First Glance at the NFL Primetime Lines
1. Let's start with the Thursday Night game--Jax Jaguars at Atlanta Falcons (-11) Over/Under 42.
This game kind of reminds me of the MNF game last night, Rams at Seahawks. Terrible team goes on the road in primetime to get obliterated against a much better opponent. The Jaguars are putrid but somehow destroyed the Bucs last weekend 41-14. I really cannot understand that at all--but that's how bad the Bucs are right now. The Jags still cannot pass the ball and they have been nicked up on defense over the past month. The Falcons need this game for the playoffs and are playing at home. It's impossible to go against that combo vs one of the league's worst teams. Go with the Dirty Birds to cover the 11!!
2. Next up is the Saturday Night battle --Dallas Cowboys (-7) at TB Bucs Over/Under 46.
Yes, I hate the Cowboys, but I actually despise the Bucs more. The Bucs have lost seven straight games, and have only covered the spread once in those seven games. BAD. QB Josh Freeman is banged up and the team is literally in revolt. How did this happen so fast? Young players love to win, but spiral out of control during the tough times. They have lost faith and so have I in their ability to keep it close. In addition to the TB problems, Cowboy head coach Garrett needs this win to keep their playoff hopes alive. I'll take the Boys minus the points, but I love the six-point teaser taking the Boys to minus 1 and the OVER 40 points scored. Four of the last five TB games have gone OVER, while allowing an average of 38 points in those four losses.
That's it for now, more later in the week. Good luck fools!
Tuesday, December 13, 2011
Saturday, December 10, 2011
NFL Week #14
NFL Fantasy Playoffs
1. Atlanta Falcons (-2.5) at Carolina Panthers.
We all love the Panthers and huge their huge turnaround this season. Cam Newton has been remarkable and Steve Smith somehow found the fountain of youth. But C'mon man, they are playing the Falcons in a must win game. Some of you might not remember that the Falcons were the #1 seed in the NFC last year, but re-think it. The Falcons have some serious talent on their roster. The return of WR Julio Jones should be key in allowing Tony Gonzalez and Roddy White to dominate the middle of the field. The Panthers are PUTRID on defense, and they are exceptionally terrible at stopping the run. I see a lot of RB Mike Turner on Sunday, and a lot of easy rushing yards. The line might rise to 3, but this should be a two score game. Go with the Falcons!!
2. Chicago at Denver Broncos (-3).
The Broncos are one of my favorites and have won five in a row. Tebow has gone 6-1 as their starting QB and has been improving each week as a passer. I watched the Broncos beat the Vikings last week--and I really liked what I saw. The Broncos are playing with Passion, these guys believe that they will win each game. It's amazing what Tebow has done in so little time with their entire franchise. The Bears are a mess without Cutler and lost RB Matt Forte last week (out 2-5 weeks). The Bears lost to the KC Chiefs last week at home, this is not gonna be their rebound game. Go with the Broncos to win and cover. I even like the UNDER 37 as well.
3. Buffalo Bills at SD Chargers (-7) - Over/Under 48
My home team Chargers finally woke up last Monday night at Jacksonville. Coach Norv Turner actually looked alive and focused. He stayed aggressive and re-discovered his vertical passing game. RB Ryan Mathews has looked great and WR Malcolm Floyd has returned giving V-Jax some help. They are playing a Bills team spiraling out of control, losing five straight games. The Bills defense has really been exposed and stud RB Fred Jackson is out for the season. The pressure on Norv will dictate a high scoring game. Take the OVER 48 and the Boltz to cover the spread.
4. SF 49ers (-4.5) at Arizona Cards - Over/Under 38.5
This is gonna be quick..........Take the Under!!! The Under has gone in four of the five SF road games. The Cards games have also gone Under in four of their last five games and lost 23-7 at SF three weeks ago. It might be boring but it will finish UNDER 38.5!!
5. NY Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-4.5).
Sunday Night Game should be a great battle of top NFC East teams. Both teams are desperate for a win and the lead in the division. Dallas is 5-1 at home this year while the Giants are only 3-3 on the road. The Giants have lost four straight games and the Cowboys should welcome back WR Miles Austin to the field. Logic says to take the Boys, but everything else is screaming Giants. I think that it will be a fantastic finish. Take the Giants and the points!! Side note--take the Giants to score Over 23 Points, they often fall behind early then throw down the field for big plays.
1. Atlanta Falcons (-2.5) at Carolina Panthers.
We all love the Panthers and huge their huge turnaround this season. Cam Newton has been remarkable and Steve Smith somehow found the fountain of youth. But C'mon man, they are playing the Falcons in a must win game. Some of you might not remember that the Falcons were the #1 seed in the NFC last year, but re-think it. The Falcons have some serious talent on their roster. The return of WR Julio Jones should be key in allowing Tony Gonzalez and Roddy White to dominate the middle of the field. The Panthers are PUTRID on defense, and they are exceptionally terrible at stopping the run. I see a lot of RB Mike Turner on Sunday, and a lot of easy rushing yards. The line might rise to 3, but this should be a two score game. Go with the Falcons!!
2. Chicago at Denver Broncos (-3).
The Broncos are one of my favorites and have won five in a row. Tebow has gone 6-1 as their starting QB and has been improving each week as a passer. I watched the Broncos beat the Vikings last week--and I really liked what I saw. The Broncos are playing with Passion, these guys believe that they will win each game. It's amazing what Tebow has done in so little time with their entire franchise. The Bears are a mess without Cutler and lost RB Matt Forte last week (out 2-5 weeks). The Bears lost to the KC Chiefs last week at home, this is not gonna be their rebound game. Go with the Broncos to win and cover. I even like the UNDER 37 as well.
3. Buffalo Bills at SD Chargers (-7) - Over/Under 48
My home team Chargers finally woke up last Monday night at Jacksonville. Coach Norv Turner actually looked alive and focused. He stayed aggressive and re-discovered his vertical passing game. RB Ryan Mathews has looked great and WR Malcolm Floyd has returned giving V-Jax some help. They are playing a Bills team spiraling out of control, losing five straight games. The Bills defense has really been exposed and stud RB Fred Jackson is out for the season. The pressure on Norv will dictate a high scoring game. Take the OVER 48 and the Boltz to cover the spread.
4. SF 49ers (-4.5) at Arizona Cards - Over/Under 38.5
This is gonna be quick..........Take the Under!!! The Under has gone in four of the five SF road games. The Cards games have also gone Under in four of their last five games and lost 23-7 at SF three weeks ago. It might be boring but it will finish UNDER 38.5!!
5. NY Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-4.5).
Sunday Night Game should be a great battle of top NFC East teams. Both teams are desperate for a win and the lead in the division. Dallas is 5-1 at home this year while the Giants are only 3-3 on the road. The Giants have lost four straight games and the Cowboys should welcome back WR Miles Austin to the field. Logic says to take the Boys, but everything else is screaming Giants. I think that it will be a fantastic finish. Take the Giants and the points!! Side note--take the Giants to score Over 23 Points, they often fall behind early then throw down the field for big plays.
Saturday, December 3, 2011
NCAA Big Sat
NCAA Football
1. So Miss vs Houston Cougars (-13.5) at Houston.
The Cougars (12-0) look to stay alive for a huge BCS bowl game by staying undefeated against Southern Miss (10-2). Houston leads the nation in yards per game and scoring (52.7 ppg). Houston has been dominating teams all year long, especially lately. Southern Miss's strength is their run defense, which puts them in trouble facing QB Keenum and the pass-heavy Cougars. Southern Miss was 4-2 on the road this year and 7-5 ATS for the season. Houston was 10-2 ATS and 6-0 ATS on the year. Houston knows how important this game is for their program and Southern Miss really isn't all that good. Take Houston!!
2. Oklahoma Sooners at Okla State (-3.5)
Yes, I like the OSU offense and their style of play is phenomenal to watch on TV. But, I really worry about them against an experienced Sooner squad. These teams are very similar across the board, and I believe that the Oklahoma grit will prevail. I trust coach Stoops more than I believe in Gundy. The Sooner coaches watched that OSU loss at Iowa State two weeks ago and I'm sure they found OSU's weakness---RUN the ball. Iowa State rushed for 192 yards in that game and OSU has given up 186.6 per game. OSU was 3-2 ATS at home this season. Go with the Sooners and the points!! Also , like the Sooners point line at 34--go Over 34!
3. BYU (-8) at Hawaii Rainbows
The BYU Cougars travel to the islands to finish the year against the once fierce fighting rainbows. Hawaii had been dominant at home in recent years, but have really slipped this season. Hawaii needs to win this game to reach the Hawaii Bowl. Hawaii has lost three of their last four games, and has been flip-flopping QBS in the process. Ouch, that's a definite red flag. BYU has won seven of their last eight games and finished 7-4 ATS (3-1 ATS on the road). The Cougars are an older team with better coaching and better athletes. I really like the BYU O-line and think they will wear down the Rainbows. Take BYU!!!
1. So Miss vs Houston Cougars (-13.5) at Houston.
The Cougars (12-0) look to stay alive for a huge BCS bowl game by staying undefeated against Southern Miss (10-2). Houston leads the nation in yards per game and scoring (52.7 ppg). Houston has been dominating teams all year long, especially lately. Southern Miss's strength is their run defense, which puts them in trouble facing QB Keenum and the pass-heavy Cougars. Southern Miss was 4-2 on the road this year and 7-5 ATS for the season. Houston was 10-2 ATS and 6-0 ATS on the year. Houston knows how important this game is for their program and Southern Miss really isn't all that good. Take Houston!!
2. Oklahoma Sooners at Okla State (-3.5)
Yes, I like the OSU offense and their style of play is phenomenal to watch on TV. But, I really worry about them against an experienced Sooner squad. These teams are very similar across the board, and I believe that the Oklahoma grit will prevail. I trust coach Stoops more than I believe in Gundy. The Sooner coaches watched that OSU loss at Iowa State two weeks ago and I'm sure they found OSU's weakness---RUN the ball. Iowa State rushed for 192 yards in that game and OSU has given up 186.6 per game. OSU was 3-2 ATS at home this season. Go with the Sooners and the points!! Also , like the Sooners point line at 34--go Over 34!
3. BYU (-8) at Hawaii Rainbows
The BYU Cougars travel to the islands to finish the year against the once fierce fighting rainbows. Hawaii had been dominant at home in recent years, but have really slipped this season. Hawaii needs to win this game to reach the Hawaii Bowl. Hawaii has lost three of their last four games, and has been flip-flopping QBS in the process. Ouch, that's a definite red flag. BYU has won seven of their last eight games and finished 7-4 ATS (3-1 ATS on the road). The Cougars are an older team with better coaching and better athletes. I really like the BYU O-line and think they will wear down the Rainbows. Take BYU!!!
Tuesday, November 29, 2011
NFL Reactions
NFL Reactions and Initial Thoughts
1. I will lead with the Packers because I feel like it and they have a fantastic trend this season. They pounded the Lions on Thanksgiving and were only 6 point favorites. Again, this week they are only 7 point favorites---jump on them again!! They play at Giants, who got dumped 49-24 last night vs the Saints.
2. Baltimore beat SF on two terrible calls (Chop block on the 73 yard TD pass to Ginn and the 50-Yard Pass interference on the Interception that led to a Raven FG, which should have been SF ball around midfield). That completely reversed this game completely, SF relies on it's play-calling and simply isn't the same team when they are behind by a couple of scores. Baltimore gets Cleveland this week and a 6.5 point spread--I like it.
3. Atlanta and Houston both won low-scoring games this past week. They face off this week in Houston and the number is 40. Houston and Atlanta have both hit their Unders 8 times in their first 11 games. I like it for a ninth time on Sunday with Houston using their 3rd string QB and Atlanta focusing on the run game.
4. The Patriots stomped on the Eagles 38-20 as my top pick for Sunday. The Patriots are rolling and will be playing the hapless Colts at home this week. The Colts lost their greatest chance at winning this season by losing to Carolina in Indy last Sunday 27-19. They plan on benching QB Painter for Dan Orlavsky, who greatest feat was running out of the endzone on his own accord while playing for Detroit before they cut him. This game smells like an absolute beatdown. Belicheck and Brady have no mercy and the 20-point spread could be eclipsed in the first quarter in NE. Get on the Pats while you can.
5. The Lions will try to rebound after losing to GB by visiting New Orleans. Ouch. The Saints dominated NYG Monday and have shown very little interest in running the ball, much like the Lions. The Lions have gone OVER in all five road games this year. This game should be a ridiculous shootout. Get on the OVER 55 asap.
1. I will lead with the Packers because I feel like it and they have a fantastic trend this season. They pounded the Lions on Thanksgiving and were only 6 point favorites. Again, this week they are only 7 point favorites---jump on them again!! They play at Giants, who got dumped 49-24 last night vs the Saints.
2. Baltimore beat SF on two terrible calls (Chop block on the 73 yard TD pass to Ginn and the 50-Yard Pass interference on the Interception that led to a Raven FG, which should have been SF ball around midfield). That completely reversed this game completely, SF relies on it's play-calling and simply isn't the same team when they are behind by a couple of scores. Baltimore gets Cleveland this week and a 6.5 point spread--I like it.
3. Atlanta and Houston both won low-scoring games this past week. They face off this week in Houston and the number is 40. Houston and Atlanta have both hit their Unders 8 times in their first 11 games. I like it for a ninth time on Sunday with Houston using their 3rd string QB and Atlanta focusing on the run game.
4. The Patriots stomped on the Eagles 38-20 as my top pick for Sunday. The Patriots are rolling and will be playing the hapless Colts at home this week. The Colts lost their greatest chance at winning this season by losing to Carolina in Indy last Sunday 27-19. They plan on benching QB Painter for Dan Orlavsky, who greatest feat was running out of the endzone on his own accord while playing for Detroit before they cut him. This game smells like an absolute beatdown. Belicheck and Brady have no mercy and the 20-point spread could be eclipsed in the first quarter in NE. Get on the Pats while you can.
5. The Lions will try to rebound after losing to GB by visiting New Orleans. Ouch. The Saints dominated NYG Monday and have shown very little interest in running the ball, much like the Lions. The Lions have gone OVER in all five road games this year. This game should be a ridiculous shootout. Get on the OVER 55 asap.
Sunday, November 27, 2011
NFL Big Sunday
Pigskin Picks
1. Cleveland Browns at Cincy Bengals (-7)-Over/Under 38
Let's make this easy, the Bengals are desperate to win this game and are at home. The Browns cannot score and will be without RB Peyton Hillis again. The Browns have averaged under 11 points a game over the last five contests. Their offensive line is battered and QB Colt Mccoy has been putrid. The Bengals are 7-2-1 ATS, and have only lost to the Ravens and Steelers in the last two months. They should have no problem with the Browns in Cincy. Take the Bengals minus the points!
2. Washington Redskins at Seattle Seahawks (-3)-Over/Under 38
Washington is in turmoil and goes across the country to battle the suddenly decent Seahawks. That's a recipe for disaster. The Redskins are 1-4 on the road this year and have lost six games in a row overall. Seattle is 6-3-1 ATS this year and 4-1 ATS at home. They are finally healthy and rolling after starting the season slow. Their coaching also finally got a clue on how to win---run the ball with Lynch and then mix in some crossing patterns. The Seahawks are looking for their third straight victory and will get it against the over-matched Skins. Get on the Seahawks!!
3. NE Patriots (-4) at Philly Eagles-Over/Under 50
I never bet against Tom Brady and the Pats, even if I don't think that they will win or cover. I really don't understand this spread at all. I would have guessed it would be around 10 points. Philly is 1-4 at home ATS and straight up. QB Mike Vick and star WR Jeremy Maclin are out again. The Pats have scored at least 30 points in 7 of their 10 games so far and scored 71 points in their last two games. The Pats will score and I doubt that the Eagles will be able to keep up. Take the Pats to roll!!
1. Cleveland Browns at Cincy Bengals (-7)-Over/Under 38
Let's make this easy, the Bengals are desperate to win this game and are at home. The Browns cannot score and will be without RB Peyton Hillis again. The Browns have averaged under 11 points a game over the last five contests. Their offensive line is battered and QB Colt Mccoy has been putrid. The Bengals are 7-2-1 ATS, and have only lost to the Ravens and Steelers in the last two months. They should have no problem with the Browns in Cincy. Take the Bengals minus the points!
2. Washington Redskins at Seattle Seahawks (-3)-Over/Under 38
Washington is in turmoil and goes across the country to battle the suddenly decent Seahawks. That's a recipe for disaster. The Redskins are 1-4 on the road this year and have lost six games in a row overall. Seattle is 6-3-1 ATS this year and 4-1 ATS at home. They are finally healthy and rolling after starting the season slow. Their coaching also finally got a clue on how to win---run the ball with Lynch and then mix in some crossing patterns. The Seahawks are looking for their third straight victory and will get it against the over-matched Skins. Get on the Seahawks!!
3. NE Patriots (-4) at Philly Eagles-Over/Under 50
I never bet against Tom Brady and the Pats, even if I don't think that they will win or cover. I really don't understand this spread at all. I would have guessed it would be around 10 points. Philly is 1-4 at home ATS and straight up. QB Mike Vick and star WR Jeremy Maclin are out again. The Pats have scored at least 30 points in 7 of their 10 games so far and scored 71 points in their last two games. The Pats will score and I doubt that the Eagles will be able to keep up. Take the Pats to roll!!
Saturday, November 26, 2011
NCAA Saturday
NCAA Football Time
1. Ohio State at Michigan (-7.5).
I have long despised the OSU Buckeyes, always drastically overrated for some odd reason. OSU has lost two in a row and is 0-3 on the road this season. The Buckeyes have completed less than 48% of their passes this year and rank 115th in passing offense in the nation. That is insanely bad!! OSU has looked slow this year and will struggle to contain Michigan's speed on offense. QB Denard Robinson will avenge last year's humiliating 37-7 loss at OSU. I like Michigan to hurt the Buckeyes. Go with Michigan!! G*d Damn Referees f*cked Michigan.(Update 12:27 PST)
2. UAB (-3.5) at Florida Atlantic.
Florida Atlantic is 0-10 on the year and is ranked 118th overall in offense. These guys don't just lose, they lose badly. They have been outscored by 123 points in their last five games. Meanwhile, UAB is 3-5 in the underrated Conference USA. The UAB Blazers have won two in a row (at Memphis and against top 25 Southern Miss), while scoring 75 points. This looks like a team on the rise with their QB Jon Perry completing over 57% of his passes. Let's roll with the UAB Blazers for their third straight win!! Also, Take the OVER 54!
3. Troy State at Western Kentucky (-5.5)
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (6-5) are playing for first place in the Sun Belt and have won six of their last seven games. Their one loss was at #1 LSU by a score of 42-9, but were only behind 14-7 at halftime and really played well despite losing. The Hilltoppers are 9-2 ATS and are playing their final home game of the year. Troy State can pass the ball on offense, but stink on defense and will struggle to run the ball against a stout Hilltopper D. Take Western Kentucky at home playing for a shot at the conference title.
1. Ohio State at Michigan (-7.5).
I have long despised the OSU Buckeyes, always drastically overrated for some odd reason. OSU has lost two in a row and is 0-3 on the road this season. The Buckeyes have completed less than 48% of their passes this year and rank 115th in passing offense in the nation. That is insanely bad!! OSU has looked slow this year and will struggle to contain Michigan's speed on offense. QB Denard Robinson will avenge last year's humiliating 37-7 loss at OSU. I like Michigan to hurt the Buckeyes. Go with Michigan!! G*d Damn Referees f*cked Michigan.(Update 12:27 PST)
2. UAB (-3.5) at Florida Atlantic.
Florida Atlantic is 0-10 on the year and is ranked 118th overall in offense. These guys don't just lose, they lose badly. They have been outscored by 123 points in their last five games. Meanwhile, UAB is 3-5 in the underrated Conference USA. The UAB Blazers have won two in a row (at Memphis and against top 25 Southern Miss), while scoring 75 points. This looks like a team on the rise with their QB Jon Perry completing over 57% of his passes. Let's roll with the UAB Blazers for their third straight win!! Also, Take the OVER 54!
3. Troy State at Western Kentucky (-5.5)
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (6-5) are playing for first place in the Sun Belt and have won six of their last seven games. Their one loss was at #1 LSU by a score of 42-9, but were only behind 14-7 at halftime and really played well despite losing. The Hilltoppers are 9-2 ATS and are playing their final home game of the year. Troy State can pass the ball on offense, but stink on defense and will struggle to run the ball against a stout Hilltopper D. Take Western Kentucky at home playing for a shot at the conference title.
Tuesday, November 22, 2011
NFL Thanksgiving
NFL - Turkey Time
1. G.Bay Packers (-6) at Detroit Lions / Over 56.
I stated something earlier this season about taking the Packers whenever they have under a 7-point spread, and I will stick to it. I gotta admit that the Packers played real sloppy last week and their lack of a running game might hurt them in the playoffs, but we are not in post-season. The Lions are a solid team this year and I like them to make this game close. But Lions simply aren't in the same class as the Packers. Rodgers doesn't make mistakes and Stafford still does. The Lions are only 3-2 at home this year and practically lost last week to Carolina. Let's stick with the Packers minus 6!! Also, the public loves the Over 56 and it's hard to argue with that.
