Week #11 - NFL
1. NY Jets (-6) at Denver Broncos - I have been a staunch Broncos supporter with Tebow as the QB all year. Coach Fox finally figured it out. Run the ball and mix up the playbook to fit Tebow's skills. The problem is that they will not be able to come back from two-score deficits, so if they fall behind early then they will be doomed. The Jets defense struggled against the run early this season, but have looked much better over the last month. Fred Jackson's 82 yards is the most yards allowed by a NYJ opponent in the last four games. The Jets should man up across the board and stack eight men in the box. I like Sanchez to find Holmes and Keller to beat a weak Denver secondary. Denver is 0-4 ATS at home this year. Go with the NY Jets!!
2. Arizona at SF 49ers (-9.5) - Gotta love the job that SF Coach Jim Harbaugh is doing with the 49ers. SF is 8-0-1 ATS this year and could be playing a dismal Cardinal squad without top RB Beanie Wells. Wells hasn't been practicing and has been limited in recent games. The 49ers are the best in the NFL against the run (73 yards/game) and haven't allowed a rushing TD in their last ten games. That means that backup QB John Skelton will have to beat the 49ers thru the air--scary. Watch for a SF defensive score in this one. Take the Niners minus the points!!
3. SD Chargers at Chicago Bears (-4) - The beat up Chargers travel to the windy city to take on the red-hot Bears. The Bears have won four straight games and have finally figured out their offense. OC Mike Martz has realized the importance of RB Matt Forte and the Bears ground game. The Bears have scored 130 points in their last four games and their defense dominated the Lions last week. The putrid Chargers are 2-7 ATS and will be without numerous key players on both sides of the ball. This could be a blood bath. Watch the Bears rout the Boltz!! Take Chicago Big!!
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