MNF

MNF - SD Chargers (-3.5) at KC Chiefs - Over/Under 44

The visiting Chargers (4-2) are at KC tonight to battle the Chiefs (3-3). This spread line started at 4 and had dropped decently to 3 over the last couple of days. The Chargers lost at KC on MNF last year to open the season in a sloppy game in the rain. The big difference this year is that KC will be without star RB Jamaal Charles with a torn ACL. KC has been forced to throw the ball more than they are used to and that will cause problems for QB Matt Cassel. Cassel has struggled this season again (1106 yds, 8 TD/7 Int.), but so has SD's Philip Rivers (1715 yds, 7 TD/9 Int.). The best QB performance will prevail. For the Chargers to win they will need to run the ball with RB Ryan Mathews (452 yds/ 3 TDs) since backup Mike Tolbert will be out. Mathews should open things up for Rivers to look deep for WR Vincent Jackson. KC has the 25th ranked rush D, but has won three games in a row after starting the season 0-3. The Chargers will be without star LB Shaun Phillips and all-pro LG Kris Dielman.
As a Chargers fan, I am worried about our defense and soft zone coverage. This should be a tight matchup even though the Chargers have beaten KC seven of the last eight games. If Rivers continues to make mistakes, then the Boltz will be in deep trouble. It's probably time for HC Norv Turner to pack his bags if the Chargers lose this game. There will be a lot of pressure on him to win before heading home to take on the Packers and Raiders in the next two weeks.
I like the Chargers to win on a late score--my gut says to TAKE KC and the points. 
I prefer to take the OVER 44!!