2. Miami Dolphins at Dallas Cowboys (-7) / Over 45.5.
Miami is playing red-hot right now, winning their last three games in a row, but look at those victories a little closer. They beat KC, Washington and Buffalo---not an impressive bunch. The Dolphins will continue to start QB Matt Moore, who has failed to impress since taking over for the injured Chad Henne. I think the Fins are due for a regression soon. Dallas has also won three straight games and need this win to keep pace with the NY Giants for first place in the NFC East. The only real trend in this game is that the Dolphins' games have gone UNDER in 9 of their 10 games this season. My play is to take the Under --and then buy the half point with the Cowboys (-6.5).
3. SF 49ers at Baltimore Ravens (-3.5) / Over 38.5.
The battle of the Harbaugh bros is our showcase on Thanksgiving night. I really cannot solve the Ravens, they seem to play great against big opponents then follow it up with a stinker. They played well against the Bengals in a battle for first place last week, winning 31-24. They could be without defensive captain MLB Ray Lewis, who is doubtful after not playing last Sunday. The Ravens seem to lose control of games when they fail to score first. The 49ers are 9-0-1 ATS this year and have been a favorite of mine for most of the year. Jim Harbaugh is the best coach in football and will show it again despite having much inferior talent than Baltimore. I like the 49ers to win, but will gladly take the 3.5 points!! If you need a Over/Under call then follow the trend, only two games all year have gone Under for Baltimore. Ride the OVER 38.5.
Have a great Thanksgiving Fools!
1. G.Bay Packers (-6) at Detroit Lions / Over 56.
I stated something earlier this season about taking the Packers whenever they have under a 7-point spread, and I will stick to it. I gotta admit that the Packers played real sloppy last week and their lack of a running game might hurt them in the playoffs, but we are not in post-season. The Lions are a solid team this year and I like them to make this game close. But Lions simply aren't in the same class as the Packers. Rodgers doesn't make mistakes and Stafford still does. The Lions are only 3-2 at home this year and practically lost last week to Carolina. Let's stick with the Packers minus 6!! Also, the public loves the Over 56 and it's hard to argue with that.
2. Miami Dolphins at Dallas Cowboys (-7) / Over 45.5.
Miami is playing red-hot right now, winning their last three games in a row, but look at those victories a little closer. They beat KC, Washington and Buffalo---not an impressive bunch. The Dolphins will continue to start QB Matt Moore, who has failed to impress since taking over for the injured Chad Henne. I think the Fins are due for a regression soon. Dallas has also won three straight games and need this win to keep pace with the NY Giants for first place in the NFC East. The only real trend in this game is that the Dolphins' games have gone UNDER in 9 of their 10 games this season. My play is to take the Under --and then buy the half point with the Cowboys (-6.5).
3. SF 49ers at Baltimore Ravens (-3.5) / Over 38.5.
The battle of the Harbaugh bros is our showcase on Thanksgiving night. I really cannot solve the Ravens, they seem to play great against big opponents then follow it up with a stinker. They played well against the Bengals in a battle for first place last week, winning 31-24. They could be without defensive captain MLB Ray Lewis, who is doubtful after not playing last Sunday. The Ravens seem to lose control of games when they fail to score first. The 49ers are 9-0-1 ATS this year and have been a favorite of mine for most of the year. Jim Harbaugh is the best coach in football and will show it again despite having much inferior talent than Baltimore. I like the 49ers to win, but will gladly take the 3.5 points!! If you need a Over/Under call then follow the trend, only two games all year have gone Under for Baltimore. Ride the OVER 38.5.
Have a great Thanksgiving Fools!
Wednesday, November 16, 2011
NFL Week #11 Calls
Week #11 - NFL
1. NY Jets (-6) at Denver Broncos - I have been a staunch Broncos supporter with Tebow as the QB all year. Coach Fox finally figured it out. Run the ball and mix up the playbook to fit Tebow's skills. The problem is that they will not be able to come back from two-score deficits, so if they fall behind early then they will be doomed. The Jets defense struggled against the run early this season, but have looked much better over the last month. Fred Jackson's 82 yards is the most yards allowed by a NYJ opponent in the last four games. The Jets should man up across the board and stack eight men in the box. I like Sanchez to find Holmes and Keller to beat a weak Denver secondary. Denver is 0-4 ATS at home this year. Go with the NY Jets!!
2. Arizona at SF 49ers (-9.5) - Gotta love the job that SF Coach Jim Harbaugh is doing with the 49ers. SF is 8-0-1 ATS this year and could be playing a dismal Cardinal squad without top RB Beanie Wells. Wells hasn't been practicing and has been limited in recent games. The 49ers are the best in the NFL against the run (73 yards/game) and haven't allowed a rushing TD in their last ten games. That means that backup QB John Skelton will have to beat the 49ers thru the air--scary. Watch for a SF defensive score in this one. Take the Niners minus the points!!
3. SD Chargers at Chicago Bears (-4) - The beat up Chargers travel to the windy city to take on the red-hot Bears. The Bears have won four straight games and have finally figured out their offense. OC Mike Martz has realized the importance of RB Matt Forte and the Bears ground game. The Bears have scored 130 points in their last four games and their defense dominated the Lions last week. The putrid Chargers are 2-7 ATS and will be without numerous key players on both sides of the ball. This could be a blood bath. Watch the Bears rout the Boltz!! Take Chicago Big!!
1. NY Jets (-6) at Denver Broncos - I have been a staunch Broncos supporter with Tebow as the QB all year. Coach Fox finally figured it out. Run the ball and mix up the playbook to fit Tebow's skills. The problem is that they will not be able to come back from two-score deficits, so if they fall behind early then they will be doomed. The Jets defense struggled against the run early this season, but have looked much better over the last month. Fred Jackson's 82 yards is the most yards allowed by a NYJ opponent in the last four games. The Jets should man up across the board and stack eight men in the box. I like Sanchez to find Holmes and Keller to beat a weak Denver secondary. Denver is 0-4 ATS at home this year. Go with the NY Jets!!
2. Arizona at SF 49ers (-9.5) - Gotta love the job that SF Coach Jim Harbaugh is doing with the 49ers. SF is 8-0-1 ATS this year and could be playing a dismal Cardinal squad without top RB Beanie Wells. Wells hasn't been practicing and has been limited in recent games. The 49ers are the best in the NFL against the run (73 yards/game) and haven't allowed a rushing TD in their last ten games. That means that backup QB John Skelton will have to beat the 49ers thru the air--scary. Watch for a SF defensive score in this one. Take the Niners minus the points!!
3. SD Chargers at Chicago Bears (-4) - The beat up Chargers travel to the windy city to take on the red-hot Bears. The Bears have won four straight games and have finally figured out their offense. OC Mike Martz has realized the importance of RB Matt Forte and the Bears ground game. The Bears have scored 130 points in their last four games and their defense dominated the Lions last week. The putrid Chargers are 2-7 ATS and will be without numerous key players on both sides of the ball. This could be a blood bath. Watch the Bears rout the Boltz!! Take Chicago Big!!
Monday, November 14, 2011
MNF Vikings at GB Packers
MNF
Minnesota Vikings at GB Packers (-13) - Over/Under 50
A few weeks ago, the Vikings changed QBs to rookie Christian Ponder, and what a difference it made. They almost beat the Packers (33-27) then went on the road to Carolina and won 24-21. They are coming off a bye week, which has been terrible so far for teams in 2011, but that should really help Ponder get a better sense of the offense. They aren't going to beat Green Bay but they could make it close or at least high scoring. The total has gone OVER in 6 of the Packers last 9 games. These two teams play allow the most passing yards in the NFL. There is no team that can stop QB Aaron Rodgers and the Packer offense. Watch for a ton of points, as the Vikings should comeback in the second half and make this game decently close. The Big Play has to be the OVER 50!!! But make sure to check the weather before game time if you can just so there isn't a suprise blizzard or something crazy. The forecast is 30* and cloudy. Good luck.
Minnesota Vikings at GB Packers (-13) - Over/Under 50
A few weeks ago, the Vikings changed QBs to rookie Christian Ponder, and what a difference it made. They almost beat the Packers (33-27) then went on the road to Carolina and won 24-21. They are coming off a bye week, which has been terrible so far for teams in 2011, but that should really help Ponder get a better sense of the offense. They aren't going to beat Green Bay but they could make it close or at least high scoring. The total has gone OVER in 6 of the Packers last 9 games. These two teams play allow the most passing yards in the NFL. There is no team that can stop QB Aaron Rodgers and the Packer offense. Watch for a ton of points, as the Vikings should comeback in the second half and make this game decently close. The Big Play has to be the OVER 50!!! But make sure to check the weather before game time if you can just so there isn't a suprise blizzard or something crazy. The forecast is 30* and cloudy. Good luck.
Monday, November 7, 2011
Week 9 Reactions
Week 9
1. Thank you Packers for covering the spread against the overrated SD Chargers. Rivers threw 6 TDs, four to SD wideouts and two to Packer DBs. Aaron Rodgers cannot be stopped---always take GB with any point spread under a TD, anywhere at any time. Too easy.
2. The SF 49ers win and cover again. They are now 7-0-1 ATS and have the best play calling in football. They dominated the Skins on the road, allowing a late garbage time TD and a 59-yd FG. Stay on them each week.
3. The NY Jets are starting to look dangerous. The Jets D looked fantastic and absolutely dominated the once fierce Bills. We need to respect the Jets from now on. They are built for cold weather and should continue to improve on offense.
4. The Cincy Bengals won on the road at Tennessee behind heroics by rookie QB Dalton. They are now 6-2 overall and 4-1 on the road this year. They even better 7-1 ATS. They host the Steelers this weekend, a win and the playoffs look legit.
5. Home Favorites Lost Big Games. Eagles and Patriots. Both blew second half leads against more desperate teams. Another note on these games--the spreads have been larger this season than normal. I don't like giving over a TD unless teams are playing bottom of the barrel competition. The Giants and Bears are solid teams with good defenses. Bad combo for giving away a lot of points.
6. Two teams come off their bye week-Carolina and Detroit-both 5-2-1 ATS. I like both for the stretch run. Carolina hosts Tennessee next week and Detroit gets Chicago.
7. Indianapolis Blows (Again). Like I said last week, take advantage of them at all times. Jags minus 3 points seems fine. The Colts cannot run or pass, they scored once this past week and it came on defense. Sad. Take the Jags this weekend!
8. The STL Rams are also pathetic. They are 1-7 ATS and managed to blow another game last week at Arizona against the backup QB. They were getting 3.5 points, but lost by 6 on a 99-yard punt return in overtime. Amazing! They are on the road this weekend at Cleveland. Do not watch this game. UGLY, low scoring game.
9. KC and Oakland losing horrible games at home. Haha. Tebow strikes down the evil empire. Sweet justice. Tebow heads to KC next week. KC got obliterated by Miami 31-3 on Sunday. Miami's first win all year! Watch for Tebow to take it to the Chiefs this week as well. Denver is 3-1 ATS on the road and should run all over KC, plus they get 3.5 points. Get on the Broncos!
1. Thank you Packers for covering the spread against the overrated SD Chargers. Rivers threw 6 TDs, four to SD wideouts and two to Packer DBs. Aaron Rodgers cannot be stopped---always take GB with any point spread under a TD, anywhere at any time. Too easy.
2. The SF 49ers win and cover again. They are now 7-0-1 ATS and have the best play calling in football. They dominated the Skins on the road, allowing a late garbage time TD and a 59-yd FG. Stay on them each week.
3. The NY Jets are starting to look dangerous. The Jets D looked fantastic and absolutely dominated the once fierce Bills. We need to respect the Jets from now on. They are built for cold weather and should continue to improve on offense.
4. The Cincy Bengals won on the road at Tennessee behind heroics by rookie QB Dalton. They are now 6-2 overall and 4-1 on the road this year. They even better 7-1 ATS. They host the Steelers this weekend, a win and the playoffs look legit.
5. Home Favorites Lost Big Games. Eagles and Patriots. Both blew second half leads against more desperate teams. Another note on these games--the spreads have been larger this season than normal. I don't like giving over a TD unless teams are playing bottom of the barrel competition. The Giants and Bears are solid teams with good defenses. Bad combo for giving away a lot of points.
6. Two teams come off their bye week-Carolina and Detroit-both 5-2-1 ATS. I like both for the stretch run. Carolina hosts Tennessee next week and Detroit gets Chicago.
7. Indianapolis Blows (Again). Like I said last week, take advantage of them at all times. Jags minus 3 points seems fine. The Colts cannot run or pass, they scored once this past week and it came on defense. Sad. Take the Jags this weekend!
8. The STL Rams are also pathetic. They are 1-7 ATS and managed to blow another game last week at Arizona against the backup QB. They were getting 3.5 points, but lost by 6 on a 99-yard punt return in overtime. Amazing! They are on the road this weekend at Cleveland. Do not watch this game. UGLY, low scoring game.
9. KC and Oakland losing horrible games at home. Haha. Tebow strikes down the evil empire. Sweet justice. Tebow heads to KC next week. KC got obliterated by Miami 31-3 on Sunday. Miami's first win all year! Watch for Tebow to take it to the Chiefs this week as well. Denver is 3-1 ATS on the road and should run all over KC, plus they get 3.5 points. Get on the Broncos!
Late MNF Action
MNF
Chicago Bears at Philly Eagles (-8) - Over/Under 48
Both teams are poor against the spread and edge toward the "Under". The Bears aren't very good, but 8 points is too high. Take the Bears +8 and the Under.
Chicago Bears at Philly Eagles (-8) - Over/Under 48
Both teams are poor against the spread and edge toward the "Under". The Bears aren't very good, but 8 points is too high. Take the Bears +8 and the Under.
Saturday, November 5, 2011
NCAA Saturday
NCAA Ball Games
1. LSU at Alabama (-4.5)- The BIG game of the day (obviously), is in primetime at 5 pm (PST). I love coach Miles for LSU, but they are on the road and aren't as talented as Bama. The only weakness on Bama is their QB, so if LSU can get ahead in this game then the Tide will be in trouble. LSU has won six of the last eight matchups with Alabama. Unreal. Let's go with LSU with the points.
2. Wash St at California (-8.5)- WSU is 2-20 on the road in their last 22 games. Cal is a much better team and playing at home, a combination that I love. Cal needs to win this game, and just crushed Utah (34-10) during their last home game. Let's roll with Cal!!
3. Utah St at Hawaii (-3)- The late night game, always a favorite of mine. Hawaii is 2-1 ATS this year and has always played well at home. They definitely take advantage of all the home field aspects. Utah State is horrible and is 2-4 ATS vs Hawaii. Hawaii is 9-1 in their last 10 home games. Go with the Fightin Rainbows!!
1. LSU at Alabama (-4.5)- The BIG game of the day (obviously), is in primetime at 5 pm (PST). I love coach Miles for LSU, but they are on the road and aren't as talented as Bama. The only weakness on Bama is their QB, so if LSU can get ahead in this game then the Tide will be in trouble. LSU has won six of the last eight matchups with Alabama. Unreal. Let's go with LSU with the points.
2. Wash St at California (-8.5)- WSU is 2-20 on the road in their last 22 games. Cal is a much better team and playing at home, a combination that I love. Cal needs to win this game, and just crushed Utah (34-10) during their last home game. Let's roll with Cal!!
3. Utah St at Hawaii (-3)- The late night game, always a favorite of mine. Hawaii is 2-1 ATS this year and has always played well at home. They definitely take advantage of all the home field aspects. Utah State is horrible and is 2-4 ATS vs Hawaii. Hawaii is 9-1 in their last 10 home games. Go with the Fightin Rainbows!!
Thursday, November 3, 2011
NCAA Friday
NCAA Friday
The Trojans (6-2) travel to the rockies to take on the hapless Buffaloes (1-8). The Trojans are a solid squad and should crush Colorado. The Buffaloes have lost six straight games and have one of the worst defenses in college football allowing 38.3 points per game. Even worse, they have been absolutely destroyed in their last four games by a combined score of 193-47. They are helpless! USC is 2-1 ATS on the road this year and need a win after the heartbreaking loss last week to Stanford. They need a convincing win for their bowl aspirations. Watch for them to dominate Colorado on national TV. Go with USC -21!!
**Late Add--USC scoring Over 40 points--that's the point line for USC only, should be easy! (Update 3:34 pm)
USC (-21) at Colorado
The Trojans (6-2) travel to the rockies to take on the hapless Buffaloes (1-8). The Trojans are a solid squad and should crush Colorado. The Buffaloes have lost six straight games and have one of the worst defenses in college football allowing 38.3 points per game. Even worse, they have been absolutely destroyed in their last four games by a combined score of 193-47. They are helpless! USC is 2-1 ATS on the road this year and need a win after the heartbreaking loss last week to Stanford. They need a convincing win for their bowl aspirations. Watch for them to dominate Colorado on national TV. Go with USC -21!!
**Late Add--USC scoring Over 40 points--that's the point line for USC only, should be easy! (Update 3:34 pm)
Tuesday, November 1, 2011
Week 8 Revelations
Week 8 - NFL
1. Indianapolis has thrown in the towel. They will probably get crushed in every road game, where they can hide from their fans. At home it might be a different story, but their team has always relied on Manning way too much and now they are paying for it. They are not built to come from behind and should be avoided or exploited at all times.
2. Cincy, Carolina and Minnesota are very dangerous teams with rookie QBs who are playing at high levels. These teams will compete and should be respected no matter who the opponent may be.
3. It's time to believe in Buffalo, Houston, San Francisco and Detroit. These teams are solid and their defenses are better than most people may think. Never bet against them at home. Never. These three teams still get nice spreads, take advantage if you can.
4. Philadelphia destroyed Dallas--I see two teams going opposite directions. I really don't like Dallas on offense. I see a scared QB looking to dump the ball off and worried about making mistakes deep down the field. On the other hand, Philly might have finally figured out their personnel. On Offense, spread the field on offense and throw quick screens to slow down the pass rush. On D, play man coverage and blitz the QB. Watch out NFC.
5. The Sunday night game, Baltimore at Pittsburgh, will showcase the difference that eight weeks can make. Baltimore killed Pitt 35-7 in week 1, just completely dominated the Steelers in all categories. Over the past two weeks, I see a very disturbing trend for the Ravens. Their O-line has looked slow and weak, they have struggled to run the ball and Flacco has been pressured repeatedly. Pittsburgh will exploit this weakness and avenge their week one loss.
6. Never trust bad coaching! Denver, Miami and the SD Chargers have the three worst coaching staffs in the NFL. These teams are trouble and will let you down over and over again.
7. The NO Saints are a great team.....at home. Do NOT take them on the road against anyone. Always remember their loss at Seattle last year in the playoffs. If you forget, recall last week's debacle in St. Louis.
8. Always stick to your guns and trust your gut feeling. Never let anyone influence your beliefs, especially pre-game shows or ex-players trying to prove their wit.
9. The Green Bay Packers are the best team in the NFL by far right now, they are at minus six points at SD right now--jump on it!
10. Quick Pick for Friday NCAA--USC (-22) at Colorado. Colorado Buffaloes are putrid. Tommy Trojan will celebrate again. Get on USC asap.
1. Indianapolis has thrown in the towel. They will probably get crushed in every road game, where they can hide from their fans. At home it might be a different story, but their team has always relied on Manning way too much and now they are paying for it. They are not built to come from behind and should be avoided or exploited at all times.
2. Cincy, Carolina and Minnesota are very dangerous teams with rookie QBs who are playing at high levels. These teams will compete and should be respected no matter who the opponent may be.
3. It's time to believe in Buffalo, Houston, San Francisco and Detroit. These teams are solid and their defenses are better than most people may think. Never bet against them at home. Never. These three teams still get nice spreads, take advantage if you can.
4. Philadelphia destroyed Dallas--I see two teams going opposite directions. I really don't like Dallas on offense. I see a scared QB looking to dump the ball off and worried about making mistakes deep down the field. On the other hand, Philly might have finally figured out their personnel. On Offense, spread the field on offense and throw quick screens to slow down the pass rush. On D, play man coverage and blitz the QB. Watch out NFC.
5. The Sunday night game, Baltimore at Pittsburgh, will showcase the difference that eight weeks can make. Baltimore killed Pitt 35-7 in week 1, just completely dominated the Steelers in all categories. Over the past two weeks, I see a very disturbing trend for the Ravens. Their O-line has looked slow and weak, they have struggled to run the ball and Flacco has been pressured repeatedly. Pittsburgh will exploit this weakness and avenge their week one loss.
6. Never trust bad coaching! Denver, Miami and the SD Chargers have the three worst coaching staffs in the NFL. These teams are trouble and will let you down over and over again.
