NFL Thanksgiving

NFL - Turkey Time

1. G.Bay Packers (-6) at Detroit Lions / Over 56.
I stated something earlier this season about taking the Packers whenever they have under a 7-point spread, and I will stick to it. I gotta admit that the Packers played real sloppy last week and their lack of a running game might hurt them in the playoffs, but we are not in post-season. The Lions are a solid team this year and I like them to make this game close. But Lions simply aren't in the same class as the Packers. Rodgers doesn't make mistakes and Stafford still does. The Lions are only 3-2 at home this year and practically lost last week to Carolina. Let's stick with the Packers minus 6!! Also, the public loves the Over 56 and it's hard to argue with that.
2. Miami Dolphins at Dallas Cowboys (-7) / Over 45.5.
Miami is playing red-hot right now, winning their last three games in a row, but look at those victories a little closer. They beat KC, Washington and Buffalo---not an impressive bunch. The Dolphins will continue to start QB Matt Moore, who has failed to impress since taking over for the injured Chad Henne. I think the Fins are due for a regression soon. Dallas has also won three straight games and need this win to keep pace with the NY Giants for first place in the NFC East. The only real trend in this game is that the Dolphins' games have gone UNDER in 9 of their 10 games this season. My play is to take the Under --and then buy the half point with the Cowboys (-6.5).
3. SF 49ers at Baltimore Ravens (-3.5) / Over 38.5.
The battle of the Harbaugh bros is our showcase on Thanksgiving night. I really cannot solve the Ravens, they seem to play great against big opponents then follow it up with a stinker. They played well against the Bengals in a battle for first place last week, winning 31-24. They could be without defensive captain MLB Ray Lewis, who is doubtful after not playing last Sunday. The Ravens seem to lose control of games when they fail to score first. The 49ers are 9-0-1 ATS this year and have been a favorite of mine for most of the year. Jim Harbaugh is the best coach in football and will show it again despite having much inferior talent than Baltimore. I like the 49ers to win, but will gladly take the 3.5 points!! If you need a Over/Under call then follow the trend, only two games all year have gone Under for Baltimore. Ride the OVER 38.5.

Have a great Thanksgiving Fools!