MNF - SD Chargers (-3.5) at KC Chiefs - Over/Under 44
The visiting Chargers (4-2) are at KC tonight to battle the Chiefs (3-3). This spread line started at 4 and had dropped decently to 3 over the last couple of days. The Chargers lost at KC on MNF last year to open the season in a sloppy game in the rain. The big difference this year is that KC will be without star RB Jamaal Charles with a torn ACL. KC has been forced to throw the ball more than they are used to and that will cause problems for QB Matt Cassel. Cassel has struggled this season again (1106 yds, 8 TD/7 Int.), but so has SD's Philip Rivers (1715 yds, 7 TD/9 Int.). The best QB performance will prevail. For the Chargers to win they will need to run the ball with RB Ryan Mathews (452 yds/ 3 TDs) since backup Mike Tolbert will be out. Mathews should open things up for Rivers to look deep for WR Vincent Jackson. KC has the 25th ranked rush D, but has won three games in a row after starting the season 0-3. The Chargers will be without star LB Shaun Phillips and all-pro LG Kris Dielman.
As a Chargers fan, I am worried about our defense and soft zone coverage. This should be a tight matchup even though the Chargers have beaten KC seven of the last eight games. If Rivers continues to make mistakes, then the Boltz will be in deep trouble. It's probably time for HC Norv Turner to pack his bags if the Chargers lose this game. There will be a lot of pressure on him to win before heading home to take on the Packers and Raiders in the next two weeks.
I like the Chargers to win on a late score--my gut says to TAKE KC and the points.
I prefer to take the OVER 44!!
Monday, October 31, 2011
Sunday, October 30, 2011
Get on Philly and the OVER asap
I have zero time to chat today, but get on the Philly Eagles (-3) and OVER 48 asap. That's all I can say right now. Halloween weekend is getting at me. The Eagles should win a high scoring game. I'm gonna go Eagles 31-24 tonight!!
Friday, October 28, 2011
College Football Saturday
Happy Halloween Fools
College Game of the Day--Arizona at Washington (-3.5)
Washington (5-2) has played very well this year, only losing road games at Nebraska and Stanford. They have scored at least 30 points in every game except last week's beatdown in Stanford 65-21. Washington has been exceptional at home during the last couple of years (4-0 this year) and should have no problem beating the short-handed Wildcats. Arizona (2-5) will be without two defensive starters in the secondary after the on field brawl last week with UCLA. Arizona's defense enters the game ranked 113th in the nation and has yet to allow less than 37 points on the road this season. I expect a high scoring game but cannot figure out how the Wildcats will be able to stop the Huskies. Go with Washington minus 3.5!!
Now time to enjoy the weekend. Costumes on, time to get hammered. Gotta love Halloween.
Monday, October 24, 2011
MNF Regret
Wow, tough game tonight.
Entering tonight's game, the Jags (1-5) were last in total offense in the NFL at 260 yards/game and 2nd worst in scoring at 12 points per game (STL Rams 9.3 ppg). They were 2-4 ATS and have one of the league's worst coaches in Jack Del Rio.
On the other hand, the Ravens (4-1) were third in total defense and led the NFL in fewest points allowed at 14.2 ppg. The Ravens were fifth in scoring at 29.6 points per game, while beating three of the top teams in the AFC (Pittsburg, Houston and the NY Jets) by a combined 60 total points. Also, the Ravens were 4-1 ATS.
As they say, "Shit Happens".
Entering tonight's game, the Jags (1-5) were last in total offense in the NFL at 260 yards/game and 2nd worst in scoring at 12 points per game (STL Rams 9.3 ppg). They were 2-4 ATS and have one of the league's worst coaches in Jack Del Rio.
On the other hand, the Ravens (4-1) were third in total defense and led the NFL in fewest points allowed at 14.2 ppg. The Ravens were fifth in scoring at 29.6 points per game, while beating three of the top teams in the AFC (Pittsburg, Houston and the NY Jets) by a combined 60 total points. Also, the Ravens were 4-1 ATS.
As they say, "Shit Happens".
Back with MNF Football
MNF - Baltimore Ravens (-9.5) at Jax Jaguars
The Ravens (4-1) travel to Jacksonville to battle the hapless Jags (1-5). The Jags have lost five straight games after beating the Titans on opening day 16-14. The Jags continue to start rookie QB Blaine Gabbert despite his passing woes and the team's lack of scoring (12 ppg). Things won't get any easier tonight vs the veteran Ravens and their #3 rush defense. The Jags should struggle to run the ball as Houston did last week (Foster 49 yds), leaving them vulnerable to the ball-hawking Baltimore defense. This game really come get out of control early if Gabbert can't establish something via the air. The Ravens have averaged 29.6 points per game this season and feature one of the best RBs in football with Ray Rice. Look for him to have another monster game and the Ravens to blowout the Jags. Go with the Ravens minus the points!!
The Ravens (4-1) travel to Jacksonville to battle the hapless Jags (1-5). The Jags have lost five straight games after beating the Titans on opening day 16-14. The Jags continue to start rookie QB Blaine Gabbert despite his passing woes and the team's lack of scoring (12 ppg). Things won't get any easier tonight vs the veteran Ravens and their #3 rush defense. The Jags should struggle to run the ball as Houston did last week (Foster 49 yds), leaving them vulnerable to the ball-hawking Baltimore defense. This game really come get out of control early if Gabbert can't establish something via the air. The Ravens have averaged 29.6 points per game this season and feature one of the best RBs in football with Ray Rice. Look for him to have another monster game and the Ravens to blowout the Jags. Go with the Ravens minus the points!!
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