7. The NO Saints are a great team.....at home. Do NOT take them on the road against anyone. Always remember their loss at Seattle last year in the playoffs. If you forget, recall last week's debacle in St. Louis.
8. Always stick to your guns and trust your gut feeling. Never let anyone influence your beliefs, especially pre-game shows or ex-players trying to prove their wit.
9. The Green Bay Packers are the best team in the NFL by far right now, they are at minus six points at SD right now--jump on it!
10. Quick Pick for Friday NCAA--USC (-22) at Colorado. Colorado Buffaloes are putrid. Tommy Trojan will celebrate again. Get on USC asap.
Monday, October 31, 2011
MNF
MNF - SD Chargers (-3.5) at KC Chiefs - Over/Under 44
The visiting Chargers (4-2) are at KC tonight to battle the Chiefs (3-3). This spread line started at 4 and had dropped decently to 3 over the last couple of days. The Chargers lost at KC on MNF last year to open the season in a sloppy game in the rain. The big difference this year is that KC will be without star RB Jamaal Charles with a torn ACL. KC has been forced to throw the ball more than they are used to and that will cause problems for QB Matt Cassel. Cassel has struggled this season again (1106 yds, 8 TD/7 Int.), but so has SD's Philip Rivers (1715 yds, 7 TD/9 Int.). The best QB performance will prevail. For the Chargers to win they will need to run the ball with RB Ryan Mathews (452 yds/ 3 TDs) since backup Mike Tolbert will be out. Mathews should open things up for Rivers to look deep for WR Vincent Jackson. KC has the 25th ranked rush D, but has won three games in a row after starting the season 0-3. The Chargers will be without star LB Shaun Phillips and all-pro LG Kris Dielman.
As a Chargers fan, I am worried about our defense and soft zone coverage. This should be a tight matchup even though the Chargers have beaten KC seven of the last eight games. If Rivers continues to make mistakes, then the Boltz will be in deep trouble. It's probably time for HC Norv Turner to pack his bags if the Chargers lose this game. There will be a lot of pressure on him to win before heading home to take on the Packers and Raiders in the next two weeks.
I like the Chargers to win on a late score--my gut says to TAKE KC and the points.
I prefer to take the OVER 44!!
The visiting Chargers (4-2) are at KC tonight to battle the Chiefs (3-3). This spread line started at 4 and had dropped decently to 3 over the last couple of days. The Chargers lost at KC on MNF last year to open the season in a sloppy game in the rain. The big difference this year is that KC will be without star RB Jamaal Charles with a torn ACL. KC has been forced to throw the ball more than they are used to and that will cause problems for QB Matt Cassel. Cassel has struggled this season again (1106 yds, 8 TD/7 Int.), but so has SD's Philip Rivers (1715 yds, 7 TD/9 Int.). The best QB performance will prevail. For the Chargers to win they will need to run the ball with RB Ryan Mathews (452 yds/ 3 TDs) since backup Mike Tolbert will be out. Mathews should open things up for Rivers to look deep for WR Vincent Jackson. KC has the 25th ranked rush D, but has won three games in a row after starting the season 0-3. The Chargers will be without star LB Shaun Phillips and all-pro LG Kris Dielman.
As a Chargers fan, I am worried about our defense and soft zone coverage. This should be a tight matchup even though the Chargers have beaten KC seven of the last eight games. If Rivers continues to make mistakes, then the Boltz will be in deep trouble. It's probably time for HC Norv Turner to pack his bags if the Chargers lose this game. There will be a lot of pressure on him to win before heading home to take on the Packers and Raiders in the next two weeks.
I like the Chargers to win on a late score--my gut says to TAKE KC and the points.
I prefer to take the OVER 44!!
Sunday, October 30, 2011
Get on Philly and the OVER asap
I have zero time to chat today, but get on the Philly Eagles (-3) and OVER 48 asap. That's all I can say right now. Halloween weekend is getting at me. The Eagles should win a high scoring game. I'm gonna go Eagles 31-24 tonight!!
Friday, October 28, 2011
College Football Saturday
Happy Halloween Fools
College Game of the Day--Arizona at Washington (-3.5)
Washington (5-2) has played very well this year, only losing road games at Nebraska and Stanford. They have scored at least 30 points in every game except last week's beatdown in Stanford 65-21. Washington has been exceptional at home during the last couple of years (4-0 this year) and should have no problem beating the short-handed Wildcats. Arizona (2-5) will be without two defensive starters in the secondary after the on field brawl last week with UCLA. Arizona's defense enters the game ranked 113th in the nation and has yet to allow less than 37 points on the road this season. I expect a high scoring game but cannot figure out how the Wildcats will be able to stop the Huskies. Go with Washington minus 3.5!!
Now time to enjoy the weekend. Costumes on, time to get hammered. Gotta love Halloween.
Monday, October 24, 2011
MNF Regret
Wow, tough game tonight.
Entering tonight's game, the Jags (1-5) were last in total offense in the NFL at 260 yards/game and 2nd worst in scoring at 12 points per game (STL Rams 9.3 ppg). They were 2-4 ATS and have one of the league's worst coaches in Jack Del Rio.
On the other hand, the Ravens (4-1) were third in total defense and led the NFL in fewest points allowed at 14.2 ppg. The Ravens were fifth in scoring at 29.6 points per game, while beating three of the top teams in the AFC (Pittsburg, Houston and the NY Jets) by a combined 60 total points. Also, the Ravens were 4-1 ATS.
As they say, "Shit Happens".
Entering tonight's game, the Jags (1-5) were last in total offense in the NFL at 260 yards/game and 2nd worst in scoring at 12 points per game (STL Rams 9.3 ppg). They were 2-4 ATS and have one of the league's worst coaches in Jack Del Rio.
On the other hand, the Ravens (4-1) were third in total defense and led the NFL in fewest points allowed at 14.2 ppg. The Ravens were fifth in scoring at 29.6 points per game, while beating three of the top teams in the AFC (Pittsburg, Houston and the NY Jets) by a combined 60 total points. Also, the Ravens were 4-1 ATS.
As they say, "Shit Happens".
Back with MNF Football
MNF - Baltimore Ravens (-9.5) at Jax Jaguars
The Ravens (4-1) travel to Jacksonville to battle the hapless Jags (1-5). The Jags have lost five straight games after beating the Titans on opening day 16-14. The Jags continue to start rookie QB Blaine Gabbert despite his passing woes and the team's lack of scoring (12 ppg). Things won't get any easier tonight vs the veteran Ravens and their #3 rush defense. The Jags should struggle to run the ball as Houston did last week (Foster 49 yds), leaving them vulnerable to the ball-hawking Baltimore defense. This game really come get out of control early if Gabbert can't establish something via the air. The Ravens have averaged 29.6 points per game this season and feature one of the best RBs in football with Ray Rice. Look for him to have another monster game and the Ravens to blowout the Jags. Go with the Ravens minus the points!!
The Ravens (4-1) travel to Jacksonville to battle the hapless Jags (1-5). The Jags have lost five straight games after beating the Titans on opening day 16-14. The Jags continue to start rookie QB Blaine Gabbert despite his passing woes and the team's lack of scoring (12 ppg). Things won't get any easier tonight vs the veteran Ravens and their #3 rush defense. The Jags should struggle to run the ball as Houston did last week (Foster 49 yds), leaving them vulnerable to the ball-hawking Baltimore defense. This game really come get out of control early if Gabbert can't establish something via the air. The Ravens have averaged 29.6 points per game this season and feature one of the best RBs in football with Ray Rice. Look for him to have another monster game and the Ravens to blowout the Jags. Go with the Ravens minus the points!!
Wednesday, September 28, 2011
Thursday, July 7, 2011
Yankee Pride on Thursday
Welcome back......me. After a nice long break for the July 4th weekend, we are back in business.
TB Rays at NY Yanks (-1.5/ +105)
The third place Rays (48-39) travel to the Bronx to face the AL East leaders in the Yankees (51-34). The Yanks will be sending one of my personal favorites in Fat Bartolo Colon (6-3, 2.88 ERA) to the mound. The Rays will counter with their worst pitcher this season, Jeff Niemann (3-4, 5.05 ERA). Colon is coming off another impressive start (6 IP, 0 Runs, 6 Ks) versus the Mets last Saturday. He has really been a revelation this year. The Yankees are second in the majors in runs scored and first in homeruns. They should have no problem hammering Niemann tonight at home, where they have won 28 games (1st in AL). Go with the Yankees!!
TB Rays at NY Yanks (-1.5/ +105)
The third place Rays (48-39) travel to the Bronx to face the AL East leaders in the Yankees (51-34). The Yanks will be sending one of my personal favorites in Fat Bartolo Colon (6-3, 2.88 ERA) to the mound. The Rays will counter with their worst pitcher this season, Jeff Niemann (3-4, 5.05 ERA). Colon is coming off another impressive start (6 IP, 0 Runs, 6 Ks) versus the Mets last Saturday. He has really been a revelation this year. The Yankees are second in the majors in runs scored and first in homeruns. They should have no problem hammering Niemann tonight at home, where they have won 28 games (1st in AL). Go with the Yankees!!
Friday, July 1, 2011
Chicago vs Chicago
MLB-- Sox (-115) vs Cubs
The Battle of Chicago starts today at Wrigley Field between the Chi Sox and the Cubbies. The Sox will send a surging Edwin Jackson (4-6, 4.13 ERA) to the mound against the Cubs' Randy Wells (1-2, 6.25 ERA). You should remember how much I hate the Cubbies and Wells. Jackson is coming off of his best start all season, 7 IP 0 ER and 8 strikeouts. The Sox have won two in a row in seven of their last eleven. Wells is coming off another disaster in KC (6 Runs, 6 IP). The wind will be blowing out today and that could lead to a lot of runs. Go with the Sox to hammer Wells and the Cubs!
The Battle of Chicago starts today at Wrigley Field between the Chi Sox and the Cubbies. The Sox will send a surging Edwin Jackson (4-6, 4.13 ERA) to the mound against the Cubs' Randy Wells (1-2, 6.25 ERA). You should remember how much I hate the Cubbies and Wells. Jackson is coming off of his best start all season, 7 IP 0 ER and 8 strikeouts. The Sox have won two in a row in seven of their last eleven. Wells is coming off another disaster in KC (6 Runs, 6 IP). The wind will be blowing out today and that could lead to a lot of runs. Go with the Sox to hammer Wells and the Cubs!
Saturday, June 25, 2011
Rise and Shine for the Yankees
Get on the Yankees Today....asap. The game is at 10:00 AM.
Yankees (-220/-115 -1.5 Runs) at home w/ Sabathia (9-4, 3.39 ERA) VS Colorado Rockies and A.Cook (0-2, 4.67 ERA). Yanks are 20-4 in Day Games. Cook is putrid. Expect the Bronx Bombers to crush.
Take anything Yankees today. Should be a Beatdown NYY Style.
Yankees (-220/-115 -1.5 Runs) at home w/ Sabathia (9-4, 3.39 ERA) VS Colorado Rockies and A.Cook (0-2, 4.67 ERA). Yanks are 20-4 in Day Games. Cook is putrid. Expect the Bronx Bombers to crush.
Take anything Yankees today. Should be a Beatdown NYY Style.
Friday, June 24, 2011
Run Line Friday
Gotta love Friday. I'm already in weekend mode and can't wait for our annual Pub Crawl here in Newport Beach tomorrow starting at noon. It starts out as a biking event then converts to stumbling around the Newport Pier area. Happy Birthday Ballard!
My favorite run line for the day is:
Washington at Chi Sox (4 Runs): I will take Zimmerman to hold down the Sox under 4 Runs all day. Zimmerman has been outright dominant this season, the last start that he allowed over three earned runs was in April. The Sox offense has been a big disappointment this season. They have scored over 4 runs just twice in their last eight games. Go with the UNDER 4 Runs for the Sox!
2) Cubs OVER 4 Runs at KC Chen--Chicken Dinner
3) Dodgers OVER 3 Runs vs LAA Haren--2 Runs in the First ends in a tie
4) Indians OVER 3 Runs at SF Sanchez--2 Runs in the First ends in a tie
5) Mariners UNDER 4 Runs at/vs Florida Nolasco --- 2-Run HR in 9th after 3 Runs on 3 Hits thru 8 Innings. (Updated 9:42 WCT)
My favorite run line for the day is:
Washington at Chi Sox (4 Runs): I will take Zimmerman to hold down the Sox under 4 Runs all day. Zimmerman has been outright dominant this season, the last start that he allowed over three earned runs was in April. The Sox offense has been a big disappointment this season. They have scored over 4 runs just twice in their last eight games. Go with the UNDER 4 Runs for the Sox!
2) Cubs OVER 4 Runs at KC Chen--Chicken Dinner
3) Dodgers OVER 3 Runs vs LAA Haren--2 Runs in the First ends in a tie
4) Indians OVER 3 Runs at SF Sanchez--2 Runs in the First ends in a tie
5) Mariners UNDER 4 Runs at/vs Florida Nolasco --- 2-Run HR in 9th after 3 Runs on 3 Hits thru 8 Innings. (Updated 9:42 WCT)
Thursday, June 23, 2011
MLB Quick Pick Thursday
MLB Action
Arizona D-Backs (-115) at KC Royals
The first place Snakes are in KC to battle the last place Royals. The Royals have lost four in a row and six of their last seven games. The Snakes have won four of their last six games, including the last two in KC. Interesting fact, is that the Royals have been the worst in interleague play at 2-6 while Arizona has been the best in the NL at 6-2. Arizona throws young ace Daniel Hudson (8-5, 3.56 ERA) against the Royals' Felipe Pauilino (0-4, 4.10 ERA). Hudson has won five straight decisions while Paulino continues to struggle since coming out of the bullpen to start for the Royals due to all their injuries. Go with Arizona!!!
**Nothing like watching the Mets last night winning on a hit by pitch 3-2. Thank you K-Rod for the blowing the save and making me sweat it out for an extra hour. I had the Mets Under 3.5 Runs against Gio Gonzalez. Could have been a much easier night, but then again all my games are heart attacks. The 8th innings are by Far My Worst this season. Hopefully tonight's game will be easier to digest.
Arizona D-Backs (-115) at KC Royals
The first place Snakes are in KC to battle the last place Royals. The Royals have lost four in a row and six of their last seven games. The Snakes have won four of their last six games, including the last two in KC. Interesting fact, is that the Royals have been the worst in interleague play at 2-6 while Arizona has been the best in the NL at 6-2. Arizona throws young ace Daniel Hudson (8-5, 3.56 ERA) against the Royals' Felipe Pauilino (0-4, 4.10 ERA). Hudson has won five straight decisions while Paulino continues to struggle since coming out of the bullpen to start for the Royals due to all their injuries. Go with Arizona!!!
**Nothing like watching the Mets last night winning on a hit by pitch 3-2. Thank you K-Rod for the blowing the save and making me sweat it out for an extra hour. I had the Mets Under 3.5 Runs against Gio Gonzalez. Could have been a much easier night, but then again all my games are heart attacks. The 8th innings are by Far My Worst this season. Hopefully tonight's game will be easier to digest.
Tuesday, June 21, 2011
MLB Tuesday
We are back after a solid weekend.
The Good: Horseshoes and Wiffle ball at the beach all day on Saturday.
The Bad: Waiting in line at Landmark on Saturday night for 45 minutes
The Ugly: Sunday morning, or should I say Sunday afternoon when I woke up in a haze, just in time to see the Mariners defeat Cole Hamels and the Phillies 2-0.
MLB Tuesday is Colorado Rockies (-135) at Cleveland Indians
The Rockies have won five of their last six games, only losing to Verlander and the Tigers during that stretch. They will be sending their best pitcher so far this season to the mound in Jhoulys Chacin (8-4, 2.81 ERA) to face the first place Indians. The Indians have been struggling in June and have gone 6-12 in their last eighteen games, with half of those victories coming at home against the putrid Pirates. To make matters worse for Cleveland, tonight's starting pitcher Mitch Talbot has gotten pounded for 19 earned runs in 25 innings since returning from the DL less than a month ago. The Rockies are also one of the few NL teams with a legit DH in Jason Giambi, who hit the winning 3-run homerun last night in the Rockies' 7-6 victory versus the Tribe. Let's go with the Rockies!!
**Oh yeah, I hate the Seattle Mariners and Philadelphia Phillies this season. Two teams that I really cannot figure out. A special thank you to the Yankees for taking down the Cubs this weekend. The Cubs are a ridiculously bad team and play horrible baseball just about every night.
The Good: Horseshoes and Wiffle ball at the beach all day on Saturday.
The Bad: Waiting in line at Landmark on Saturday night for 45 minutes
The Ugly: Sunday morning, or should I say Sunday afternoon when I woke up in a haze, just in time to see the Mariners defeat Cole Hamels and the Phillies 2-0.
MLB Tuesday is Colorado Rockies (-135) at Cleveland Indians
The Rockies have won five of their last six games, only losing to Verlander and the Tigers during that stretch. They will be sending their best pitcher so far this season to the mound in Jhoulys Chacin (8-4, 2.81 ERA) to face the first place Indians. The Indians have been struggling in June and have gone 6-12 in their last eighteen games, with half of those victories coming at home against the putrid Pirates. To make matters worse for Cleveland, tonight's starting pitcher Mitch Talbot has gotten pounded for 19 earned runs in 25 innings since returning from the DL less than a month ago. The Rockies are also one of the few NL teams with a legit DH in Jason Giambi, who hit the winning 3-run homerun last night in the Rockies' 7-6 victory versus the Tribe. Let's go with the Rockies!!
**Oh yeah, I hate the Seattle Mariners and Philadelphia Phillies this season. Two teams that I really cannot figure out. A special thank you to the Yankees for taking down the Cubs this weekend. The Cubs are a ridiculously bad team and play horrible baseball just about every night.
Friday, June 17, 2011
Friday Fool!
It's Friday and you ain't got sh*t to do. Go get a cold one asap and watch some tail or some baseball.
I'm gonna do something different today--pick one part to each game tonight. It will be quick so pay attention like you were in 8th grade at Mrs. Rains' class:
Houston Astros to Score OVER 3 Runs at LA Dodgers and Lilly.
Washington to WIN (-120) at home vs Baltimore
Pirates at Cleveland OVER 8, Correja vs Tomlin
NY Mets (-120) at home to WIN vs Angels and Piniero
Value Pick of the Day - Florida (+145) to WIN at TBay and Davis
Blue Jays to score OVER 4 Runs at Cincy Reds and Leake
Brewers to score OVER 4 at Boston and Lackey
Texas Rangers (-110) to WIN at Atlanta and Delgado
Twins (-130) to WIN at home vs SD Padres and Richard
KC Royals to Score OVER 3 at ST Louis and Carpenter
Detroit (-100) to WIN at Colorado and Hammel
Arizona (-140) to WIN at home vs ChiSox and EJackson
SF Giants -1.5 Runs to WIN (+110) at Oakland and Godfrey
Mariners to Score OVER 3 at home vs Philly and Oswalt
Alright, that was easy. Have a good weekend. Get some sun and hit up the beach or pool.
DK Out
I'm gonna do something different today--pick one part to each game tonight. It will be quick so pay attention like you were in 8th grade at Mrs. Rains' class:
Houston Astros to Score OVER 3 Runs at LA Dodgers and Lilly.
Washington to WIN (-120) at home vs Baltimore
Pirates at Cleveland OVER 8, Correja vs Tomlin
NY Mets (-120) at home to WIN vs Angels and Piniero
Value Pick of the Day - Florida (+145) to WIN at TBay and Davis
Blue Jays to score OVER 4 Runs at Cincy Reds and Leake
Brewers to score OVER 4 at Boston and Lackey
Texas Rangers (-110) to WIN at Atlanta and Delgado
Twins (-130) to WIN at home vs SD Padres and Richard
KC Royals to Score OVER 3 at ST Louis and Carpenter
Detroit (-100) to WIN at Colorado and Hammel
Arizona (-140) to WIN at home vs ChiSox and EJackson
SF Giants -1.5 Runs to WIN (+110) at Oakland and Godfrey
Mariners to Score OVER 3 at home vs Philly and Oswalt
Alright, that was easy. Have a good weekend. Get some sun and hit up the beach or pool.
DK Out
Wednesday, June 15, 2011
Hump Day Rant
Rant #1
Oh man, where do I start?
I played golf yesterday at the Newport Beach Golf course. It's a crappy little course but I like it. I don't lose too many balls and I can walk it. I must have used 9 different balls, including three I found while playing mostly in the Rough. But I have a point, I honestly almost got hit three different times. Probably three shots landed within ten yards of me. Not once did anyone ever say 'Four' or even 'Watch out'. All three times I pointed to the ball and told them that their ball was right next to me. I didn't even get one 'Thank you' or 'Sorry'. I was truly amazed!
