Cubs are 3-7 in their last ten games and should continue to struggle in LA tonight. The Dodgers should pound the Cubs. Take the Dodgers minus the 1.5 runs!!

**Sorry, I was in Fresno for a friends wedding this past weekend. Congrats to Danny and Natalie! Also, a quick shout out to my buddy Scotty B and his new baby boy, Ethan.