I was almost as amazed as I watched the Brewers/Cubs game last night. The Brewers scored three runs and left 8 runners on base in the first four innings to go up 3-0. The Cubs committed three errors and issued five walks in the first six innings. Brewers ace pitcher, Yovani Gallardo, threw seven innings striking out a season high 10 batters while allowing just three hits including a solo-homerun in the seventh inning. For some reason, rookie manager Ron Roenicke pulled Gallardo and put in journeyman reliever Marco Estrada (1-3, 4.65 ERA). Estrada, who started the season as the Brewers emergency fifth starter and had been pounded in his last three relief appearances, promptly allowed three extra-base hits (two doubles off the wall and the tying HR). The last of those lasers was a Aramis Ramirez bomb to tie the game at 4-4. Exit Estrada and the lead. The Brewers would put runners in scoring position in the next two innings with only one out, but would fail to score again. After rookie defensive replacement Tony Campana hit a bloop double to lead off the tenth inning, the Cubs bunted him to third with one out. Genius manager Roenicke decides to pitch to the Cubs top hitter, Starlin Castro--who hits a shot deep into the right center gap to score Campana. Why not walk Castro? If you are scared of Ramirez hitting behind him--then walk him too. Pena follows Ramirez and is hitting .216 and strikes out a ton (including twice already). Better yet--why are you throwing scrub Tim Dillard and not closer John Axford, who has 40 strikeouts in 30 innings this year.
They could have played this game ten more times and the Brewers never would have lost one of them. Roenicke is an idiot--I was aware of that. The Brewers are a putrid 14-21 on the road this season. But allowing Estrada to blow the game was insane. I guess he was saving Latroy Hawkins (0.55 ERA) for later. Thank you Roenicke!
NBA Finals Recap
The Mavs won because Dirk Nowitzki was the best player in the series...by far!
LeChoke James looked scared. Dwayne Wade had his moments but never shot consistently. Chris Bosh will always be their third option. Mike Miller and Joel Anthony completely disappeared. Mike Bibby is worthless. Eddie House should have gotten more PT...but didn't. Spoletra got outcoached. The Heat got outplayed.
Jason Terry was the KEY (as we predicted). He played sensational. He carried the Mavs when Dirk couldn't hit his shots.Tyson Chandler and JJ Barea were huge in this series. I was disappointed by Jason Kidd and Shawn Marion, but they still were alright.
Our Results:
2 Miami Heat Wins---both UNDER the Total in games 1 & 3 = Our Winners
3 Mavs Wins with the OVER = Our Philosophy came through
The Game 4 Mav Win/Under combo was the only game that our Parlay Philosophy (Mavs&Over or Heat&Under) was wrong on, but I still liked the Mavs in Game 4 at home being down 2-1 in the series.
We really thought that the Heat would win Game 6, but Charles Barkley was right again--Miami didn't deserve it. The Heat weren't ready to win it all. We all weren't ready for those cocky bastards to win it.
Oh man, where do I start?
I played golf yesterday at the Newport Beach Golf course. It's a crappy little course but I like it. I don't lose too many balls and I can walk it. I must have used 9 different balls, including three I found while playing mostly in the Rough. But I have a point, I honestly almost got hit three different times. Probably three shots landed within ten yards of me. Not once did anyone ever say 'Four' or even 'Watch out'. All three times I pointed to the ball and told them that their ball was right next to me. I didn't even get one 'Thank you' or 'Sorry'. I was truly amazed!
I was almost as amazed as I watched the Brewers/Cubs game last night. The Brewers scored three runs and left 8 runners on base in the first four innings to go up 3-0. The Cubs committed three errors and issued five walks in the first six innings. Brewers ace pitcher, Yovani Gallardo, threw seven innings striking out a season high 10 batters while allowing just three hits including a solo-homerun in the seventh inning. For some reason, rookie manager Ron Roenicke pulled Gallardo and put in journeyman reliever Marco Estrada (1-3, 4.65 ERA). Estrada, who started the season as the Brewers emergency fifth starter and had been pounded in his last three relief appearances, promptly allowed three extra-base hits (two doubles off the wall and the tying HR). The last of those lasers was a Aramis Ramirez bomb to tie the game at 4-4. Exit Estrada and the lead. The Brewers would put runners in scoring position in the next two innings with only one out, but would fail to score again. After rookie defensive replacement Tony Campana hit a bloop double to lead off the tenth inning, the Cubs bunted him to third with one out. Genius manager Roenicke decides to pitch to the Cubs top hitter, Starlin Castro--who hits a shot deep into the right center gap to score Campana. Why not walk Castro? If you are scared of Ramirez hitting behind him--then walk him too. Pena follows Ramirez and is hitting .216 and strikes out a ton (including twice already). Better yet--why are you throwing scrub Tim Dillard and not closer John Axford, who has 40 strikeouts in 30 innings this year.
They could have played this game ten more times and the Brewers never would have lost one of them. Roenicke is an idiot--I was aware of that. The Brewers are a putrid 14-21 on the road this season. But allowing Estrada to blow the game was insane. I guess he was saving Latroy Hawkins (0.55 ERA) for later. Thank you Roenicke!
NBA Finals Recap
The Mavs won because Dirk Nowitzki was the best player in the series...by far!
LeChoke James looked scared. Dwayne Wade had his moments but never shot consistently. Chris Bosh will always be their third option. Mike Miller and Joel Anthony completely disappeared. Mike Bibby is worthless. Eddie House should have gotten more PT...but didn't. Spoletra got outcoached. The Heat got outplayed.
Jason Terry was the KEY (as we predicted). He played sensational. He carried the Mavs when Dirk couldn't hit his shots.Tyson Chandler and JJ Barea were huge in this series. I was disappointed by Jason Kidd and Shawn Marion, but they still were alright.
Our Results:
2 Miami Heat Wins---both UNDER the Total in games 1 & 3 = Our Winners
3 Mavs Wins with the OVER = Our Philosophy came through
The Game 4 Mav Win/Under combo was the only game that our Parlay Philosophy (Mavs&Over or Heat&Under) was wrong on, but I still liked the Mavs in Game 4 at home being down 2-1 in the series.
We really thought that the Heat would win Game 6, but Charles Barkley was right again--Miami didn't deserve it. The Heat weren't ready to win it all. We all weren't ready for those cocky bastards to win it.
Tuesday, June 14, 2011
MLB Quick Pick
MLB Pick of the Day
Milwaukee Brewers (-140) at Chicago Cubs
The first place Brewers (38-29) are in Chicago to tangle with the struggling Cubs (26-39).The Brewers have been hot winning seven of their last ten games while the Cubs have been 3-7 and have had a hard time winning when Ryan Dempster hasn't been on the mound. The Brew Crew will send ace Yovani Gallardo (8-3, 3.96 ERA) to the mound against Cubs starter Randy Wells (1-1, 6.50 ERA). Gallardo has owned the Cubs in his last four starts going 2-0 with an ERA under 2. Wells has really had a hard time since returning from the DL, he has allowed 12 earned runs in his last three starts while only lasting a combined 12 innings in those three starts. Ouch! Go with the Brewers to Win!! G*d Damn Shit---another BS Loss up 4-1 in the 8th. G*d Damn it. (Update 8:28 PCT)
**I will analyze the NBA Finals later today or tomorrow
Milwaukee Brewers (-140) at Chicago Cubs
The first place Brewers (38-29) are in Chicago to tangle with the struggling Cubs (26-39).The Brewers have been hot winning seven of their last ten games while the Cubs have been 3-7 and have had a hard time winning when Ryan Dempster hasn't been on the mound. The Brew Crew will send ace Yovani Gallardo (8-3, 3.96 ERA) to the mound against Cubs starter Randy Wells (1-1, 6.50 ERA). Gallardo has owned the Cubs in his last four starts going 2-0 with an ERA under 2. Wells has really had a hard time since returning from the DL, he has allowed 12 earned runs in his last three starts while only lasting a combined 12 innings in those three starts. Ouch! Go with the Brewers to Win!! G*d Damn Shit---another BS Loss up 4-1 in the 8th. G*d Damn it. (Update 8:28 PCT)
**I will analyze the NBA Finals later today or tomorrow
Friday, June 10, 2011
NBA Finals Review and MLB Pick
NBA Finals
The Mavs have gone up 3-2 in the Finals by taking two of three games at home. The Heat have suddenly lost their offensive identity and Lebron looks lost. The Mavs finally got it going in game 5, as Terry and Barea keyed the victory. Yes, Dirk scored 29 points but it's the Dallas role players that made the difference. Miami has gotten little out of their role players in the last four games. One thing that Miami has going for them is that they head back home to finish the series and that their bench has played much better at home over the course of the season. Miami is due for a great game and Game 6 should be that game. I see Wade getting more involved in the offense and the defense altering their approach to Nowitzki. The Heat are a better team when Wade not Lebron, handles the ball. This allows Lebron to rest a little more on offense and focus on scoring without having to worry about the rest of the team. We can only hope that coach Spolestra has the team's confidence and control to make these changes. I still think that the Heat can win in 7, but am now cheering for the Mavericks. The Mavs play with more intensity and desire to win. They are much easier to root for and I would love to see Dirk get a Title. He is the best player in the NBA right now and he deserves the title.
Maybe Charles Barkley was right---the Heat and the city of Miami don't deserve a NBA Championship yet.
MLB Pick for Friday
Cincy Reds at SF Giants (-120)
The third place Reds are visiting the reigning MLB champs. The Giants are 17-11 at home and will be sending righty Ryan Vogelsong (4-1, 1.68 ERA) to the mound to face the Reds and the left-handed starter Travis Wood. Wood has really struggled this season going 4-4 with a 5.72 ERA. Wood has given up five homeruns in his last four starts while not getting past the sixth inning in any of them. The Giants are 12-5 versus lefties and 17-9 in one run games. Vogelsong has not given up more than One run in any of his last five starts and has only given up one earned run all season all season at home. Go with the Giants!!
The Mavs have gone up 3-2 in the Finals by taking two of three games at home. The Heat have suddenly lost their offensive identity and Lebron looks lost. The Mavs finally got it going in game 5, as Terry and Barea keyed the victory. Yes, Dirk scored 29 points but it's the Dallas role players that made the difference. Miami has gotten little out of their role players in the last four games. One thing that Miami has going for them is that they head back home to finish the series and that their bench has played much better at home over the course of the season. Miami is due for a great game and Game 6 should be that game. I see Wade getting more involved in the offense and the defense altering their approach to Nowitzki. The Heat are a better team when Wade not Lebron, handles the ball. This allows Lebron to rest a little more on offense and focus on scoring without having to worry about the rest of the team. We can only hope that coach Spolestra has the team's confidence and control to make these changes. I still think that the Heat can win in 7, but am now cheering for the Mavericks. The Mavs play with more intensity and desire to win. They are much easier to root for and I would love to see Dirk get a Title. He is the best player in the NBA right now and he deserves the title.
Maybe Charles Barkley was right---the Heat and the city of Miami don't deserve a NBA Championship yet.
MLB Pick for Friday
Cincy Reds at SF Giants (-120)
The third place Reds are visiting the reigning MLB champs. The Giants are 17-11 at home and will be sending righty Ryan Vogelsong (4-1, 1.68 ERA) to the mound to face the Reds and the left-handed starter Travis Wood. Wood has really struggled this season going 4-4 with a 5.72 ERA. Wood has given up five homeruns in his last four starts while not getting past the sixth inning in any of them. The Giants are 12-5 versus lefties and 17-9 in one run games. Vogelsong has not given up more than One run in any of his last five starts and has only given up one earned run all season all season at home. Go with the Giants!!
Tuesday, June 7, 2011
MLB Tuesday Plus NBA Action
MLB Play of the Day
Colorado Rockies (-145) at SD Padres - SD Run Line at 3
The Rockies are coming off a 3-0 victory last night in San Diego, and will be sending ace Ubaldo Jimenez to the mound tonight. Jimenez has struggled this season but not on the road where he is 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA. Teams have hit .093 against him in those games and struck out 25 times in 28 innings. The Padres lead the majors in being shut out at home--10 times! The Padres are also only 12-22 at home this season, and have lost eight of the last ten games versus the Rockies. Go with the Rockies to Win!!! And the Padres Under 3!!
NBA Action
Miami Heat at Dallas Mavs (-2.5) - Over/Under 187
The Mavs need this game badly and should win it. If they are gonna Win, then look for the OVER because the Mavs need to score 97 to win tonight. Let's go Mavs, because we need more basketball games.
Colorado Rockies (-145) at SD Padres - SD Run Line at 3
The Rockies are coming off a 3-0 victory last night in San Diego, and will be sending ace Ubaldo Jimenez to the mound tonight. Jimenez has struggled this season but not on the road where he is 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA. Teams have hit .093 against him in those games and struck out 25 times in 28 innings. The Padres lead the majors in being shut out at home--10 times! The Padres are also only 12-22 at home this season, and have lost eight of the last ten games versus the Rockies. Go with the Rockies to Win!!! And the Padres Under 3!!
NBA Action
Miami Heat at Dallas Mavs (-2.5) - Over/Under 187
The Mavs need this game badly and should win it. If they are gonna Win, then look for the OVER because the Mavs need to score 97 to win tonight. Let's go Mavs, because we need more basketball games.
Saturday, June 4, 2011
Saturday MLB
MLB
Toronto Blue Jays (-120) at Baltimore Orioles
The Jays send lefty Ricky Romero (5-4, 2.88 ERA) against the O's righty Jake Arrieta (6-3, 4.97 ERA). The Orioles have lost six of their last seven games and are buried in last place in the AL East. The Jays have won five of their last seven games and welcome back star DH Adam Lind to the lineup tonight. The real story is Romero who is 3-0 in his last four starts and was the ace pitcher last year for the Jays. He has owned the Orioles over the last few years as have the Jays. Making matters worse for the Orioles is their ineptitude against lefties this season, an MLB worst 6-12. Arrieta is coming off his worst start of the season and has given up 12 earned runs in his last three starts (12 innings). Let's go with the Jays to Win!!
Toronto Blue Jays (-120) at Baltimore Orioles
The Jays send lefty Ricky Romero (5-4, 2.88 ERA) against the O's righty Jake Arrieta (6-3, 4.97 ERA). The Orioles have lost six of their last seven games and are buried in last place in the AL East. The Jays have won five of their last seven games and welcome back star DH Adam Lind to the lineup tonight. The real story is Romero who is 3-0 in his last four starts and was the ace pitcher last year for the Jays. He has owned the Orioles over the last few years as have the Jays. Making matters worse for the Orioles is their ineptitude against lefties this season, an MLB worst 6-12. Arrieta is coming off his worst start of the season and has given up 12 earned runs in his last three starts (12 innings). Let's go with the Jays to Win!!
Friday, June 3, 2011
TGIF Fool!
-***Sorry I missed yesterday's column on the basketball game, but it was my only Niece Kayla's 3rd Birthday. She is so sweet and cute that I just couldn't miss it. I however was NOT surprised that Dallas won and the game went OVER. When Dallas wins the game it will usually go Over, and Miami usually wins lower scoring games and they go Under. This Series is gonna be tough, we said Heat in 7 games with no real significant home court advantage (shown in Game 2). Dallas opens at -2.5 and 188 O/U for Game 3. More about that tomorrow. Let's look at today's action....
MLB Run Line Game of the Day
NY Yankees at LA Angels - Yankee Run Line at 3
The Yankees have won four straight games and seem to be heating up right as summer is arriving. The Yanks lead major league baseball in Runs scored and Home Runs. Their lineup has been on fire in the last eleven games, scoring at least 3 runs in every game an averaging almost 6 runs a game. The Yankee lineup is full of lefties with power, something that even Jered Weaver struggles against. Weaver started the season on fire but has cooled down substantially since the end of April. Let's roll with the Yankees OVER 3!!
**They score 3 runs and you get your money refunded on the tie.
Other MLB Action that I like but don't love, include all home favorites with better starters at -125 or -130:
Florida w/Nolasco vs Brewers w/Wolf
Baltimore w/Britton vs Toronto w/ Villanueva
SF Giants w/Cain vs Colorado w/Nicasio
SD Pads w/Moseley vs Houston w/Happ
**Updated 6:51 PST
MLB Run Line Game of the Day
NY Yankees at LA Angels - Yankee Run Line at 3
The Yankees have won four straight games and seem to be heating up right as summer is arriving. The Yanks lead major league baseball in Runs scored and Home Runs. Their lineup has been on fire in the last eleven games, scoring at least 3 runs in every game an averaging almost 6 runs a game. The Yankee lineup is full of lefties with power, something that even Jered Weaver struggles against. Weaver started the season on fire but has cooled down substantially since the end of April. Let's roll with the Yankees OVER 3!!
**They score 3 runs and you get your money refunded on the tie.
Other MLB Action that I like but don't love, include all home favorites with better starters at -125 or -130:
Florida w/Nolasco vs Brewers w/Wolf
Baltimore w/Britton vs Toronto w/ Villanueva
SF Giants w/Cain vs Colorado w/Nicasio
SD Pads w/Moseley vs Houston w/Happ
**Updated 6:51 PST
Wednesday, June 1, 2011
MLB Run Line Pick for Wednesday
Milwaukee Brewers at Cincy Reds - Run Line at 4 for Reds
The Brew Crew will send out Shaun Marcum (6-2, 2.80 ERA) to face the Reds tonight. Marcum has a major league best Road ERA of 0.53 and has only allowed two earned runs in five starts. Equally impressive are Marcum's control numbers, his five walks in those 34 innings limit his pitch count and allow him to throw deep into games.. The Reds have been struggling recently only winning three of their last ten games and have dropped to 28-28 on the season. Take the UNDER 4 Runs for the Reds.
*If they score 4 runs then you push the bet and get a refund.
The Brew Crew will send out Shaun Marcum (6-2, 2.80 ERA) to face the Reds tonight. Marcum has a major league best Road ERA of 0.53 and has only allowed two earned runs in five starts. Equally impressive are Marcum's control numbers, his five walks in those 34 innings limit his pitch count and allow him to throw deep into games.. The Reds have been struggling recently only winning three of their last ten games and have dropped to 28-28 on the season. Take the UNDER 4 Runs for the Reds.
*If they score 4 runs then you push the bet and get a refund.
Tuesday, May 31, 2011
NBA Finals Prediction and MLB quick pick
NBA Finals 2011
Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat (-4) Over/Under 188
So here we are on the brink of the NBA Finals, and all I can think about is why the Lakers fell apart at the end of the season. My conclusion: the Lakers looked old and slow. Their inability to attack the rim Or hit 3-pointers left them unable to stretch the opponents' defense. Dallas has been superb at finding the open man around the three point line and hitting their shots. Miami's key to success has come from their dribble penetration and ability to get to the basket. The Heat and Mavs are also very similar.
Both teams have gone 12-3 in the playoffs.
Both teams played tough defense and controlled the boards despite being undersized.
Both teams dominated from the free throw line.
Both teams had the best player on the court in each playoff series (Dirk and Lebron).
Both teams Cannot win this series
Key Players: G Dwayne Wade vs G Jason Terry.
-Wade played terrible last round vs the Bulls and the Heat had no problem with the Bulls. That won't be the case in the Finals. This is definitely Lebron's team, but he will need 25+ a game (yes, that's a lot) from Wade for the Heat to win the crown.
-Terry has been the difference in the Mavs' playoff run. His ability to score off the bench with great efficiency has given Dallas a huge edge in bench play against each opponent. Reminds me of the difference that Lamar Odom gave the Lakers the last couple of years during their title runs. Terry can do it all just like Odom.
Prediction: The series will go six or seven games and the games will be close. I don't see a huge home court advantage, like we have seen in recent years. My initial reaction is to go with the Heat in seven games. The Heat are more talented and have the home court advantage. The Mavs have been shooting way too well from downtown and it will have to stop sometime soon. The Heat bench should continue to improve as their role players get more comfortable. Lebron will win his first Title and the Finals MVP.
Game 1 Action - The game line has dropped from 5 points to 4 in favor of the Heat, while the total has remained firm. Normally, I always prefer the Over but I am worried about the big layoff between rounds. Let's roll with the Under 188 and the Heat to win.
MLB Pick = Texas Rangers (-135) at TB Rays
Go with the Rangers and ace CJ Wilson (5-3, 3.25 ERA) against the struggling Rays rookie Alex Cobb. Cobb got pounded in his only start this season (4 runs in 4.33 innings) against the Angels. The Rays have lost seven of their last ten games, including last night to Texas 11-5. Go with the Rangers!!
Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat (-4) Over/Under 188
So here we are on the brink of the NBA Finals, and all I can think about is why the Lakers fell apart at the end of the season. My conclusion: the Lakers looked old and slow. Their inability to attack the rim Or hit 3-pointers left them unable to stretch the opponents' defense. Dallas has been superb at finding the open man around the three point line and hitting their shots. Miami's key to success has come from their dribble penetration and ability to get to the basket. The Heat and Mavs are also very similar.
Both teams have gone 12-3 in the playoffs.
Both teams played tough defense and controlled the boards despite being undersized.
Both teams dominated from the free throw line.
Both teams had the best player on the court in each playoff series (Dirk and Lebron).
Both teams Cannot win this series
Key Players: G Dwayne Wade vs G Jason Terry.
-Wade played terrible last round vs the Bulls and the Heat had no problem with the Bulls. That won't be the case in the Finals. This is definitely Lebron's team, but he will need 25+ a game (yes, that's a lot) from Wade for the Heat to win the crown.
-Terry has been the difference in the Mavs' playoff run. His ability to score off the bench with great efficiency has given Dallas a huge edge in bench play against each opponent. Reminds me of the difference that Lamar Odom gave the Lakers the last couple of years during their title runs. Terry can do it all just like Odom.
Prediction: The series will go six or seven games and the games will be close. I don't see a huge home court advantage, like we have seen in recent years. My initial reaction is to go with the Heat in seven games. The Heat are more talented and have the home court advantage. The Mavs have been shooting way too well from downtown and it will have to stop sometime soon. The Heat bench should continue to improve as their role players get more comfortable. Lebron will win his first Title and the Finals MVP.
Game 1 Action - The game line has dropped from 5 points to 4 in favor of the Heat, while the total has remained firm. Normally, I always prefer the Over but I am worried about the big layoff between rounds. Let's roll with the Under 188 and the Heat to win.
MLB Pick = Texas Rangers (-135) at TB Rays
Go with the Rangers and ace CJ Wilson (5-3, 3.25 ERA) against the struggling Rays rookie Alex Cobb. Cobb got pounded in his only start this season (4 runs in 4.33 innings) against the Angels. The Rays have lost seven of their last ten games, including last night to Texas 11-5. Go with the Rangers!!
Friday, May 27, 2011
Friday's Big Pick
MLB
Philadelphia Phillies (-145) at NY Mets
The first place Phils travel to the Big Apple to face the fourth place Mets. Philadelphia will throw Roy Oswalt (3-2, 2.77 ERA) against the Mets' lefty Chris Capuano (3-5, 5.36 ERA). The Phillies are a major league best 12-3 versus starting lefties this season. Capuano just gave up six runs in his last outing while getting pummeled by the Yankees. Oswalt has allowed just one run in each of his last two starts and should have no problem with a weak hitting Mets lineup without star 3B David Wright. Let's go with the Phillies!!
Philadelphia Phillies (-145) at NY Mets
The first place Phils travel to the Big Apple to face the fourth place Mets. Philadelphia will throw Roy Oswalt (3-2, 2.77 ERA) against the Mets' lefty Chris Capuano (3-5, 5.36 ERA). The Phillies are a major league best 12-3 versus starting lefties this season. Capuano just gave up six runs in his last outing while getting pummeled by the Yankees. Oswalt has allowed just one run in each of his last two starts and should have no problem with a weak hitting Mets lineup without star 3B David Wright. Let's go with the Phillies!!
Wednesday, May 25, 2011
MLB Quick Picks
Alright, it's Hump Day and I have two quick looks.......
1) St. Louis (-120) at SD Padres
Cards send Carpenter to the mound against the feeble Pads and their ace Matt Latos. Latos has struggled this year, and with the Padres terrible offense and defense that should present a problem again tonight. Carpenter is desperate for a win, but make no doubt about it---he has stunk in 2011. Luckily the Pads are the worst team in baseball and the Cards cannot afford to lose in "America's Finest City". Go with the Cards to win!!
2) Arizona D-Backs (+110) at Colorado Rockies (-130)
The Snakes send their best pitcher in Ian Kennedy (5-1, 3.24 ERA) against the Rockies worst starter, Jason Hammel (3-3, 3.59 ERA). Hammel has been hammered at home this season for a 5.19 ERA and gave up 10 earned runs in his last two home outings. On the flip side, Kennedy has only allowed 5 earned runs all year long while pitching on the road. The Snakes are hot and have won eight of their last ten games. Getting the +110 is nice for this upset bid, go with the Snakes!!
**On another note, I like the Mavs tonight to win but (-7.5) points seems a little high, should be more like 4.5.
1) St. Louis (-120) at SD Padres
Cards send Carpenter to the mound against the feeble Pads and their ace Matt Latos. Latos has struggled this year, and with the Padres terrible offense and defense that should present a problem again tonight. Carpenter is desperate for a win, but make no doubt about it---he has stunk in 2011. Luckily the Pads are the worst team in baseball and the Cards cannot afford to lose in "America's Finest City". Go with the Cards to win!!
2) Arizona D-Backs (+110) at Colorado Rockies (-130)
The Snakes send their best pitcher in Ian Kennedy (5-1, 3.24 ERA) against the Rockies worst starter, Jason Hammel (3-3, 3.59 ERA). Hammel has been hammered at home this season for a 5.19 ERA and gave up 10 earned runs in his last two home outings. On the flip side, Kennedy has only allowed 5 earned runs all year long while pitching on the road. The Snakes are hot and have won eight of their last ten games. Getting the +110 is nice for this upset bid, go with the Snakes!!
**On another note, I like the Mavs tonight to win but (-7.5) points seems a little high, should be more like 4.5.
Tuesday, May 24, 2011
Hind Sight is 20/20 and 2 Big Picks
Upon Further Review
Now that the Dallas Mavs and Miami Heat on their way to the NBA Finals, let's review my column from the NBA's last playoff round--I said that it was not a good sign to see the Thunder and Bulls both struggle at home against Round 2 opponents, Indiana and Memphis. Also stated that it might not hurt them against those weaker opponents but that we were worried about the Conference Finals instead.
The Mavs are playing just ridiculous basketball right now--no one can guard Dirk Nowitzki. He's too tall with too much range and a great post-up game. He's a matchup nightmare for anyone. If Serge Ibaka and Nick Collison can't even slow him down, then the Thunder have no chance. They are Done!
The Heat finally are playing great team ball, yes I know that they have been playing well all season but right now they are at the top of their game. They should put the one-man team, Bulls, away rather easily. The Bulls simply aren't as good as the Heat and cannot stop the Heat. Chicago was carried all season by Derrick Rose and their defense, which are just over matched in the Eastern Conference Finals. Look for the Heat to put the Bulls to rest soon.
NBA Pick - Chicago Bulls at Miami Heat (-5) - Over/Under 179
Let's roll with the Heat to keep it going. Too many scorers on Miami and their bench is contributing nicely. The Bulls were a nice story, but that will be over soon. Get ready for a rematch of the 2006 Finals, but without Shaq. Look for Miami to push the tempo a little after wild shots by the Bulls leading to easy buckets. Go with the Heat!!
MLB Game - KC Royals at Baltimore Orioles (-165)
KC has lost seven of their last ten games and are a major league Worst 5-11 on the Road this season. They are throwing their rookie left-hander Danny Duffy (0-0, 4.50 ERA) against the Baltimore ace Zach Britton (5-2, 2.14 ERA). Duffy walked six batters and gave up four hits while throwing 94 pitches in just four innings in his major league debut. Britton hasn't allowed an earned run in his last two starts and should have no problem with the slumping Royals full of left-handed hitters. Go with the Orioles!!
Now that the Dallas Mavs and Miami Heat on their way to the NBA Finals, let's review my column from the NBA's last playoff round--I said that it was not a good sign to see the Thunder and Bulls both struggle at home against Round 2 opponents, Indiana and Memphis. Also stated that it might not hurt them against those weaker opponents but that we were worried about the Conference Finals instead.
The Mavs are playing just ridiculous basketball right now--no one can guard Dirk Nowitzki. He's too tall with too much range and a great post-up game. He's a matchup nightmare for anyone. If Serge Ibaka and Nick Collison can't even slow him down, then the Thunder have no chance. They are Done!
The Heat finally are playing great team ball, yes I know that they have been playing well all season but right now they are at the top of their game. They should put the one-man team, Bulls, away rather easily. The Bulls simply aren't as good as the Heat and cannot stop the Heat. Chicago was carried all season by Derrick Rose and their defense, which are just over matched in the Eastern Conference Finals. Look for the Heat to put the Bulls to rest soon.
NBA Pick - Chicago Bulls at Miami Heat (-5) - Over/Under 179
Let's roll with the Heat to keep it going. Too many scorers on Miami and their bench is contributing nicely. The Bulls were a nice story, but that will be over soon. Get ready for a rematch of the 2006 Finals, but without Shaq. Look for Miami to push the tempo a little after wild shots by the Bulls leading to easy buckets. Go with the Heat!!
MLB Game - KC Royals at Baltimore Orioles (-165)
KC has lost seven of their last ten games and are a major league Worst 5-11 on the Road this season. They are throwing their rookie left-hander Danny Duffy (0-0, 4.50 ERA) against the Baltimore ace Zach Britton (5-2, 2.14 ERA). Duffy walked six batters and gave up four hits while throwing 94 pitches in just four innings in his major league debut. Britton hasn't allowed an earned run in his last two starts and should have no problem with the slumping Royals full of left-handed hitters. Go with the Orioles!!
Wednesday, May 18, 2011
MLB Run Line Pick for Wednesday
MLB
LA Angels at Seattle Mariners - Seattle Run Line is 3 Runs
The Angels will throw their ace Jered Weaver to the mound tonight to try to end their three game road losing streak. Weaver is 6-3 with a 2.26 ERA on the year and should have no problem shutting down the Mariners in their extra-large home ballpark. The Mariners have only topped three runs just once in their last seven home games. The Mariners hit .226 as a team and are even worse at home. Go with the Mariners to score Under 3 Runs!!
**Remember that if they score 3 Runs then you Tie and get refunded.
LA Angels at Seattle Mariners - Seattle Run Line is 3 Runs
The Angels will throw their ace Jered Weaver to the mound tonight to try to end their three game road losing streak. Weaver is 6-3 with a 2.26 ERA on the year and should have no problem shutting down the Mariners in their extra-large home ballpark. The Mariners have only topped three runs just once in their last seven home games. The Mariners hit .226 as a team and are even worse at home. Go with the Mariners to score Under 3 Runs!!
**Remember that if they score 3 Runs then you Tie and get refunded.
Tuesday, May 17, 2011
MLB Quick Pick
MLB
NY Yankees at TB Rays (-135)
The Yanks will try to end a season high six game losing streak tonight while visiting the first place Rays. The Yanks will throw their worst starting pitcher so far this season, Ivan Nova (3-3, 4.70 ERA), and the Rays will counter with James Shields (4-1, 2.08 ERA). Shields has been dominant in all but one of his eight starts this season. He hasn't allowed more than 2 earned runs in seven starts--wow! Nova has been erratic so far, and got bombed in his last outing by KC for eight runs in only 3 innings. The Yanks are in a funk and should continue to struggle at least for one more day. Go with the Rays to win!!
NY Yankees at TB Rays (-135)
The Yanks will try to end a season high six game losing streak tonight while visiting the first place Rays. The Yanks will throw their worst starting pitcher so far this season, Ivan Nova (3-3, 4.70 ERA), and the Rays will counter with James Shields (4-1, 2.08 ERA). Shields has been dominant in all but one of his eight starts this season. He hasn't allowed more than 2 earned runs in seven starts--wow! Nova has been erratic so far, and got bombed in his last outing by KC for eight runs in only 3 innings. The Yanks are in a funk and should continue to struggle at least for one more day. Go with the Rays to win!!
Wednesday, May 11, 2011
MLB Run Line Pick for Wednesday
St. Louis Cards at Chicago Cubs - -Cards Run Line is 3.5 Runs
The Cards are in Chicago again after winning last night 6-4, and have four of their last five games. The Cards will be facing righty Matt Garza (1-4, 4.43 ERA), who has yet to win at Wrigley this year. The Cardinals are first in the National League in hitting and runs scored. They have averaged over 5 runs a game this year and Albert Pujols has finally started hitting. Look for the Cards to score OVER 3.5 Runs!!
The Cards are in Chicago again after winning last night 6-4, and have four of their last five games. The Cards will be facing righty Matt Garza (1-4, 4.43 ERA), who has yet to win at Wrigley this year. The Cardinals are first in the National League in hitting and runs scored. They have averaged over 5 runs a game this year and Albert Pujols has finally started hitting. Look for the Cards to score OVER 3.5 Runs!!
Tuesday, May 10, 2011
MLB Quick Pick
SD Padres at Milwaukee Brewers (-160)
The Brew Crew host the Pads tonight in Milwaukee. The Brewers won a close one last night 4-3 against SD ace Matt Latos. The Brewers throw Shaun Marcum (3-1, 2.06 ERA) against Padre lefty Clayton Richard (1-3, 3.55 ERA). The Brewers have struggled a little this year but are still far superior to the Padres in just about every faucet of the game, except relief pitching. Experts were picking this Brewers team to make a postseason run before the season started. They have a ton of talent. Look for the Brewers to get ahead early and take down the Pad squad rather easily. Go with the Brewers!!
The Brew Crew host the Pads tonight in Milwaukee. The Brewers won a close one last night 4-3 against SD ace Matt Latos. The Brewers throw Shaun Marcum (3-1, 2.06 ERA) against Padre lefty Clayton Richard (1-3, 3.55 ERA). The Brewers have struggled a little this year but are still far superior to the Padres in just about every faucet of the game, except relief pitching. Experts were picking this Brewers team to make a postseason run before the season started. They have a ton of talent. Look for the Brewers to get ahead early and take down the Pad squad rather easily. Go with the Brewers!!
Monday, May 9, 2011
NBA Monday
Miami Heat at Boston Celtics (+1.5) - Over/Under 181
The Heat lead the series 2-1 against the Celtics, but haven't won a game in Boston this season (0-3). The Celtics are a veteran team that know how to win big games, especially at home. The Celtics went 9-3 last year at home in the playoffs and are now 3-0 at home this postseason. The Celtics had the third best record at home this season going 33-8. The Heat obviously have a lot of talent, but really aren't as tough and experienced as the C's. Look for the Celtics to take it to the Heat in Game 4. Go with the Celtics!!
OKC Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies (-1.5) - Over/Under 198
This reminds me of the Spurs series all over again, when I warned you about the Grizzlies shocking the Spurs. The Grizzlies were 3-1 against the Spurs this season and were also 3-1 against the Thunder. So we are gonna go with the team playing better ball again--the Memphis Grizz. Zach Randolph has dominated this series like he did against the Spurs in round one. The jump shooting Thunder have struggled against the strength of the Grizzlies. The Grizz will pound the paint again and should come out on top. Go with the Grizzlies!!
**Odd trends in the NBA Playoffs
1. When the team Favored wins the game it has a tendency for the Over/Under to go UNDER.
2. When the Underdog wins the game, the games are higher scoring usually resulting in the OVER.
3. Beware of teams not playing great basketball at home. I am almost worried about the Bulls and Thunder, if not this round than the next round.
4. The Memphis Grizzlies are HOT!
The Heat lead the series 2-1 against the Celtics, but haven't won a game in Boston this season (0-3). The Celtics are a veteran team that know how to win big games, especially at home. The Celtics went 9-3 last year at home in the playoffs and are now 3-0 at home this postseason. The Celtics had the third best record at home this season going 33-8. The Heat obviously have a lot of talent, but really aren't as tough and experienced as the C's. Look for the Celtics to take it to the Heat in Game 4. Go with the Celtics!!
OKC Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies (-1.5) - Over/Under 198
This reminds me of the Spurs series all over again, when I warned you about the Grizzlies shocking the Spurs. The Grizzlies were 3-1 against the Spurs this season and were also 3-1 against the Thunder. So we are gonna go with the team playing better ball again--the Memphis Grizz. Zach Randolph has dominated this series like he did against the Spurs in round one. The jump shooting Thunder have struggled against the strength of the Grizzlies. The Grizz will pound the paint again and should come out on top. Go with the Grizzlies!!
**Odd trends in the NBA Playoffs
1. When the team Favored wins the game it has a tendency for the Over/Under to go UNDER.
2. When the Underdog wins the game, the games are higher scoring usually resulting in the OVER.
3. Beware of teams not playing great basketball at home. I am almost worried about the Bulls and Thunder, if not this round than the next round.
4. The Memphis Grizzlies are HOT!
Thursday, May 5, 2011
Cinco de Drinko
Texas Rangers (-115) at Seattle Mariners - Ranger Run Line 3.5 Runs
The Rangers pound lefties and will be facing Jason Vargas (1-2, 5.45 ERA). Vargas started out the season decently but has been lit up recently, but has allowed 10 earned runs in his last two starts while going 12 innings. The Rangers have a heavy right handed lineup and should have no problem with Vargas and the shady Mariner defense. Colby Lewis (2-3, 5.70 ERA) was the Ranger ace last year and threw 8 innings of two run ball last outing vs the A's. Look for the Rangers to go Over 3.5 Runs!!
The Rangers pound lefties and will be facing Jason Vargas (1-2, 5.45 ERA). Vargas started out the season decently but has been lit up recently, but has allowed 10 earned runs in his last two starts while going 12 innings. The Rangers have a heavy right handed lineup and should have no problem with Vargas and the shady Mariner defense. Colby Lewis (2-3, 5.70 ERA) was the Ranger ace last year and threw 8 innings of two run ball last outing vs the A's. Look for the Rangers to go Over 3.5 Runs!!
Wednesday, May 4, 2011
MLB Quick Pick
MLB
Pitt Pirates at SD Padres
The quick pick is the Padres scoring less than 3.5 runs today vs Pitt ace Kevin Correia. (4-2, 2.90 ERA). The Pads offense is so bad that their pitchers have been their best hitters this week. Correia is having another fine season and recently shut out the Rockies in Colorado. Correia does a great job of keeping the ball down and making the other team earn their runs--something that the Padres simply cannot do this year. Go with the Pads Under 3.5 Runs!!
Pitt Pirates at SD Padres
The quick pick is the Padres scoring less than 3.5 runs today vs Pitt ace Kevin Correia. (4-2, 2.90 ERA). The Pads offense is so bad that their pitchers have been their best hitters this week. Correia is having another fine season and recently shut out the Rockies in Colorado. Correia does a great job of keeping the ball down and making the other team earn their runs--something that the Padres simply cannot do this year. Go with the Pads Under 3.5 Runs!!
Tuesday, May 3, 2011
MLB Pick of the Day
MLB
Colorado Rockies (-135) at Arizona D-Backs
The first place Rockies (17-9) go visit the fourth place D-Backs (12-15). The Rockies are a major league best 10-3 on the road this season, and will be sending their top pitcher Jorge De La Rosa (4-0, 2.61 ERA) to the mound. The Snakes will counter with soft tossing lefty Joe Saunders (0-3, 5.93 ERA), Saunders has lost all three home starts this season while getting pounded for 28 hits and 15 runs in brief three starts. The Rockies should mash Saunders early and allow De La Rosa to cruise.The Rockies have the superior lineup and bullpen as well. Go with the Rockies!!!
Colorado Rockies (-135) at Arizona D-Backs
The first place Rockies (17-9) go visit the fourth place D-Backs (12-15). The Rockies are a major league best 10-3 on the road this season, and will be sending their top pitcher Jorge De La Rosa (4-0, 2.61 ERA) to the mound. The Snakes will counter with soft tossing lefty Joe Saunders (0-3, 5.93 ERA), Saunders has lost all three home starts this season while getting pounded for 28 hits and 15 runs in brief three starts. The Rockies should mash Saunders early and allow De La Rosa to cruise.The Rockies have the superior lineup and bullpen as well. Go with the Rockies!!!
Monday, May 2, 2011
MLB Pick - Monday
MLB
Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers (-210) or Dodgers -1.5 at +105 Odds
The Cubs fly in to LA to take on the Dodgers and their ace Clayton Kershaw (2-3, 3.52 ERA). The Cubs will send scrub fifth-starter James Russell (1-3, 8.31 ERA) against the Dodgers. Russell has been obliterated in all three starts this season (19 hits, 3 walks and 12 earned runs). The Cubs are 3-7 in their last ten games and should continue to struggle in LA tonight. The Dodgers should pound the Cubs. Take the Dodgers minus the 1.5 runs!!
**Sorry, I was in Fresno for a friends wedding this past weekend. Congrats to Danny and Natalie! Also, a quick shout out to my buddy Scotty B and his new baby boy, Ethan.
Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers (-210) or Dodgers -1.5 at +105 Odds
The Cubs fly in to LA to take on the Dodgers and their ace Clayton Kershaw (2-3, 3.52 ERA). The Cubs will send scrub fifth-starter James Russell (1-3, 8.31 ERA) against the Dodgers. Russell has been obliterated in all three starts this season (19 hits, 3 walks and 12 earned runs). The Cubs are 3-7 in their last ten games and should continue to struggle in LA tonight. The Dodgers should pound the Cubs. Take the Dodgers minus the 1.5 runs!!
**Sorry, I was in Fresno for a friends wedding this past weekend. Congrats to Danny and Natalie! Also, a quick shout out to my buddy Scotty B and his new baby boy, Ethan.
Thursday, April 28, 2011
Picks of the Day
MLB
St. Louis Cardinals (-150) at Houston Astros
Yes, I know that this is the same game that I called yesterday (and won) but I really can't stay away from this matchup. The last place Astros will be sending their worst starting pitcher, Nelson Figueroa (0-3, 8.55 ERA), against the Cards and Kyle McClellan (3-0, 2.16 ERA). Figueroa has yielded five or more earned runs in every start except when he faced the feeble Padres. He allowed 11 base runners and six runs in four innings last outing vs the Brewers. McClellan hasn't allowed over two earned runs all season in four starts. My only fear is the putrid Cardinal bullpen, which almost gave away another game last night. Someone has to tell Tony LaRussa not to let Ryan Franklin pitch again.....ever. Go with the Cards!!
NBA
Orlando Magic (-1.5) at Atlanta Hawks - Over/Under 179
Let's make this quick. These teams have played each other eight times this season, only once has the game gone over 179. In addition, the games in Atlanta have averaged less points (171) than the games in Orlando. This game should be a battle with no easy buckets and a lot of fouls. Let's roll with the Under 179!!
St. Louis Cardinals (-150) at Houston Astros
Yes, I know that this is the same game that I called yesterday (and won) but I really can't stay away from this matchup. The last place Astros will be sending their worst starting pitcher, Nelson Figueroa (0-3, 8.55 ERA), against the Cards and Kyle McClellan (3-0, 2.16 ERA). Figueroa has yielded five or more earned runs in every start except when he faced the feeble Padres. He allowed 11 base runners and six runs in four innings last outing vs the Brewers. McClellan hasn't allowed over two earned runs all season in four starts. My only fear is the putrid Cardinal bullpen, which almost gave away another game last night. Someone has to tell Tony LaRussa not to let Ryan Franklin pitch again.....ever. Go with the Cards!!
NBA
Orlando Magic (-1.5) at Atlanta Hawks - Over/Under 179
Let's make this quick. These teams have played each other eight times this season, only once has the game gone over 179. In addition, the games in Atlanta have averaged less points (171) than the games in Orlando. This game should be a battle with no easy buckets and a lot of fouls. Let's roll with the Under 179!!
Wednesday, April 27, 2011
MLB Pick of the Day
MLB
St. Louis Cards (-135) at Houston Astros - Over/Under 8.5
The first place Cards send their righty Kyle Lohse (3-1, 2.01 ERA), who has won his last three starts against the last place Astros and their starter JA Happ (1-3, 6.94 ERA). Happ has given up 10 runs and 13 hits in his last two outings. The Cards pound lefties this season and are second in the NL in scoring. Look for the Cardinals to pound Happ early and often. This game could get really ugly in a hurry. Go with the Cards!!
St. Louis Cards (-135) at Houston Astros - Over/Under 8.5
The first place Cards send their righty Kyle Lohse (3-1, 2.01 ERA), who has won his last three starts against the last place Astros and their starter JA Happ (1-3, 6.94 ERA). Happ has given up 10 runs and 13 hits in his last two outings. The Cards pound lefties this season and are second in the NL in scoring. Look for the Cardinals to pound Happ early and often. This game could get really ugly in a hurry. Go with the Cards!!
Monday, April 25, 2011
Big Monday Picks
NBA
OKC Thunder at Denver Nuggets (-2.5) - Over/Under at 205
Denver is playing for their playoff lives tonight in Denver against the Thunder. Denver lead the NBA in scoring during the season averaging over 107 points a game. The Thunder have taken down the Nuggets in all three games so far, and the Nuggets have shot the ball terribly in the series. Denver will find their stroke tonight and should push the ball to avoid the Thunder's tough half court defense led by Serge Ibaka and Kendrick Perkins. Denver has the fire power and should at least go down firing tonight. Go with the Over!!
MLB
Oakland A's at LA Angels (-150)
The Angels send their ace Jared Weaver (5-0, 1.23 ERA) to the mound against Oakland's Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 1.80 ERA). Gonzalez's luck finally caught up to him against Boston last week, losing 5-3. Gonzalez allows a lot of baserunners, and that could lead to his demise tonight. Weaver has pitched better than any other pitcher in baseball so far, and should have no problem with the weak hitting A's offense. The A's rank in the bottom of the AL in hits, runs and homeruns. Look for Weaver to shut down the A's, Go with the Angels!!
OKC Thunder at Denver Nuggets (-2.5) - Over/Under at 205
Denver is playing for their playoff lives tonight in Denver against the Thunder. Denver lead the NBA in scoring during the season averaging over 107 points a game. The Thunder have taken down the Nuggets in all three games so far, and the Nuggets have shot the ball terribly in the series. Denver will find their stroke tonight and should push the ball to avoid the Thunder's tough half court defense led by Serge Ibaka and Kendrick Perkins. Denver has the fire power and should at least go down firing tonight. Go with the Over!!
MLB
Oakland A's at LA Angels (-150)
The Angels send their ace Jared Weaver (5-0, 1.23 ERA) to the mound against Oakland's Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 1.80 ERA). Gonzalez's luck finally caught up to him against Boston last week, losing 5-3. Gonzalez allows a lot of baserunners, and that could lead to his demise tonight. Weaver has pitched better than any other pitcher in baseball so far, and should have no problem with the weak hitting A's offense. The A's rank in the bottom of the AL in hits, runs and homeruns. Look for Weaver to shut down the A's, Go with the Angels!!
Friday, April 22, 2011
Picks of the Day- Friday Fool!
NBA
Boston Celtics at NY Knicks (-3) - Over/Under 190
Yes, Boston is up 2-0 in this series. Yes, Boston is better on paper and has the experience to reach the Finals again. But, the Celtics nearly lost both games in Boston against the Knicks and failed to cover the spread in each game. Boston was a bottom five team against the spread on the road this season. This is the first postseason game in New York since 2004, the Knicks should be ready and real active with the crowd on their side. The Knicks formula for winning is to push the ball and create quick open shots. The Celtics are old and slow and will try to slow it down unless they get behind early. I think the Knicks come to play tonight. For them to win the game, it will have to be high scoring. Let's parlay the Knicks and the Over!!
MLB
Washington Nationals at Pittsburgh Pirates - Over/Under 8 Runs
Washington sends Livan Hernandez (2-1, 2.88 ERA) to the hill against the worst offense in the NL. The Pirates are last in the NL in runs scored and have lost three straight games. The Pirates are 1-5 with 15 runs scored at home so far in 2011. Hernandez has allowed just one run in each of his last two starts (13.66 IP). The Pirate run line is Over/Under 4 runs, and I just can't seem them scoring five runs tonight in the cold (43*F). Go with the Pirates Under 4!!
Boston Celtics at NY Knicks (-3) - Over/Under 190
Yes, Boston is up 2-0 in this series. Yes, Boston is better on paper and has the experience to reach the Finals again. But, the Celtics nearly lost both games in Boston against the Knicks and failed to cover the spread in each game. Boston was a bottom five team against the spread on the road this season. This is the first postseason game in New York since 2004, the Knicks should be ready and real active with the crowd on their side. The Knicks formula for winning is to push the ball and create quick open shots. The Celtics are old and slow and will try to slow it down unless they get behind early. I think the Knicks come to play tonight. For them to win the game, it will have to be high scoring. Let's parlay the Knicks and the Over!!
MLB
Washington Nationals at Pittsburgh Pirates - Over/Under 8 Runs
Washington sends Livan Hernandez (2-1, 2.88 ERA) to the hill against the worst offense in the NL. The Pirates are last in the NL in runs scored and have lost three straight games. The Pirates are 1-5 with 15 runs scored at home so far in 2011. Hernandez has allowed just one run in each of his last two starts (13.66 IP). The Pirate run line is Over/Under 4 runs, and I just can't seem them scoring five runs tonight in the cold (43*F). Go with the Pirates Under 4!!
Wednesday, April 20, 2011
MLB and NBA Picks for Wednesday
MLB
Minnesota at Baltimore (-140)
The hapless twins continue their road trip in Baltimore tonight to face the Orioles star rookie Zach Britton. Britton is 2-1 with an ERA of 2.75 and will face the Twins' Nick Blackburn (1-2, 3.06 ERA). The Twins are 6-11 and in last place in the AL Central. The Orioles have struggled so far as well and are 7-9, but won last night against the Twins 11-0. The Twins are last in the majors in runs scored and will be without C Joe Mauer and 1B Justin Mourneau. The soft tossing Blackburn will have to be perfect to win. The Orioles lineup is much more dangerous and should benefit from playing at home with a better starting pitcher. Go with the Orioles!!
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies at San Antonio Spurs (-8) - Over/Under 193
The Grizzlies stole game one 101-98 against the Spurs, who were without their best player G Manu Ginobili. Ginobili should return for game two, in a must win contest for the Spurs. The Spurs only shot 40% from the floor in game one, but shot a astronomical 47 free throws. On the other hand, the Grizzlies hit 55% FG and made 6 of 10 three pointers. Memphis has played the Spurs tough all season (3-2), and four of those five matchups resulted in greater than 196 points scored. These teams averaged a combine score of 204 total points during the regular season. The Spurs will play tough tonight and the Grizzlies believe in themselves. Go with the Over!!
Minnesota at Baltimore (-140)
The hapless twins continue their road trip in Baltimore tonight to face the Orioles star rookie Zach Britton. Britton is 2-1 with an ERA of 2.75 and will face the Twins' Nick Blackburn (1-2, 3.06 ERA). The Twins are 6-11 and in last place in the AL Central. The Orioles have struggled so far as well and are 7-9, but won last night against the Twins 11-0. The Twins are last in the majors in runs scored and will be without C Joe Mauer and 1B Justin Mourneau. The soft tossing Blackburn will have to be perfect to win. The Orioles lineup is much more dangerous and should benefit from playing at home with a better starting pitcher. Go with the Orioles!!
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies at San Antonio Spurs (-8) - Over/Under 193
The Grizzlies stole game one 101-98 against the Spurs, who were without their best player G Manu Ginobili. Ginobili should return for game two, in a must win contest for the Spurs. The Spurs only shot 40% from the floor in game one, but shot a astronomical 47 free throws. On the other hand, the Grizzlies hit 55% FG and made 6 of 10 three pointers. Memphis has played the Spurs tough all season (3-2), and four of those five matchups resulted in greater than 196 points scored. These teams averaged a combine score of 204 total points during the regular season. The Spurs will play tough tonight and the Grizzlies believe in themselves. Go with the Over!!
Tuesday, April 19, 2011
Picks of the Day
NBA
Atlanta Hawks at Orlando Magic (-9.5) - Over/Under 183
The Hawks look to go up 2-0 in the series tonight in a must-win game for the Magic at home. The Hawks have now beaten the Magic four times in five games this season. These teams are very similar, but the longer and more athletic Hawks seem to have Orlando's number. Both teams focus on defense and primarily shoot a lot of outside jumpers. The Hawks have no answer for Howard (46 points in game 1) inside but seem content to let him have his points while stopping Orlando from getting their 3-pointers. The Hawks shot the ball ridiculously well at 51% FG. That won't happen again, but what I noticed was how aggressive they were at going to the hoop collecting 29 FTs. The Hawks are younger and hungrier than the Magic. The Magic look old and slow right now. Go with the Hawks and the points!! If you need another pick, than go with the Under!!
MLB
LA Angels at Texas Rangers (-190) - Over/Under 10
The Rangers thrive at home and should have no problem with Angels right-hander Matt Palmer. Palmer didn't get out of the fifth inning at home against a struggling Toronto Blue Jay offense, yielding 10 hits and a walk with 5 runs scoring. He is the Angel's emergency starter and really belongs in the minor leagues. He is a journeyman that throws in the mid-eighties without good off speed stuff. The Rangers have scored 44 runs in seven games at home this season for an average of 6.3. They beat the Angels and Ervin Santana 7-1 last night. This could get really out of control in a hurry. The Ranger Run Line is 5----please take the OVER 5!!
Atlanta Hawks at Orlando Magic (-9.5) - Over/Under 183
The Hawks look to go up 2-0 in the series tonight in a must-win game for the Magic at home. The Hawks have now beaten the Magic four times in five games this season. These teams are very similar, but the longer and more athletic Hawks seem to have Orlando's number. Both teams focus on defense and primarily shoot a lot of outside jumpers. The Hawks have no answer for Howard (46 points in game 1) inside but seem content to let him have his points while stopping Orlando from getting their 3-pointers. The Hawks shot the ball ridiculously well at 51% FG. That won't happen again, but what I noticed was how aggressive they were at going to the hoop collecting 29 FTs. The Hawks are younger and hungrier than the Magic. The Magic look old and slow right now. Go with the Hawks and the points!! If you need another pick, than go with the Under!!
MLB
LA Angels at Texas Rangers (-190) - Over/Under 10
The Rangers thrive at home and should have no problem with Angels right-hander Matt Palmer. Palmer didn't get out of the fifth inning at home against a struggling Toronto Blue Jay offense, yielding 10 hits and a walk with 5 runs scoring. He is the Angel's emergency starter and really belongs in the minor leagues. He is a journeyman that throws in the mid-eighties without good off speed stuff. The Rangers have scored 44 runs in seven games at home this season for an average of 6.3. They beat the Angels and Ervin Santana 7-1 last night. This could get really out of control in a hurry. The Ranger Run Line is 5----please take the OVER 5!!
Monday, April 18, 2011
NBA Pick of the Day
Indiana Pacers at Chicago Bulls (-11) - Over/Under 193
Let's roll with the Under 193. The Pacers played about as well as they could play last game shooting over 46% (55% on 3s) and only scored 99. The Bulls are phenomenal on defense and should stop the Pacers cold in Game 2. The Bulls play their best ball when they run their half court offense and pound the boards. I don't think that the Pacers will start out hot again and dictate an uptempo game like Game 1. The Bulls should take an early lead then methodically attack the Pacers. Go with the Under!!
Let's roll with the Under 193. The Pacers played about as well as they could play last game shooting over 46% (55% on 3s) and only scored 99. The Bulls are phenomenal on defense and should stop the Pacers cold in Game 2. The Bulls play their best ball when they run their half court offense and pound the boards. I don't think that the Pacers will start out hot again and dictate an uptempo game like Game 1. The Bulls should take an early lead then methodically attack the Pacers. Go with the Under!!
Saturday, April 16, 2011
NBA Pick for Sunday
Game: Denver Nuggets at OKC Thunder -- Over/Under 200
Take the Over 200!! Both these teams like to run and shoot. Look for an uptempo game with a lot of scoring. Westbrook pushes the ball for the Thunder nearly every possession and Denver has a lot of weapons. Both team should score over 100 points in this contest. Go with the OVER!!
Take the Over 200!! Both these teams like to run and shoot. Look for an uptempo game with a lot of scoring. Westbrook pushes the ball for the Thunder nearly every possession and Denver has a lot of weapons. Both team should score over 100 points in this contest. Go with the OVER!!
Thursday, April 14, 2011
MLB Pick of the Day
MLB Pick
SD Padres at Houston Astros (-110) Over/Under 8.5 -- Padre Run Line is 4
SD and their putrid offense go into Houston to face Houston righty Bud Norris. Norris is decent but throws hard and collects strikeouts. Norris should be able to overpower the Padre hitters. The Padres have scored over 4 runs just three times this season out of eleven games, and two of those came in the first two games of the season against the Cardinals. The pick is the Under 4 runs for the Padres!!
**Remember 4 runs and you tie.
SD Padres at Houston Astros (-110) Over/Under 8.5 -- Padre Run Line is 4
SD and their putrid offense go into Houston to face Houston righty Bud Norris. Norris is decent but throws hard and collects strikeouts. Norris should be able to overpower the Padre hitters. The Padres have scored over 4 runs just three times this season out of eleven games, and two of those came in the first two games of the season against the Cardinals. The pick is the Under 4 runs for the Padres!!
**Remember 4 runs and you tie.
Wednesday, April 13, 2011
MLB Matinee Picks
MLB Picks
Cincy Reds (-120) at SD Padres - Over/Under 7
The Reds have won two straight in San Diego so far in this series and will send young lefty Travis Wood (1-1) to the mound against San Diego's Tim Stauffer (0-1, 5.06 ERA). The Reds are playing like last year's NL Central Champs and are in first place with a 8-3 record. The Reds are again one of the top offenses in the NL while SD ranks as the lowest (.213 BA). The Padres simply cannot hit and score runs, especially in spacious PetCo Park. Wood should be able to silence the Padre bats, while the Reds offense should hit SD's worst starting pitcher. Just gotta hope the defense or bullpen doesn't blow it.Go with the Reds!! The Under would seem logical as well.
Cincy Reds (-120) at SD Padres - Over/Under 7
The Reds have won two straight in San Diego so far in this series and will send young lefty Travis Wood (1-1) to the mound against San Diego's Tim Stauffer (0-1, 5.06 ERA). The Reds are playing like last year's NL Central Champs and are in first place with a 8-3 record. The Reds are again one of the top offenses in the NL while SD ranks as the lowest (.213 BA). The Padres simply cannot hit and score runs, especially in spacious PetCo Park. Wood should be able to silence the Padre bats, while the Reds offense should hit SD's worst starting pitcher. Just gotta hope the defense or bullpen doesn't blow it.Go with the Reds!! The Under would seem logical as well.
Tuesday, April 12, 2011
MLB Pick
MLB Pick of the Day
Chicago Cubs at Houston Astros (-120)
The Cubbies will throw rookie left-hander James Russell against the Astros with Brett Myers tonight. The Cubs won last night 5-4, but I liked how Houston fought back down 5-0 early. The Cubs used closer Carlos Marmol for 1.3 last night and barely held on. Russell is making his first career start and has worked primarily out of the bullpen this year. Myers is the ace of the Houston staff and has thrown two great games so far, only allowing 3 runs in 13.3 innings. Myers has owned the Cubs recently going 8-0 over his last nine starts. Go with the Houston Astros!!
Chicago Cubs at Houston Astros (-120)
The Cubbies will throw rookie left-hander James Russell against the Astros with Brett Myers tonight. The Cubs won last night 5-4, but I liked how Houston fought back down 5-0 early. The Cubs used closer Carlos Marmol for 1.3 last night and barely held on. Russell is making his first career start and has worked primarily out of the bullpen this year. Myers is the ace of the Houston staff and has thrown two great games so far, only allowing 3 runs in 13.3 innings. Myers has owned the Cubs recently going 8-0 over his last nine starts. Go with the Houston Astros!!
Monday, April 11, 2011
Picks of the Day
MLB Pick
Chicago Cubs Scoring Over 4 Runs at Houston Astros. If they score 4 then you tie and get your money back (Just FYI). The Cubs travel to Houston to play in the old Minute Maid bandbox with the short left field wall. On the mound for the Astros will be Nelson Figueroa, who gave up 11 hits and 10 runs to the Cincy Reds last Wednesday. Figueroa is a bum. The Cubs have all their big hitters in the lineup tonight. They are even playing my personal favorite Tyler Colvin, who hammers right handers. Get on the Cubs Scoring Over 4!!
NBA Pick
The OVER in the OKC Thunder at Sacramento Kings game at 207. The Thunder can score and the Kings play no defense. Great combo for a OVER call. The Thunder are playing great ball, having just beaten the Lakers last night in LA. The Thunder are playing for a higher seed in the West, while the Kings are finishing up their run in the city of Sacramento. Both teams rank at the top of the NBA in their games going over the point total (42-37 and 42-36 on the year). Go with the OVER 207!!
**Update: Sac G Tyreke Evans ruled out tonight at 7:00 pm
Chicago Cubs Scoring Over 4 Runs at Houston Astros. If they score 4 then you tie and get your money back (Just FYI). The Cubs travel to Houston to play in the old Minute Maid bandbox with the short left field wall. On the mound for the Astros will be Nelson Figueroa, who gave up 11 hits and 10 runs to the Cincy Reds last Wednesday. Figueroa is a bum. The Cubs have all their big hitters in the lineup tonight. They are even playing my personal favorite Tyler Colvin, who hammers right handers. Get on the Cubs Scoring Over 4!!
NBA Pick
The OVER in the OKC Thunder at Sacramento Kings game at 207. The Thunder can score and the Kings play no defense. Great combo for a OVER call. The Thunder are playing great ball, having just beaten the Lakers last night in LA. The Thunder are playing for a higher seed in the West, while the Kings are finishing up their run in the city of Sacramento. Both teams rank at the top of the NBA in their games going over the point total (42-37 and 42-36 on the year). Go with the OVER 207!!
**Update: Sac G Tyreke Evans ruled out tonight at 7:00 pm
Friday, April 8, 2011
NBA and MLB Pick of the Day
NBA Pick
Phoenix Suns at NO Hornets (-5)
The Suns are out of the playoff hunt and could be without their star PG Steve Nash. IF there is no Nash tonight then there will be no hope. Nash has just 12 points in his last two games and could easily sit out tonight with a sore hamstring. The Suns are 3-7 over their last ten games and are only 17-22 on the road this season.
The Hornets have won two straight and are playing for their playoff lives during this final week of the season. The Hornets are excellent at home going 27-12 so far this season. They need this game to fend off Memphis for the #7 seed in the West. Chris Paul should have his way with Suns backup PG Brooks, who plays terrible defense and is a shoot first point guard. Go with the Hornets!!
MLB Pick
Colorado Rockies (-130) at Pittsburgh Pirates
The Rockies (4-1) have won four straight games, including last night's 7-1 victory in Pittsburgh. The Rockies will send #2 started Jorge De La Rosa to the mound tonight against Pittsburgh's Ross Ohlendorf (6.0 ERA). De La Rosa went 5.3 scoreless innings in beating Arizona last Saturday. Ohlendorf is a career journeyman that loses more games every season. The Pirates (4-3) simply don't have the talent that the Rockies do this season. Go with the Rockies!!
Phoenix Suns at NO Hornets (-5)
The Suns are out of the playoff hunt and could be without their star PG Steve Nash. IF there is no Nash tonight then there will be no hope. Nash has just 12 points in his last two games and could easily sit out tonight with a sore hamstring. The Suns are 3-7 over their last ten games and are only 17-22 on the road this season.
The Hornets have won two straight and are playing for their playoff lives during this final week of the season. The Hornets are excellent at home going 27-12 so far this season. They need this game to fend off Memphis for the #7 seed in the West. Chris Paul should have his way with Suns backup PG Brooks, who plays terrible defense and is a shoot first point guard. Go with the Hornets!!
MLB Pick
Colorado Rockies (-130) at Pittsburgh Pirates
The Rockies (4-1) have won four straight games, including last night's 7-1 victory in Pittsburgh. The Rockies will send #2 started Jorge De La Rosa to the mound tonight against Pittsburgh's Ross Ohlendorf (6.0 ERA). De La Rosa went 5.3 scoreless innings in beating Arizona last Saturday. Ohlendorf is a career journeyman that loses more games every season. The Pirates (4-3) simply don't have the talent that the Rockies do this season. Go with the Rockies!!
Thursday, April 7, 2011
Picks of the Day
MLB Pick
Over 9 in the Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles
Brad Penny is putrid and is throwing on the road in Baltimore, a great hitters park. The O's lineup is stacked with lefties today and they should knock him around. The Tigers have a very good offense and should get after O's pitcher Chris Tillman. He shut down the D-Rays last week, but the Rays are horrible without Longoria in the lineup.Go OVER!!
NBA Pick (Updated 4:51 pm)
Boston Celts at Chicago Bulls (-5) - Over/Under at 179.5
The Celtics are a very unpredictable team, they have had some real stinkers on the road this season. When they score over 90 points they are very difficult to beat. The Celts are a veteran team and know how important this game is for home court advantage. The Bulls play great defense, but just not recently. They have been winning games but not covering spreads. They are so tough in Chicago and the city will be ready to greet the C's tonight. I am guessing that we will see an intense game with sufficient scoring. Let's roll with the Over!!
Over 9 in the Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles
Brad Penny is putrid and is throwing on the road in Baltimore, a great hitters park. The O's lineup is stacked with lefties today and they should knock him around. The Tigers have a very good offense and should get after O's pitcher Chris Tillman. He shut down the D-Rays last week, but the Rays are horrible without Longoria in the lineup.Go OVER!!
NBA Pick (Updated 4:51 pm)
Boston Celts at Chicago Bulls (-5) - Over/Under at 179.5
The Celtics are a very unpredictable team, they have had some real stinkers on the road this season. When they score over 90 points they are very difficult to beat. The Celts are a veteran team and know how important this game is for home court advantage. The Bulls play great defense, but just not recently. They have been winning games but not covering spreads. They are so tough in Chicago and the city will be ready to greet the C's tonight. I am guessing that we will see an intense game with sufficient scoring. Let's roll with the Over!!
Tuesday, April 5, 2011
Two Quick Picks
NBA
Detroit Pistons at Washington Wizards (pick)
Take the Wiz, they have won two in a row and actually look decent right now. The Pistons stink, and just benched starting point guard Stuckey for insubordination. Go Wiz!!
MLB
Angels vs TB Rays (pick at -110)
Take the Angels with ace Jared Weaver on the mound. The Rays' lineup is really struggling right now and they are throwing their fourth starter Jeff Niemann. Angels should dominate. Pick is the Angels!!
Detroit Pistons at Washington Wizards (pick)
Take the Wiz, they have won two in a row and actually look decent right now. The Pistons stink, and just benched starting point guard Stuckey for insubordination. Go Wiz!!
MLB
Angels vs TB Rays (pick at -110)
Take the Angels with ace Jared Weaver on the mound. The Rays' lineup is really struggling right now and they are throwing their fourth starter Jeff Niemann. Angels should dominate. Pick is the Angels!!
Sunday, April 3, 2011
NCAA Title Game
NCAA Title Game
UCONN (-3 points) vs Butler (+145 to win) - Over/Under 128.5
Each team dictated the pace of their semi final match up on Saturday and came away victorious. UConn is so tough inside on defense. They jammed up the lane and forced Kentucky to settle for long jumpers. Kentucky couldn't buy a shot in the first half and got into foul trouble (namely Harrellson). Kentucky shot 33% from the floor while the Huskies hit 47% of their field goals. An even greater advantage was generated from the free throw line, where Kentucky hit only four of twelve FTs and the Huskies made nine of eleven. Those five points were the difference in the game. The Wildcats' Terrence Jones missed the front end of a one-and-one with two minutes to go and then DeAndre Liggins missed a crucial FT with 50 seconds to go in the game. Make no doubt about it, the Husky defense was the key in their 56-55 victory. Kemba Walker only made 6-15 shots, but he got serious help from Jeremy Lamb (12 points, 9 boards).
Well I guess Butler did it again. They didn't look impressive or shoot the ball well (35% FG, 77% FT) and still won the game. Truly amazing stuff. The Bulldogs pounded VCU on the boards 46-30 and shot twice as many free throws 26-13 in beating the Rams 70-62. I was pulling for VCU and couldn't believe the discrepancy in foul calls, now I am not blaming the officiating for the VCU loss but it was really unbalanced. I am sure CBS is happy that Butler won the game too. Butler only had eight assists and shot the ball worse than VCU from the field. Butler pushed VCU around all over the floor and ended up winning rather easily despite not playing well. The problem for Butler is that they showed some of their weaknesses in beating VCU.
Our pick: I don't think that Butler is even close to UConn as far as talent is concerned. I honestly can't see how Butler beats teams. They obviously have great coaching and desire. But everything comes to an end sometime, and that time will be Monday 6:23 pm. Butler won't be able to overcome poor shooting and push around the UConn Huskies. The Huskies are way too big and physical for the Butler Bulldogs. Go big with the UConn Huskies minus the points.
The Over/Under at 128.5 seems rather low. Whoever loses this game will go down fighting and fouling. Let's go with the Over!!
***Updated 4:27 pm--MLB Pick of the Day
Rangers to score OVER 4.5 runs tonight vs Mariners (Bedard) in Arlington, Texas 5:05 pm
UCONN (-3 points) vs Butler (+145 to win) - Over/Under 128.5
Each team dictated the pace of their semi final match up on Saturday and came away victorious. UConn is so tough inside on defense. They jammed up the lane and forced Kentucky to settle for long jumpers. Kentucky couldn't buy a shot in the first half and got into foul trouble (namely Harrellson). Kentucky shot 33% from the floor while the Huskies hit 47% of their field goals. An even greater advantage was generated from the free throw line, where Kentucky hit only four of twelve FTs and the Huskies made nine of eleven. Those five points were the difference in the game. The Wildcats' Terrence Jones missed the front end of a one-and-one with two minutes to go and then DeAndre Liggins missed a crucial FT with 50 seconds to go in the game. Make no doubt about it, the Husky defense was the key in their 56-55 victory. Kemba Walker only made 6-15 shots, but he got serious help from Jeremy Lamb (12 points, 9 boards).
Well I guess Butler did it again. They didn't look impressive or shoot the ball well (35% FG, 77% FT) and still won the game. Truly amazing stuff. The Bulldogs pounded VCU on the boards 46-30 and shot twice as many free throws 26-13 in beating the Rams 70-62. I was pulling for VCU and couldn't believe the discrepancy in foul calls, now I am not blaming the officiating for the VCU loss but it was really unbalanced. I am sure CBS is happy that Butler won the game too. Butler only had eight assists and shot the ball worse than VCU from the field. Butler pushed VCU around all over the floor and ended up winning rather easily despite not playing well. The problem for Butler is that they showed some of their weaknesses in beating VCU.
Our pick: I don't think that Butler is even close to UConn as far as talent is concerned. I honestly can't see how Butler beats teams. They obviously have great coaching and desire. But everything comes to an end sometime, and that time will be Monday 6:23 pm. Butler won't be able to overcome poor shooting and push around the UConn Huskies. The Huskies are way too big and physical for the Butler Bulldogs. Go big with the UConn Huskies minus the points.
The Over/Under at 128.5 seems rather low. Whoever loses this game will go down fighting and fouling. Let's go with the Over!!
***Updated 4:27 pm--MLB Pick of the Day
Rangers to score OVER 4.5 runs tonight vs Mariners (Bedard) in Arlington, Texas 5:05 pm
Saturday, April 2, 2011
Final Four Saturday
Final Four Saturday
1. Butler (-3.5) vs VCU
Wow, great game. The spread has increased from 2.5 to 3.5 in the last few days. All the sharps are declaring that Butler will win and cover the spread. Butler has the experience and the size, but so has every team that VCU has played during the tournament. VCU has no business in the tourney let alone this far in the tourney. The Money line is VCU +150. I am real tempted to take VCU +150, because I think that this game could go either way. Both teams rely on three pointers and tough defense. Take VCU +3.5 to be safe or take the money line.
2. Kentucky (-2) vs UCONN
The Wildcats have carried over their dominance from the SEC tournament into the NCAA tourney. UCONN is playing great ball as well. The Huskies won the Big East tourney then beat SDSU and Arizona in Anaheim, CA. It will come down to Kemba Walker's supporting cast--he will need someone to step up and help him with the scoring. I think that the Wildcats athleticism will triumph in the end in a close game. Go with Kentucky!!
1. Butler (-3.5) vs VCU
Wow, great game. The spread has increased from 2.5 to 3.5 in the last few days. All the sharps are declaring that Butler will win and cover the spread. Butler has the experience and the size, but so has every team that VCU has played during the tournament. VCU has no business in the tourney let alone this far in the tourney. The Money line is VCU +150. I am real tempted to take VCU +150, because I think that this game could go either way. Both teams rely on three pointers and tough defense. Take VCU +3.5 to be safe or take the money line.
2. Kentucky (-2) vs UCONN
The Wildcats have carried over their dominance from the SEC tournament into the NCAA tourney. UCONN is playing great ball as well. The Huskies won the Big East tourney then beat SDSU and Arizona in Anaheim, CA. It will come down to Kemba Walker's supporting cast--he will need someone to step up and help him with the scoring. I think that the Wildcats athleticism will triumph in the end in a close game. Go with Kentucky!!
Friday, April 1, 2011
NBA and MLB Pick of the Day
NBA Game
Indiana (-1) vs Milwaukee.
The Pacers are at home playing against an inferior team. What am I missing? The Bucks are 11-25 on the road and the Pacers are 21-16 at home this year, including the last two over Boston and Detroit. This shouldn't be difficult. Go Pacers!!
MLB Game
LA Angels (-140) at KC Royals.
The Halos will send Dan Haren to the mound to face newly acquired Jeff Francis for the Royals. The Angels won last night 4-2 (which I had but sweated the entire game) and should continue their dominance over the Royals. Angels are a much better team with a much better pitcher. The only concern that I have is that their bullpen struggles again. Hopefully, they will have a big enough lead by then so we won't have to worry about it. Go with the Angels!!
Indiana (-1) vs Milwaukee.
The Pacers are at home playing against an inferior team. What am I missing? The Bucks are 11-25 on the road and the Pacers are 21-16 at home this year, including the last two over Boston and Detroit. This shouldn't be difficult. Go Pacers!!
MLB Game
LA Angels (-140) at KC Royals.
The Halos will send Dan Haren to the mound to face newly acquired Jeff Francis for the Royals. The Angels won last night 4-2 (which I had but sweated the entire game) and should continue their dominance over the Royals. Angels are a much better team with a much better pitcher. The only concern that I have is that their bullpen struggles again. Hopefully, they will have a big enough lead by then so we won't have to worry about it. Go with the Angels!!
Thursday, March 31, 2011
NBA Thursday
NBA Thursday
1. Boston Celtics at San Antonio (pick).
The Spurs will have all three stars back tonight. The return of Duncan and Ginobili is huge. The Spurs have been playing with a minor league squad for the last week and were still competitive. Now, they will have their full lineup for the Celtics. The Celtics have really struggled on the road in the last two months and still lack an interior presence. The Celts traded away Perkins and replaced him with Krstic and Green--major mistake. The Celts have been getting pounded inside since that deal. Go with the Spurs!!
2. Dallas Mavs at LA Lakers (-6)
The Lakers have been the best team in basketball since the all-star break and should continue their ways at home against the Mavs. The Mavs struggled to beat the Clippers last night and could be tired tonight. The Lakers won in Dallas in their last matchup 96-91 by attacking the paint. They should do it again tonight by utilizing Bynum and Gasol. The Lakers know how to win big games, especially at home. Go Lakers!!
1. Boston Celtics at San Antonio (pick).
The Spurs will have all three stars back tonight. The return of Duncan and Ginobili is huge. The Spurs have been playing with a minor league squad for the last week and were still competitive. Now, they will have their full lineup for the Celtics. The Celtics have really struggled on the road in the last two months and still lack an interior presence. The Celts traded away Perkins and replaced him with Krstic and Green--major mistake. The Celts have been getting pounded inside since that deal. Go with the Spurs!!
2. Dallas Mavs at LA Lakers (-6)
The Lakers have been the best team in basketball since the all-star break and should continue their ways at home against the Mavs. The Mavs struggled to beat the Clippers last night and could be tired tonight. The Lakers won in Dallas in their last matchup 96-91 by attacking the paint. They should do it again tonight by utilizing Bynum and Gasol. The Lakers know how to win big games, especially at home. Go Lakers!!
Wednesday, March 30, 2011
NBA Game of the Day
NBA Game of the Day
OKC Thunder (-3) at Phoenix Suns
This is really a game between teams heading in opposite directions. The Thunder are on fire right now winning four in a row and nine of their last ten games. Perkins is back healthy and giving them a presence inside. Durant just scored 39 points last night in their victory over Golden State, and has been tearing it up recently. The Suns have dropped three straight games and are 3-7 in their last ten contests. Ever since Nash got banged up, the Suns have really struggled. The Suns are in trouble in this high scoring contest. Go with the Thunder!!
OKC Thunder (-3) at Phoenix Suns
This is really a game between teams heading in opposite directions. The Thunder are on fire right now winning four in a row and nine of their last ten games. Perkins is back healthy and giving them a presence inside. Durant just scored 39 points last night in their victory over Golden State, and has been tearing it up recently. The Suns have dropped three straight games and are 3-7 in their last ten contests. Ever since Nash got banged up, the Suns have really struggled. The Suns are in trouble in this high scoring contest. Go with the Thunder!!
Tuesday, March 29, 2011
NBA PIck of the Day
NBA Pick of the Day
1. Miami (-13) at Cleveland. Heat are great and the Cavs suck badly. Enough said, go with the Heat to kill them. Go Heat!!
1. Miami (-13) at Cleveland. Heat are great and the Cavs suck badly. Enough said, go with the Heat to kill them. Go Heat!!
Monday, March 28, 2011
NBA Monday
NBA Monday
1. Boston (-2.5) is at Indiana to battle the Pacers. The Over/Under is 188. The Celtics are playing terrible basketball right now and barely beat the T-Wolves without Kevin Love last night 85-82. The Celtics have really struggled to score points this month, but have also only yielded an average of 83 points per game in the last ten games. The Pacers have lost two straight games to the Pistons and Kings, and should have a hard time scoring on the stingy Celtic defense. Let's go with the Under!!
2. Portland is in San Antonio to battle the short handed Spurs (-4). The Over/Under is at 192. The Spurs will be without stars Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili. Yes, the Spurs have the best record in the NBA at 57-16 but they are only 17-18 against the spread at home this season. The Spurs have lost a season high three straight games since Duncan went down. This will be a tough game as the Blazers really need to win tonight for the playoffs. The Blazers currently hold the sixth seed in the west, but Memphis is only 1.5 games back. The Blazers have won two of the last three games in San Antonio. Go with the Blazers and the points!!
3. Orlando (-2) is in the Big Apple tonight to take on the Knicks. These two met last Wednesday and Orlando won 111-99. The Magic have won five straight and have had two days off since their last game so they should be well rested. The Knicks have lost six in a row and are really struggling on the defensive side. They allowed the Bucks and Bobcats to top the century mark this past weekend, and those two teams are two of the worst offenses in the league. If they cannot stop them then Howard and crew will pummel them tonight. Go with the Magic!!
1. Boston (-2.5) is at Indiana to battle the Pacers. The Over/Under is 188. The Celtics are playing terrible basketball right now and barely beat the T-Wolves without Kevin Love last night 85-82. The Celtics have really struggled to score points this month, but have also only yielded an average of 83 points per game in the last ten games. The Pacers have lost two straight games to the Pistons and Kings, and should have a hard time scoring on the stingy Celtic defense. Let's go with the Under!!
2. Portland is in San Antonio to battle the short handed Spurs (-4). The Over/Under is at 192. The Spurs will be without stars Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili. Yes, the Spurs have the best record in the NBA at 57-16 but they are only 17-18 against the spread at home this season. The Spurs have lost a season high three straight games since Duncan went down. This will be a tough game as the Blazers really need to win tonight for the playoffs. The Blazers currently hold the sixth seed in the west, but Memphis is only 1.5 games back. The Blazers have won two of the last three games in San Antonio. Go with the Blazers and the points!!
3. Orlando (-2) is in the Big Apple tonight to take on the Knicks. These two met last Wednesday and Orlando won 111-99. The Magic have won five straight and have had two days off since their last game so they should be well rested. The Knicks have lost six in a row and are really struggling on the defensive side. They allowed the Bucks and Bobcats to top the century mark this past weekend, and those two teams are two of the worst offenses in the league. If they cannot stop them then Howard and crew will pummel them tonight. Go with the Magic!!
Friday, March 25, 2011
NCAA Sweet Sixteen Picks - Friday
NCAA Sweet Sixteen Picks - Friday
1. Ohio State (-5.5) vs Kentucky. What a fantastic match up, this should have been the Elite 8 game in the East bracket. Kentucky has great talent but they are all young and inexperienced. The Wildcats are a jump shooting team that plays well against smaller teams. Ohio State is the best team in college basketball and have all the intangibles to win the tourney. They have size, strength and shooting. They almost played too well last game vs George Mason. They should still send the Wildcats home with ease. There is no stopping the Buckeyes. Go Ohio State!!
2. Florida State (-3.5) vs VCU. You gotta love the way that VCU has played so far. I just wonder how much they have left in the tank. Florida State has got skills and play phenomenal zone defense. The difference will come in the paint, where the Seminoles should reign. Take Florida State!!
3. Kansas (-11) vs Richmond. This spread seems to be too high. I hate large spreads in big games. Kansas will have to play great in order to cover the spread. The Jayhawks are similar to Duke, in that they aren't that athletic or dominating. Gonna pull for Richmond. Go Spiders!!
4. UNC (-4.5) vs Marquette. Not a fan of either one of these teams. Both are quick and will run the court. The Over/Under is 150. I would almost rather take the Over than the game. If I had to choose a winner it would be UNC, but I will probably pass.
** I will be in Las Vegas for the weekend, so be back here on Monday.
1. Ohio State (-5.5) vs Kentucky. What a fantastic match up, this should have been the Elite 8 game in the East bracket. Kentucky has great talent but they are all young and inexperienced. The Wildcats are a jump shooting team that plays well against smaller teams. Ohio State is the best team in college basketball and have all the intangibles to win the tourney. They have size, strength and shooting. They almost played too well last game vs George Mason. They should still send the Wildcats home with ease. There is no stopping the Buckeyes. Go Ohio State!!
2. Florida State (-3.5) vs VCU. You gotta love the way that VCU has played so far. I just wonder how much they have left in the tank. Florida State has got skills and play phenomenal zone defense. The difference will come in the paint, where the Seminoles should reign. Take Florida State!!
3. Kansas (-11) vs Richmond. This spread seems to be too high. I hate large spreads in big games. Kansas will have to play great in order to cover the spread. The Jayhawks are similar to Duke, in that they aren't that athletic or dominating. Gonna pull for Richmond. Go Spiders!!
4. UNC (-4.5) vs Marquette. Not a fan of either one of these teams. Both are quick and will run the court. The Over/Under is 150. I would almost rather take the Over than the game. If I had to choose a winner it would be UNC, but I will probably pass.
** I will be in Las Vegas for the weekend, so be back here on Monday.
Thursday, March 24, 2011
NCAA Sweet Sixteen Picks - Thursday
NCAA Sweet Sixteen Picks
Thursday
1. Florida (-3) vs BYU. No way that Jimmer and friends stay on fire against a tough Gator defense. The Gators are way too athletic to let the Cougars offense dictate the game. BYU isn't used to playing great competition and will struggle without Davies on the inside. The Cougars are soft and the Gators will exploit them. Pick of the Day: Gators!!
2. UConn (-1) vs SDSU. Probably the best match up of the round. Kemba Walker is the best but he has little support. If the Aztecs can make some shots then they will win. The Huskies are one of two teams left from the Big East out of eleven, showing how overrated the conference was this season. The Aztecs are longer and quicker than the Huskies and should take control of this game in the paint. Go with the Aztecs!!
3. Wisconsin (-4.5) vs Butler. I love the Bulldogs and how they compete. F Matt Howard has been instrumental and should continue his ways against a less talented Wisconsin squad. Wisconsin can play, but aren't athletic and often struggle on offense. The Bulldogs have the experience and talent to make a run to the Final Four. Go Bulldogs!!
4. Duke (-8.5) vs Arizona. I had the Wildcats big against Texas straight up last weekend, so I kind of owe them something after that miraculous win. The problem is that they showed some major holes in their game when they blew that double digit lead in the second half. The Wildcats don't really run an offense with any plays. They rely on Derrick Williams way too much. Duke is probably too well coached to let the Cats beat them even though the Dukies aren't that good. Duke plays by the book and beats team that they should beat. Arizona is one of those teams, the large spread almost worries me. Toughest pick of the day. Go with Duke!!
Thursday
1. Florida (-3) vs BYU. No way that Jimmer and friends stay on fire against a tough Gator defense. The Gators are way too athletic to let the Cougars offense dictate the game. BYU isn't used to playing great competition and will struggle without Davies on the inside. The Cougars are soft and the Gators will exploit them. Pick of the Day: Gators!!
2. UConn (-1) vs SDSU. Probably the best match up of the round. Kemba Walker is the best but he has little support. If the Aztecs can make some shots then they will win. The Huskies are one of two teams left from the Big East out of eleven, showing how overrated the conference was this season. The Aztecs are longer and quicker than the Huskies and should take control of this game in the paint. Go with the Aztecs!!
3. Wisconsin (-4.5) vs Butler. I love the Bulldogs and how they compete. F Matt Howard has been instrumental and should continue his ways against a less talented Wisconsin squad. Wisconsin can play, but aren't athletic and often struggle on offense. The Bulldogs have the experience and talent to make a run to the Final Four. Go Bulldogs!!
4. Duke (-8.5) vs Arizona. I had the Wildcats big against Texas straight up last weekend, so I kind of owe them something after that miraculous win. The problem is that they showed some major holes in their game when they blew that double digit lead in the second half. The Wildcats don't really run an offense with any plays. They rely on Derrick Williams way too much. Duke is probably too well coached to let the Cats beat them even though the Dukies aren't that good. Duke plays by the book and beats team that they should beat. Arizona is one of those teams, the large spread almost worries me. Toughest pick of the day. Go with Duke!!
Wednesday, March 23, 2011
NBA Quick Pick
G-State Warriors at the Houston Rockets (-8).
The Warriors are on a horrific road slide right now. They have lost five straight games and the last three on the road by huge margins. There is no reason to think that they will come out of their slumber in Houston. The Rockets have won four straight home games against better competition and should cruise in this one. Take the Rockets!!
**NCAA Sweet Sixteen Picks tomorrow morning with analysis.
The Warriors are on a horrific road slide right now. They have lost five straight games and the last three on the road by huge margins. There is no reason to think that they will come out of their slumber in Houston. The Rockets have won four straight home games against better competition and should cruise in this one. Take the Rockets!!
**NCAA Sweet Sixteen Picks tomorrow morning with analysis.
Tuesday, March 22, 2011
NCAA Tourney Review
NCAA Tournament Review
West (4 out of 4 Correct)
1. Duke: Got outplayed by a talented Michigan team, but still survived thanks to suspect officiating and timely buckets. G Nolan Smith is a baller and put up 24 against the Wolverines. I still doubt that they have the athleticism to reach the Final Four. Prediction: Loss in Elite 8.
2. SDSU: Sneaked by Temple in double overtime despite shooting 40% from the field. The Aztecs play the best defense in the bracket and hit their free throws. I think their best ball is still to come and should handle UConn on Thursday. Prediction: Final Four.
3. UConn: G Kemba Walker is fantastic. There is no question that Walker can carry the Huskies past inferior teams. The problem is that he has very little help which will be a problem down the line. The Big East has lost 9 of their 11 teams in the tourney so far, which reflects poorly on the Huskies. Prediction: Loss to SDSU.
5. Arizona: The Wildcats got lucky to sneak by Texas last round. The Cats almost collapsed in the second half due to poor defense and lack of an inside game. There are too many weaknesses in their game to overcome a team like Duke. Derrick Williams is great, but isn't really a shooter and showed some flaws in his game. Arizona's inexperienced coaching worries me. Prediction: Loss to Duke.
East (2 out of 4 Correct)
1. Ohio St: The best team in tourney has dominated so far. No one has more skill and size than the Buckeyes. They slaughtered George Mason last round and showed no weaknesses on the court. They are the complete team and will need to play horrible in order to lose. Prediction: NCAA Title.
2. North Carolina: The Heels escaped Washington last round when UW disintegrated in the final minutes. UNC has a lot of talent and likes to run but I worry about them. Their offense likes to push the tempo but can struggle in the half court. Hall of Fame Coach Williams always does a fine job. Prediction: Loss in Elite 8.
4. Kentucky: Their great comeback against West Virginia showed how explosive they can play. Their starting five is great but their weakness lies in their lack of depth. They are young and will face the experienced OSU Buckeyes next. Ouch. Wildcat fans will have to wait until next year. Prediction: Loss to OSU.
11. Marquette: Upset Syracuse last round with solid defense despite shooting 41%. They won the game at the free throw line hitting 19 of 23, while Syracuse hit 5 all game. That won't happen again vs UNC. Their inconsistency will catch up with them. Prediction: Loss to UNC.
SouthEast (3 out of 4 Correct)
2. Florida: Love the Gators. They battled and defeated a talented UCLA team last round by 8. Their main strengths are their balance on offense and senior leadership. Their weakness was exploited by UCLA's height and inside toughness, as the Gators aren't the biggest team. If G Erving Walker can step it up then they will be tough to beat. Prediction: Finals.
3. BYU: When Jimmer is hot then the Cougars are unstoppable. He made 7 of 12 3-pointers vs Gonzaga as his team routed the Zags by 22. The Cougar offense relies heavily on outside shooting and is very streaky. They lack an inside presence and will struggle to beat physical teams. You gotta love watching these guys play when they are on, but I worry about them against superior teams. Prediction: Loss to Florida.
4. Wisconsin: Rallied to beat Kansas State by four last round. I thought that they were outplayed across the board but cashed in at the three point line hitting 9-20. They play slow and grind the clock without turning the ball over. I questioned their 4 seed and still view them as being overrated. They aren't big or quick or athletic, and I really don't see them being a serious threat. Prediction: Loss to Butler.
8. Butler: How did these guys pull an 8 seed after losing in the Finals to Duke last year. They were very impressive against Pitt across the board. They play tough defense, hit 3s and have the experience to win big games. F Matt Howard might be my favorite player to watch in the tourney. Nobody plays smarter or harder on both sides of the court. Oh yeah, he also has two game winning scores in two games so far. Pitt shot 56% and still lost to the Bulldogs--think about that...truly amazing. Prediction: Elite 8 or better.
SouthWest (One out of four correct)
1. Kansas: Real good team, but not great. They pummeled Illinois last round by attacking the rim. The Morris Bros are fantastic, but I worry about their outside shooting. They pretty much pushed the Illini around and created easy buckets. They have to play better ball to continue their run. Prediction: Final Four.
10. Florida State: They dominated an overrated Notre Dame squad last round with sensational zone defense. They are long and athletic and are finally hitting shots on offense. They are real dangerous right now. The Seminoles struggled to score in the regular season, but have played great so far in the tourney. They might play the best defense out of all the teams remaining. Watch Out! Prediction: Elite 8 or better.
11. VCU: Best surprise of the tourney so far. If they can keep pouring in 3 pointers like they have so far then they are dangerous. They play solid defense but are probably overrated due to their competition. They have played 3 terrible offensive teams so far (USC, G-Town, Purdue), so it will get tougher. Their hot streak will have to come to an end. Prediction: Loss to Florida St.
12. Richmond: I love the way these guys play ball. They are tough on defense and can hit jumpers. They crushed Morehead State by 17 but will face a much tougher test in Kansas next round. I would love to see them take down the Jayhawks and think that they can. I just worry about them inside the paint against a bigger Kansas squad. Prediction: Loss to Kansas.
**One NBA Game Tonight: Bulls (-3.5) at Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks are 4-6 in their last ten games, and have really struggled against elite teams. Boozer is back and the Bulls are playing sensational ball. The Bulls have won ten of their last eleven games. Go Bulls!!
West (4 out of 4 Correct)
1. Duke: Got outplayed by a talented Michigan team, but still survived thanks to suspect officiating and timely buckets. G Nolan Smith is a baller and put up 24 against the Wolverines. I still doubt that they have the athleticism to reach the Final Four. Prediction: Loss in Elite 8.
2. SDSU: Sneaked by Temple in double overtime despite shooting 40% from the field. The Aztecs play the best defense in the bracket and hit their free throws. I think their best ball is still to come and should handle UConn on Thursday. Prediction: Final Four.
3. UConn: G Kemba Walker is fantastic. There is no question that Walker can carry the Huskies past inferior teams. The problem is that he has very little help which will be a problem down the line. The Big East has lost 9 of their 11 teams in the tourney so far, which reflects poorly on the Huskies. Prediction: Loss to SDSU.
5. Arizona: The Wildcats got lucky to sneak by Texas last round. The Cats almost collapsed in the second half due to poor defense and lack of an inside game. There are too many weaknesses in their game to overcome a team like Duke. Derrick Williams is great, but isn't really a shooter and showed some flaws in his game. Arizona's inexperienced coaching worries me. Prediction: Loss to Duke.
East (2 out of 4 Correct)
1. Ohio St: The best team in tourney has dominated so far. No one has more skill and size than the Buckeyes. They slaughtered George Mason last round and showed no weaknesses on the court. They are the complete team and will need to play horrible in order to lose. Prediction: NCAA Title.
2. North Carolina: The Heels escaped Washington last round when UW disintegrated in the final minutes. UNC has a lot of talent and likes to run but I worry about them. Their offense likes to push the tempo but can struggle in the half court. Hall of Fame Coach Williams always does a fine job. Prediction: Loss in Elite 8.
4. Kentucky: Their great comeback against West Virginia showed how explosive they can play. Their starting five is great but their weakness lies in their lack of depth. They are young and will face the experienced OSU Buckeyes next. Ouch. Wildcat fans will have to wait until next year. Prediction: Loss to OSU.
11. Marquette: Upset Syracuse last round with solid defense despite shooting 41%. They won the game at the free throw line hitting 19 of 23, while Syracuse hit 5 all game. That won't happen again vs UNC. Their inconsistency will catch up with them. Prediction: Loss to UNC.
SouthEast (3 out of 4 Correct)
2. Florida: Love the Gators. They battled and defeated a talented UCLA team last round by 8. Their main strengths are their balance on offense and senior leadership. Their weakness was exploited by UCLA's height and inside toughness, as the Gators aren't the biggest team. If G Erving Walker can step it up then they will be tough to beat. Prediction: Finals.
3. BYU: When Jimmer is hot then the Cougars are unstoppable. He made 7 of 12 3-pointers vs Gonzaga as his team routed the Zags by 22. The Cougar offense relies heavily on outside shooting and is very streaky. They lack an inside presence and will struggle to beat physical teams. You gotta love watching these guys play when they are on, but I worry about them against superior teams. Prediction: Loss to Florida.
4. Wisconsin: Rallied to beat Kansas State by four last round. I thought that they were outplayed across the board but cashed in at the three point line hitting 9-20. They play slow and grind the clock without turning the ball over. I questioned their 4 seed and still view them as being overrated. They aren't big or quick or athletic, and I really don't see them being a serious threat. Prediction: Loss to Butler.
8. Butler: How did these guys pull an 8 seed after losing in the Finals to Duke last year. They were very impressive against Pitt across the board. They play tough defense, hit 3s and have the experience to win big games. F Matt Howard might be my favorite player to watch in the tourney. Nobody plays smarter or harder on both sides of the court. Oh yeah, he also has two game winning scores in two games so far. Pitt shot 56% and still lost to the Bulldogs--think about that...truly amazing. Prediction: Elite 8 or better.
SouthWest (One out of four correct)
1. Kansas: Real good team, but not great. They pummeled Illinois last round by attacking the rim. The Morris Bros are fantastic, but I worry about their outside shooting. They pretty much pushed the Illini around and created easy buckets. They have to play better ball to continue their run. Prediction: Final Four.
10. Florida State: They dominated an overrated Notre Dame squad last round with sensational zone defense. They are long and athletic and are finally hitting shots on offense. They are real dangerous right now. The Seminoles struggled to score in the regular season, but have played great so far in the tourney. They might play the best defense out of all the teams remaining. Watch Out! Prediction: Elite 8 or better.
11. VCU: Best surprise of the tourney so far. If they can keep pouring in 3 pointers like they have so far then they are dangerous. They play solid defense but are probably overrated due to their competition. They have played 3 terrible offensive teams so far (USC, G-Town, Purdue), so it will get tougher. Their hot streak will have to come to an end. Prediction: Loss to Florida St.
12. Richmond: I love the way these guys play ball. They are tough on defense and can hit jumpers. They crushed Morehead State by 17 but will face a much tougher test in Kansas next round. I would love to see them take down the Jayhawks and think that they can. I just worry about them inside the paint against a bigger Kansas squad. Prediction: Loss to Kansas.
**One NBA Game Tonight: Bulls (-3.5) at Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks are 4-6 in their last ten games, and have really struggled against elite teams. Boozer is back and the Bulls are playing sensational ball. The Bulls have won ten of their last eleven games. Go Bulls!!
Sunday, March 20, 2011
NCAA Big Sunday
NCAA Big Sunday
Our picks for Sunday:
Duke -11 vs Michigan
Washington +5 vs UNC
George Mason +11.5 vs Ohio St.
Marquette +5 vs Syracuse
Notre Dame -5 vs Florida St.
VCU +10 vs Purdue
Arizona +6 vs Texas
Illinois +9 vs Kansas
**Just got home and I gotta say that Newport Beach has fine ass ladies on the prowl
Our picks for Sunday:
Duke -11 vs Michigan
Washington +5 vs UNC
George Mason +11.5 vs Ohio St.
Marquette +5 vs Syracuse
Notre Dame -5 vs Florida St.
VCU +10 vs Purdue
Arizona +6 vs Texas
Illinois +9 vs Kansas
**Just got home and I gotta say that Newport Beach has fine ass ladies on the prowl
Saturday, March 19, 2011
NCAA Saturday
NCAA Saturday
Picks for today:
Kentucky (-4) vs West Virginia
Florida (-5) vs UCLA. I like the Over 131 too.
Richmond (-4) vs Morehead State
Butler (+8.5) vs Pitt
Uconn (-4) vs Cincy
SDSU (-5.5) vs Temple
BYU (+1.5) vs Gonzaga
Kansas State (+3.5) vs Wisconsin
**Also, like the Heat tonight minus 7 points vs the Nuggets.
Picks for today:
Kentucky (-4) vs West Virginia
Florida (-5) vs UCLA. I like the Over 131 too.
Richmond (-4) vs Morehead State
Butler (+8.5) vs Pitt
Uconn (-4) vs Cincy
SDSU (-5.5) vs Temple
BYU (+1.5) vs Gonzaga
Kansas State (+3.5) vs Wisconsin
**Also, like the Heat tonight minus 7 points vs the Nuggets.
Friday, March 18, 2011
NCAA Friday
NCAA Friday
Our picks for this afternoon's action in the tourney:
UNC (-17) vs Long Island
Washington (-5) vs Georgia
Syracuse (-13) vs Indiana State
Marquette (Even) vs Xavier
Purdue (-15.5) vs St Peters
G-Town (-5.5) vs VCU
Kansas (-23) vs Boston Univ.
UNLV (-2.5) vs Illinois
**NBA game tonight is Philly (-4.5) at Sacramento. Philly is a real good team and needs to win this game. The Kings just lost at home to the Cavs. The Kings stink. Take the 76ers!!
Our picks for this afternoon's action in the tourney:
UNC (-17) vs Long Island
Washington (-5) vs Georgia
Syracuse (-13) vs Indiana State
Marquette (Even) vs Xavier
Purdue (-15.5) vs St Peters
G-Town (-5.5) vs VCU
Kansas (-23) vs Boston Univ.
UNLV (-2.5) vs Illinois
**NBA game tonight is Philly (-4.5) at Sacramento. Philly is a real good team and needs to win this game. The Kings just lost at home to the Cavs. The Kings stink. Take the 76ers!!
Thursday, March 17, 2011
March Madness has begun!
March Madness has begun!
My picks for this afternoon are:
Florida -12.5 vs UCSB
UCLA +1.5 vs Mich St.
Bucknell +11.5 vs UConn
Missouri -1 vs Cincy
Richmond +3 vs Vanderbilt
Wofford +9.5 vs BYU
Gonzaga +1 vs St Johns
SDSU -14 vs No. Colorado
Utah St +3 vs Kansas St.
Wisconsin -4 vs Belmont
**Happy St. Pattys Day!!
--What a great game by Morehead State vs Louisville, truly remarkable this morning.
My picks for this afternoon are:
Florida -12.5 vs UCSB
UCLA +1.5 vs Mich St.
Bucknell +11.5 vs UConn
Missouri -1 vs Cincy
Richmond +3 vs Vanderbilt
Wofford +9.5 vs BYU
Gonzaga +1 vs St Johns
SDSU -14 vs No. Colorado
Utah St +3 vs Kansas St.
Wisconsin -4 vs Belmont
**Happy St. Pattys Day!!
--What a great game by Morehead State vs Louisville, truly remarkable this morning.
Wednesday, March 16, 2011
Wow USC Sucks!
USC Sucks
USC scored 46 points against an undersized VCU squad that went 9-8 away from home this season with losses to Georgia State, Northeastern and Drexel among other pathetic teams.
USC shot 1-9 from 3-point range and 15-25 from the free throw line. I guess that is the blueprint to losing to a team that didn't beat a ranked opponent all year. VCU shot 33% from the floor tonight and 10-15 at free throws, and should have been destroyed by a decent team. USC Coach O'Neil should be fired by tomorrow morning.
USC scored 46 points against an undersized VCU squad that went 9-8 away from home this season with losses to Georgia State, Northeastern and Drexel among other pathetic teams.
USC shot 1-9 from 3-point range and 15-25 from the free throw line. I guess that is the blueprint to losing to a team that didn't beat a ranked opponent all year. VCU shot 33% from the floor tonight and 10-15 at free throws, and should have been destroyed by a decent team. USC Coach O'Neil should be fired by tomorrow morning.
Hoops
Hoops Today
1. Get on USC (-4.5) asap. UAB beat VCU this season. Enough said. Clemson mopped the floor with UAB yesterday (like I said repeatedly). USC is better than Clemson and VCU is worse than UAB.
2. Check out the OVER in the Cleveland Cavs at Sacramento Kings game. The Over started at 211 and has been climbing ever since. It doesn't matter, the Kings have been on scoring tear recently. The Cavs lead the NBA in games going 'Over'. On the road, Cavs games go over at 21-11 on the season. I like this matchup a lot, combine the Kings resurgent offense with the Cavs lack of defense and it should bring a lot of points. Take the Over!!
3. Detroit (-3.5) at home against Toronto. The Pistons are terrible, but Toronto is ridiculously bad on the road this season at 5-26. The Pistons 16-17 at home and T-Mac is back in the starting lineup. Take the Pistons!!
**I will write much more tomorrow on the NCAA Tourney**
1. Get on USC (-4.5) asap. UAB beat VCU this season. Enough said. Clemson mopped the floor with UAB yesterday (like I said repeatedly). USC is better than Clemson and VCU is worse than UAB.
2. Check out the OVER in the Cleveland Cavs at Sacramento Kings game. The Over started at 211 and has been climbing ever since. It doesn't matter, the Kings have been on scoring tear recently. The Cavs lead the NBA in games going 'Over'. On the road, Cavs games go over at 21-11 on the season. I like this matchup a lot, combine the Kings resurgent offense with the Cavs lack of defense and it should bring a lot of points. Take the Over!!
3. Detroit (-3.5) at home against Toronto. The Pistons are terrible, but Toronto is ridiculously bad on the road this season at 5-26. The Pistons 16-17 at home and T-Mac is back in the starting lineup. Take the Pistons!!
**I will write much more tomorrow on the NCAA Tourney**
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